Indy +2.5 - huge RLM

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Indy +2.5 - huge RLM
composite PM composite
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Posted: 5/24/2012 1:56:22 PM

70% on Miami but line has dropped from Miami -3.5 to -2.5

I'm on Indy.

HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 5/24/2012 1:58:41 PM
70% of who?


insatiable PM insatiable
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Posted: 5/24/2012 2:05:03 PM
Good luck buddy
composite PM composite
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Posted: 5/24/2012 2:42:20 PM

Check vegasinsider.  70% of the bettors (not $$ of bets, but bettors) are betting on Miami.  The theory behind reverse line movement or RLM is that if most of the bettors are on one side, but the line is moving *AWAY* from that side, then the bettors are wrong. 

Bettors are on Miami.  Line is moving toward Indiana.  I think it's now Miami -2.

Take Indy.

Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 5/24/2012 2:46:56 PM
RLM plays hit between 50 and 50.5% this year, and just about every year, in NBA if I recall correctly.
joshfactor PM joshfactor
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Posted: 5/24/2012 3:01:06 PM
the line dropped because of the suspensions. Not mystical bromides like RLM. meaningless drivel. bookies are laughing at you, knowing they will get your money. maybe not this game. eventually. they just love people who bet money because the line moved. its like they line-moved the money right out of your pocket. nice catch vegas, another sucker with hook-in-mouth.


Nienkerk PM Nienkerk
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Posted: 5/24/2012 3:09:40 PM
Josh your ignorant if you think line moves dont mean anything
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MakinUnits PM MakinUnits
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Posted: 5/24/2012 10:58:57 PM
70% of those people won money
bob696969 PM bob696969
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Posted: 5/24/2012 11:50:23 PM
Once again proving, line movement and all the bullshit betting numbers on all these websites mean nothing.... Cap the game, not the line movement, and use the line movement to get best line for the side you like!
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mtbaker PM mtbaker
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Posted: 5/25/2012 3:18:25 AM
great insight
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 5/25/2012 10:45:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bob696969:

Once again proving, line movement and all the bullshit betting numbers on all these websites mean nothing.... Cap the game, not the line movement, and use the line movement to get best line for the side you like!

Bingo.  Almost everyone who believes in this reverse line movement voodoo references Vegasinsider.  And they don't even know what those numbers mean.    Is it percentages of bets?  What bets?  Percentage of money?  What money?

It's just another thing people use as a crutch in the face of the unpredictable or unknown.  Just flip a coin....it will be just as effective of a strategy long term.  
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