# Texas Open Discussion

 Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Texas Open Discussion blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #1Posted: 4/16/2012 11:12:58 PMIf my memory is right, last year was abnormally very windy, so I ran both 2011 and 2010 for this tourney:2011 Texas Open Slope R2 RankBA 0.83   0.66 1gir 0.76         0.35 2PB 0.70   0.43 3par4 0.69   0.27 4sc 0.60   0.32 5par5 0.57   0.36 6pa 0.53   0.25 7da 0.44   0.16 8ppr 0.40   0.16 9par3 0.28   0.05 10dd 0.26   0.04 112010 Texas Open Slope R2 Rankpar4   0.76 0.43 1BA     0.70 0.54 2par5   0.65 0.41 3PB     0.64 0.49 4sc      0.60 0.24 5gir      0.56 0.35 6pa      0.55 0.28 7par3    0.43 0.16 8ppr     0.38 0.14 9dd      0.38 0.11 10da      0.21 0.04 11 Bluefin PM BluefinJoined: Nov 2006Posts: 8472 Captain #2Posted: 4/17/2012 8:05:38 AMtranslation? blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #3Posted: 4/17/2012 8:20:40 AMQUOTE Originally Posted by Bluefin: translation? Blue - take a look at last week's thread "heritage discussion".  I explain it and give at least one other example of this year's Masters AJLightning PM AJLightningJoined: Nov 2008Posts: 13413 All-Star #4Posted: 4/17/2012 9:24:42 AMYes, last year was windy as hell. How did this formula work out last week? Did you do any tweaks or keep it the same? blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #5Posted: 4/17/2012 10:08:46 AMAJ - there is no formula here. At this point, I'm not using the results to try to do any type of prediction. All I'm doing now is finding out from past results which stats have mathematically proven to correlate with score, and to what degree. Using those results then to do mathematical predictions would be the next step, but considerably more complex and definitely more time consuming to get the right data to feed a predictive model Posted using a mobile device. blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #6Posted: 4/17/2012 10:17:03 AMIf anyone can tell me how to link a spreadsheet, I have plots for each state that would help a lot in explaining. Posted using a mobile device. blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #7Posted: 4/17/2012 9:30:13 PMOnce again, it looks like I won't get lines til tomorrow.  I imagine some of these 130's will have moved up high enough that I won't play them. My leans for now:Texas Open Full TourneyNa-108 o ChoiHolmes-106 o ChoiHolmes-136 o WeekleyCauley-134 o PalmerLevin+102 o RollinsWalker-136 o LeishmanTringale-137 o Taylor blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #8Posted: 4/18/2012 11:07:56 PMIf this works, I'll figure out how to create pdf's easier and post all the plots for each week.  Here I just took two examples from the Master's.  One that has a very high correlation and one that has a very low (even slightly negative) correlation.https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B4dfU4qGws3CVFlISWlfTmI2d2c blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #9Posted: 4/18/2012 11:08:39 PMexample plots link blairaj PM blairajJoined: Dec 2007Posts: 969 Rookie #10Posted: 4/18/2012 11:11:39 PMthe link doesn't seem to work, but it does look like it'll work if you cut and paste it inthe thick red line in the plot signifies the cut.  Everyone above that line made the cut, everyone below the line missed the cut.
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