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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Doral and Puerto Rico
blairaj send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
blairaj
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#1
Posted: 3/6/2012 9:06:00 PM
I don't have lines yet, but I pretty much always get the same matchups as Pinny.  Here's what I'm thinking so far on full tourney matches.  Any thoughts?

Schwartzel o Donald
Kaymer o Kuchar ?
Stricker o Simpson ?
Fowler o Day
Senden o Poulter
Hansen o Quiros

Davis o Vegas (2u)
Green o R. Johnson
Pampling o. Cabrera
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#2
Posted: 3/7/2012 7:32:06 PM
Here's what I went with:

Puerto Rico Full Tourney
Davis -130 o Vegas 
Green -130 o R. Johnson
Pampling -120 o. Cabrera

Doral Full Tourney
Schwartzel -120 o Donald
Stricker -105 o Simpson 
Senden -120 o Poulter (2u)
Hansen -110 o Quiros
Kaymer+105 o Kuchar 
Fowler-110 o Day

Doral Rd1:
Fowler-135 o Goosen
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AJLightning
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#3
Posted: 3/7/2012 10:09:09 PM

Good luck this week Blair...like Senden and The Schwartz as well!!

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cfAj71EJUU   

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iceman67
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#4
Posted: 3/8/2012 5:06:58 AM

I'm on P. Hanson over Oooozn for as much as I can,, both 1st rnd and full tourn.  Don't like anything about Ooz right now...

If you don't mind my asking,, what makes you like Schwartz over Donald this week,, (you too AJ),,  I really was thinking Donald makes a strong push to take back that #1 spot again,,, nobody seems to even consider that possibility, and that's when you often can find some value in the lines,  just one angle I know, but I'd like to hear any thoughts on your read on this matchup...

GL to all   

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AJLightning
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#5
Posted: 3/8/2012 9:39:55 AM

iceman67 - Quick thought on Schwartz over Donald...for me it's mainly about recent form. Donald has been falling back lately and seems out of it. Schwartz on the other hand is headed the other way and is in good form heading to Augusta in a few weeks. All the B.S. that goes along with being #1 has took a toll on Luke mentally and physically....IMO!

Didn't mean to interject myself into your thread Blair, but I had a second to throw out some thoughts on this for Iceman.

 

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Posted: 3/8/2012 6:31:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by AJLightning:

iceman67 - Quick thought on Schwartz over Donald...for me it's mainly about recent form. Donald has been falling back lately and seems out of it. Schwartz on the other hand is headed the other way and is in good form heading to Augusta in a few weeks. All the B.S. that goes along with being #1 has took a toll on Luke mentally and physically....IMO!

Didn't mean to interject myself into your thread Blair, but I had a second to throw out some thoughts on this for Iceman.

 


No Problem, AJ.  That's pretty much what I would've said.  Also, I expect this to be a low scoring tourney.  I like Charl better in those.  If I thought it were going to be a tourney where pars were at a premium, and scrambling was more important, that's when I'd lean more toward Donald.
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iceman67
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#7
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:02:55 PM

Nice call, both of you on the Schwartz play...  It actually kept me from going overboard on Donald,,,  I just took him to win it @ 27ish to 1.

blairaj,, looks like you were just a couple of strokes from winning more than losing today @ Doral,,  still in good shape for your full tourny plays though...

I had one of my bigger days of the season today playing against Oosthuizen,,,  I had/have max bets against him today and for the full tourn.  I'm pretty happy he's playing the way his coach predicted.

Best of luck to you going forward.   

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Posted: 3/8/2012 7:11:44 PM
I didn't have any matchups with which to fade oosthuizen, or I'd have been right there with ya.
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#9
Posted: 3/8/2012 8:46:40 PM
Doral Rd2:
Fowler -130 o Goosen (1.5u)
McIlroy -130 o Westwood
Snedeker +120 o Bradley (1.5u)
Kaymer-110 o Simpson

Pushed with Fowler today, I like him even more tomorrow and get a slightly better price.

Neither McIlroy or Westwood putted well today, based on history and comments Westwood has been making about this course, I'll bet Rory figures it out quicker than Lee.

Bradley owns Snedeker in Rd1 H2H over the last year, in Rd2 the opposite is true.
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AJLightning
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#10
Posted: 3/8/2012 10:43:40 PM

Good luck tomorrow Bud! With you on Snedeker!!!

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#11
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:11:33 PM
Tailin ya on Snedeker, McIlroy, and Fowler.  Too busy making plays on college basketball to worry about golf.  Like them picks GL B
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blairaj send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 3/9/2012 6:19:47 PM
Puerto Rico Full Tourney
Davis -130 o Vegas 

Doral Rd2:
Fowler -130 o Goosen (1.5u)
McIlroy -130 o Westwood
Snedeker +120 o Bradley (1.5u)
Kaymer-110 o Simpson

McIlroy and Sneds both put on late surges, but too little too late
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#13
Posted: 3/9/2012 9:27:51 PM
Bunch of em for Sat.:

Doral Rd3:
Simpson-130 o Choi
Day-135 o Jimenez
Scott-115 o Bradley
Hanson-115 o Bjorn
McDowell+150 o McIlroy
Stricker+125 o Woods
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#14
Posted: 3/9/2012 10:13:35 PM
Ive been following you the past couple weeks. I'm more of a reader than a poster, but I like your picks. We're usually on the same page. Keep up the good capping!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#15
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:36:59 PM
bol buddy    6 plays is a lot....
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iceman67
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#16
Posted: 3/10/2012 3:33:07 AM

Stricker/Woods should be a coin flip,,,  good line,,, I'm on it pretty big also.   Also taking Z Johnson over BVP.  

GL 

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#17
Posted: 3/10/2012 2:01:20 PM
With scoring going the way it has today, I threw on a last minute add of:

Bubba+110 o Rose (1.5u)
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blairaj send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 3/10/2012 2:02:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by markblaz:

Ive been following you the past couple weeks. I'm more of a reader than a poster, but I like your picks. We're usually on the same page. Keep up the good capping!

Thanks markblaz.  I've been hanging just below even for the year, hoping this is going to be the breakout weekend!

Stats, Ice 
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Posted: 3/10/2012 6:15:20 PM
Doral Rd3: 4-3,  +1.65
Simpson-130 o Choi
Day-135 Jimenez
Scott-115 o Bradley
Hanson-115 o Bjorn
McDowell+150 o McIlroy
Stricker+125 o Woods
Watson +110 o Rose (1.5u)

Glad I did the last minute add of Bubba!
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blairaj send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 3/10/2012 9:22:54 PM
Another 6 pack for my birthday Sunday.  Hopefully a bunch o' winners here and my Bucks stick it to Sparty!!!

Doral Rd4:
Dufner-120 o Byrd
Hansen-125 o Bjorn
McDowell-105 o Day (1.5u)
Mahan-115 o Scott (1.5u)
Simpson-130 o Johnson 
Wagner+125 o Hanson (1.5u)
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iceman67
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#21
Posted: 3/11/2012 7:30:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blairaj:

Another 6 pack for my birthday Sunday.  Hopefully a bunch o' winners here and my Bucks stick it to Sparty!!!

Doral Rd4:
Dufner-120 o Byrd
Hansen-125 o Bjorn
McDowell-105 o Day (1.5u)
Mahan-115 o Scott (1.5u)
Simpson-130 o Johnson 
Wagner+125 o Hanson (1.5u)

Happy BDAY,,

Well,,,  I'm with you on McDowell and Wagner,,,  I'd lean the other way Simpson/Johnson and no edge with any of the others IMO...  I also think Rose has an better than 5 1/2 to 1 chance of winning this, so I'm on him to win now also...

Have a good one,,  GL  

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Posted: 3/11/2012 9:57:54 PM
Puerto Rico Full Tourney: 1-2, -1.5
Davis -130 o Vegas             W
Green -130 o R. Johnson        L
Pampling -120 o. Cabrera       L

Doral Full Tourney: 4-2, +2.9
Schwartzel -120 o Donald        W
Stricker -105 o Simpson         W 

Senden -120 o Poulter (2u)      W
Hansen -110 o Quiros            W
Kaymer+105 o Kuchar             L
Fowler-110 o Day                L

Doral Rd1:
Fowler-135 o Goosen             P

Doral Rd2: 2-2, -0.3
Fowler -130 o Goosen (1.5u)     W
McIlroy -130 o Westwood         L
Snedeker +120 o Bradley (1.5u)  L
Kaymer-110 o Simpson            W

Doral Rd3: 4-3, +1.5
Simpson-130 o Choi              W
Day-135 o Jimenez               W
Scott-115 o Bradley             L
Hanson-115 o Bjorn              W
McDowell+150 o McIlroy          L
Stricker+125 o Woods            L
Bubba+110 o Rose (1.5u)         W

Doral Rd4: 1-3-1, -3.77
Dufner-120 o Byrd               P
Hansen-125 o Bjorn              L
McDowell-105 o Day (1.5u)       W
Mahan-115 o Scott (1.5u)        L
Simpson-130 o Johnson           L
Wagner+125 o Hanson (1.5u)      L


11-12-2, -1.15

I have been for garbage in rd 4 the last 2 weeks.  Glad to see though that the full tourney is starting to come around, as that as where as I have always been at my strongest.  Now, if I can just be smart enough to learn to be betting stronger on the tourney plays and let the fan in me go, especially in the last round.
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