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Author: [Other] Topic: RooBoy's AFL 2012 Rd5
rooboybaz send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#1
Posted: 4/23/2012 8:00:52 AM
2012 YTD: +5.19units  (11-5 68.75%)

EARLY LEANS:
Pies -6.5
Freo h2h
GWS +66.5
Cats -22.5
WCE -20.5

PLAYING:

PIES  -6.5 1.5units@ $1.92

--- A little bit filthy at myself here because the line seemed to shorten (to -2.5) within minutes of me placing my bet, but i will taking the Pies to cover 6.5 points in the Anzac game. The reason i jumped on this is due to the very bruising encounter the Bombers had on Saturday against the Blues. It was announced yesterday (Sunday) that the Bombers could be without 6 of the players who took the field last w/e for this game. I know the Pies are still missing Daisy, Shaw and Reid but they played without all of these guys against Port. I personally don't think Port are nearly as bad this year as they were last year so the fact Collingwood only won by 4 goals doesn't worry me. One of the reasons is because the Bombers only beat Port by 25points (@ home) in rd2 and that was with all of their players fit. Hurley is surely a goner for this game and if they do put him out there i can't imagine he will have much of an impact at all due to the injury being his hammy. Break off speed is crucial for a forward and Hurley will have minimal nullifying his production. I also think the Pies are starting to come around to Buckleys new style and i don't think they are as bad as everyone is claiming. They are still a threat and this is a game they will all really wanna get up for! I see them getting the win here in a very close seesawing affair. Pies by 8 points.

DOCKERS h2h 1.5units@ $2.00

--- Looking over the fixtures i actually have Dockers and WCE winning all of their 11 home games this season. So getting the Dockers as dogs in this game amazes me. Why on earth are Carlton favourites? They are playing away at one of the hardest grounds to play at (as an away side) and they have just been exposed to fullest extent last week against the Bombers (who they were actually 40pt favs over). Carlton had some of the easiest scheduling in the first few rounds in regards to the amount of rest they had. When they played the Pies they got very lucky with all the players that were dropping like flys (Reid subbed early, Ball ACL injury and Daisy playing injured). All these injuries happened early too. Another thing the Pies fucked hard was nobody was tagging Judd! they let him run free. NO team can afford that and the Pies paid dearly. Bombers proved last week that if you tag Judd and Murphy then the wheels fall off at Carlton and dont expect the Dockers to do any different. Another key factor is Carrazzo is out for 6-8 weeks. He is by far the best tagger the Blues have and it showed last week against the Bombers when he went down early and they had no one to control Watson or Stanton. I can't see the Blues being able to replace him, especially at Subi. The Dockers also proved last Friday they have more to offer then everybody thought. They were 3goal underdogs and proved that line stupid. They have one of the most dominant ruckmen in the game and this will be a key factor. Also star midfielder Mundy now has 2 games under his belt and Ballantyne proved his worth to this line up also. Dockers to win this by 4goals+

GL 
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#2
Posted: 4/24/2012 6:03:19 AM
ALSO PLAYING:

WCE-HAWKS-CATS  1unit@ $2.46

--- Truly believe all these teams are better than their opponents. WCE are a force and are just a better side then Richmond (who have been impressive no doubt). Hawks have the home advantage under their belt and will be seeking a win desperately after just getting done against the Eagles last week. And the Cats are a far superior side to the Lions no matter where they are playing.
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#3
Posted: 4/24/2012 9:22:13 AM
love your footy insight roo

still looking over this anzac day match.

Be careful with my boys because it's Simon Black's 300th game and last time we played Lions...they led going into the 3rd quarter.

My boys are very underdone at the minute.
Seem to be going through a heavy training load behind the scenes at the moment as we get ready to bolster the fitness levels for another aim at peaking later in the year. If you remember back to this same time last year...we were only managing to win games quite ordinarily.
4 goals isn't much for sure but maybe the 1-39 point bet would be more suitable?
Can't see us winning well at this time of the year is all but good luck with the best and you got balls taking Freo
Big test to see where the Blues are at and they seem to be a club that listen to the media and read about themselves, may look at the Freo match as a possible finals workout.
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#4
Posted: 4/24/2012 9:41:59 PM
tend to disagree on collingwood's form. they were better last week but still pretty ordinary.

port came out asleep and collingwood scored 7.5 in the first quarter. after which port scored 8.11 to 7.8. 7 goals in three quarters against port is not very potent in fine conditions.

that said don't mind their chances today.

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#5
Posted: 4/25/2012 5:19:55 AM
sorry lads didnt have the chance to get to the computer to reply. Didnt even get the chance to view the game today

Cheers BOBBY Yeah i agree about Geelong not being up to scratch and that's why i wont be playing their line this week. I do like them to win though because i dont rate the Lions at all. 4 points are too valuable to be throwing away and no matter how intense the training is I cant imagine Scott will be sacrificing them. Being in China i didnt actually know it was Black's 300th and that has definitely thrown a spanner in the works.
Couldn't agree with you more regarding the Blues players reading the papers and being consumed by what the media are saying. The only guy i reckon who doesnt is Judd, and that's why he will only give you 1 or 2 dud games a season. True champion!! I just rate the Dockers and Eagles @ home a massive hurdle for any club. Hawthorn or Cats couldnt win here and i personally think Blues should suffer the same fate. But it's AFL and honestly anything can happen.

Appreciate the thoughts BINO . Also just looking at the scores appears you were right! Collingwood again have dropped away near the end of the game. I didnt actually get the chance to see the Port game but i was trying to follow through fanfooty and i just presumed they got the jump on Port and not the fact Port came out flat. I just related it to being hammered by Carlton the week before and them seeking retribution. Looking at the scores again from today they had a 12 point buffer going into the last and still got VERY lucky to come away with the win. friggin pricks cost me a punt . Im very lucky they won though. They were the final leg of an NBA/AFL multi for the day. Cant say I will be trusting them again this season until they prove they have a little more balls under Buckley. Definitely hurts them that they dont have Daisy out there. He is a massive gun!

Cheers for the insight lads!! Always good having other ppl's opinions to help guide me in the right direction 

Just hope the Dockers can win my money back. Actually contemplating going harder on them. Really think it's a very good bet.



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#6
Posted: 4/25/2012 5:45:00 AM
Gonna throw an extra UNIT on the Dockers for Friday nights clash. I see the Dockers as a very hard team to beat @ home. More thoughts above.



DOCKERS h2h 1.5units@ $2.00


GL 
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#7
Posted: 4/25/2012 8:03:10 AM
CORRECTION:



DOCKERS h2h 2.5units**@ $2.00

my covers been playing up massively since being over here. Not sure if it's me or covers?
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#8
Posted: 4/25/2012 10:48:12 PM
Dockers @ Home
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#9
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:49:32 AM
ECOUTE.  Lets hope we are on the right side!!! 
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#10
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:10:44 AM
Playing the Dockers with you. 

Let's win $
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#11
Posted: 4/26/2012 2:41:47 AM
COVER  But I truly hope you haven't yet?? Just read sandi is out! This is huge news and a massively devastating blow for my bet. If I knew this was even a possibility I wouldn't have played. I mentioned in the write up that he is key and dockers not having him out there is fucked. Gonna have to ride now. Wish me luck 
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#12
Posted: 4/27/2012 3:38:58 AM
Don't worry too much mate this will be a team effort and there are other positive factors for Freo
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#13
Posted: 4/27/2012 4:13:51 AM
Bet was placed earlier my friend, I see the line has moved. I'm still confident in the Dockers.

GL friend
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#14
Posted: 4/27/2012 5:13:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CoverLane:

Bet was placed earlier my friend, I see the line has moved. I'm still confident in the Dockers.

GL friend


Same here on both counts
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#15
Posted: 4/27/2012 8:45:10 PM
Seems that every game I pick the team ends up kicking twice and many behinds as goals. I'll let you know which way I go so you can go the other way in future.

ps. Could Freo please finally get rid of McPhee and Anthony. If it wasn't for their incompetance Freo would have won that game.
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#16
Posted: 4/29/2012 6:35:19 AM
friggin shocking week on here. Been in Hong Kong since friday morning and there was no way for me to post any of my other bets from the weekend. friggin pricks in the hotel tried to charge us $20 a day to use the net!! what a joke!

Yeah Ecoute seems if the Dockers could have kicked straight it was money in the bank. But they didnt and that's footy. Couldnt have had a worse week. But no doubt had i realised Sandi was a no inclusion prior i wouldnt have bet. But im a big hater of hedging bets and therefore i didnt even contemplate it. Still had a mare punting this w/e but not as bad as this thread suggests. friggin tough! Least NBA playoffs have started so we can try win some cash back better luck next week

PIES  -6.5 1.5units@ $1.92 

DOCKERS h2h 2.5units@ $2.00  

WCE-HAWKS-CATS  1unit@ $2.46 


-5units      that's punting


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#17
Posted: 5/4/2012 2:27:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rooboybaz:

friggin shocking week on here. Been in Hong Kong since friday morning and there was no way for me to post any of my other bets from the weekend. friggin pricks in the hotel tried to charge us $20 a day to use the net!! what a joke!

Yeah Ecoute seems if the Dockers could have kicked straight it was money in the bank. But they didnt and that's footy. Couldnt have had a worse week. But no doubt had i realised Sandi was a no inclusion prior i wouldnt have bet. But im a big hater of hedging bets and therefore i didnt even contemplate it. Still had a mare punting this w/e but not as bad as this thread suggests. friggin tough! Least NBA playoffs have started so we can try win some cash back better luck next week

PIES  -6.5 1.5units@ $1.92 

DOCKERS h2h 2.5units@ $2.00  

WCE-HAWKS-CATS  1unit@ $2.46 


-5units      that's punting


 
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