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# True Odds for Przes

 Author: [Streak Survivor] Topic: True Odds for Przes ovrundr PM ovrundrJoined: Apr 2012Posts: 7 Prospect #1Posted: 6/15/2012 2:36:36 AMOdds of hitting... 25 Straight: 33,554,432 to 1 21 Straight: 2,097,152 to 1 17 Straight: 131,072 to 1 13 Straight: 8,192 to 1 9 Straight: 512 to 1 Unstoppable Force PM Unstoppable ForceJoined: Mar 2005Posts: 18434 MVP #2Posted: 6/15/2012 12:46:07 PMHow were these calculated? ovrundr PM ovrundrJoined: Apr 2012Posts: 7 Prospect #3Posted: 6/15/2012 3:38:36 PMIt's just basic mathematics. Simple. RF1 PM RF1Joined: Dec 2009Posts: 3095 Veteran #4Posted: 6/15/2012 10:22:19 PM^ lol MRJLX PM MRJLXJoined: Apr 2009Posts: 396 Prospect #5Posted: 6/15/2012 10:31:00 PMQUOTE Originally Posted by Unstoppable Force: How were these calculated? all it is the odds of flipping a coin so many times. 2 to 25th power... there was a thread like this earlier. still comes down to luck. Unstoppable Force PM Unstoppable ForceJoined: Mar 2005Posts: 18434 MVP #6Posted: 6/16/2012 10:32:01 AMThanks.. Yes, For sure, A lot of luck crushalot22 PM crushalot22Joined: Mar 2007Posts: 2681 Veteran #7Posted: 6/17/2012 4:08:51 PMWhat are the odds of 1 of 4 at 17 hitting 21 in a row?  And the way I look at it,  the leaders are starting now.  4 winners in a row is all that is needed to get that money.  A streak of 4.  What are the odds of 1 out of 4 hitting 4 in a row? ovrundr PM ovrundrJoined: Apr 2012Posts: 7 Prospect #8Posted: 6/19/2012 11:40:44 PM[Quote: Originally Posted by crushalot22] What are the odds of 1 of 4 at 17 hitting 21 in a row?  And the way I look at it,  the leaders are starting now.  4 winners in a row is all that is needed to get that money.  A streak of 4.  What are the odds of 1 out of 4 hitting 4 in a row? The odds of hitting 4 in a row would be 16 to 1. The formulas for these are simple. For 4 in a row, it's 2 to the 4th power, or 2x2x2x2=16. 5 in a row would be 2 to the 5th power, and so on and so on. crushalot22 PM crushalot22Joined: Mar 2007Posts: 2681 Veteran #9Posted: 6/20/2012 12:00:49 AMThat's my point,  ovrundr.  The odds change every time someone gets closer.  Those odds of someone flippin a coin from pick one doesn't meet garbage crushalot22 PM crushalot22Joined: Mar 2007Posts: 2681 Veteran #10Posted: 6/20/2012 12:01:52 AMmean garbage,  either thewhitesmith PM thewhitesmithJoined: Dec 2010Posts: 324 Prospect #11Posted: 6/20/2012 10:23:40 AMand what's to say every pick is 50/50?if you're picking a -130 favorite every time your numbers go right out the window... ovrundr PM ovrundrJoined: Apr 2012Posts: 7 Prospect #12Posted: 6/20/2012 10:03:21 PM[Quote: Originally Posted by thewhitesmith] and what's to say every pick is 50/50? if you're picking a -130 favorite every time your numbers go right out the window...   The 50/50 prop you're talking about is based on a STRAIGHT UP win/lose outcome. It's just an understanding of basic odds and probability. That's why I don't bet football parlay cards. On a 5 team parlay, the card pay out 20 to 1, when the true odds of hitting is actually 32 to 1. That means that the house has a 37.5% ADVANTAGE over the player. The football analogy was just an example of what the concept of "true odds" really are. There are so many different variables when picking a side, both positive and negative, that they'll virtually cancel each other out, so this is pretty much the standard way that the odds are figured out.
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