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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MONDAY BASEBALL
msohn send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
msohn
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#1
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:53:37 AM
SIDES: 21-16-0 (57%) +2.49 units
TOTALS: 2-9-2 (18%) -8.20 units
OVERALL: 23-25-2 -5.71 units

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CINCINNATI REDS +135
Even at his best, the Reds have been one team that has given Roy Halladay problems. The Reds always managed to scratch out a 2-1 type win, or otherwise pile on some runs with a big home run. And this is a different Roy Halladay and a different Phillies team. Now, I am not a huge fan of Mike "The Thief" Leake, but his pitching is usually better than his shoplifting, and the kid has done a great job keeping guys off base in August.

COLORADO ROCKIES +190
Yes, I have written bad things about Alex White in the past.

Why the Rockies against the NL Cy Young contender? The Mets have not exactly been setting the world on fire lately. The offense has been a no-show over the past few weeks. Meanwhile, the Rockies have been putting up runs in bunches. AND, if you look at the splits, the Rockies team offense on the road is as productive at the Mets team offense at home.

GIANTS, DODGERS UNDER 6.0 -120
Two very good pitchers in Bumgarner and Kershaw and one very friendly park for said pitching.


GOOD LUCK TOMORROW




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#2
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:01:33 AM
Sunday results - I am still struggling with the totals

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UNDERDOG SPECIAL
CHICAGO CUBS RUN LINE +1.5 +105 
I don't see how you can lay -255 on the Reds with Latos starting. Why - the guy rarely pitches deep into the game. You can call BS and point to back-to-back complete games a few months ago, but I say look at his pitch counts and see that he is tapped out at 100-110 pitches. If the Cubs can work the count, Latos is out by the 6th and in comes the Reds pen, which is decent, but average. By the way, Volstad and Cubs beat the Reds two starts ago. I'm taking the run line in case it's close and Marmol is brought in to "save" the game.

PHILLIES, BREWERS OVER 9.0 -115 
Kyle Kendrick. Randy Wolf. Two bombs that can go off at any moment.

TWINS, MARINERS OVER 7.5 -110
 
Deduno sports a 4-0 record and he's got that 3.38 ERA and the Twinkies have won 6 of his 7 starts, with those six being consecutive. Underlying those stats shows signs of trouble ahead: among the worst BB/9 ratios in the majors which drives up that 1.5-1.6 WHIP. He plays with fire. Somehow the Twins have been scoring ~7 runs per game for Deduno, and with Beavan on the mound (he does not miss many bats), they look good to continue that run support. This game should go over.

NEW YORK YANKEES -153 
Josh Beckett looks to get shelled on Sunday Night Baseball. He's given up 5 home runs in his last two starts. But on top of that, look at his GB-FB ratios on those games: 7-13 and 7-14. Beckett has been a dud all season and he figures to be in a mess again.


GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY





QUESTION TO ALL: What gives with the Marlins (Johnson) and Rockies (Pomeranz) line with the Rockies as only +113 underdogs? It's not my style, but I am tempted to take the Rockies.

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target_9
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#3
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:33:33 AM
GL tonight!!
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#4
Posted: 8/20/2012 9:03:56 AM
gl
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SportsFreak69
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#5
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:47:06 AM
Best of Luck 
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#6
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:49:18 AM
  
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KktdocT
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#7
Posted: 8/20/2012 2:38:33 PM
GL, mate.
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msohn send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#8
Posted: 8/20/2012 7:00:21 PM
Scary (bad) looking Rockies lineup, but these kids did beat the Marlins and Josh Johnson yesterday!
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msohn send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#9
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:33:07 PM
ROX GOT IT - HUGE DOG WIN

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