| Author: |
[Other] Topic: Django's AFL 2012 thread |
|
yysmer |
 View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 189
Location: Oregon |
#301 Posted: 7/27/2012 10:11:10 PM
|
|
quote |
|
HeadOverHeart |
RSI  |
MVP
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 18062
Location: Michigan |
#302 Posted: 7/28/2012 1:41:21 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by yysmer:
Why change your play? Isn't that line movement significant? Odds makers always know 10 times more than us average bettors.
Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?
Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.
Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.
Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.
No they don't. They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter. "Educated" being the key word.
The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.
|
|
quote |
|
yysmer |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 189
Location: Oregon |
#303 Posted: 7/28/2012 2:24:38 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?
Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.
Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.
Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.
No they don't. They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter. "Educated" being the key word.
The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.
They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.
|
|
quote |
|
HeadOverHeart |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 18062
Location: Michigan |
#304 Posted: 7/28/2012 4:01:30 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by yysmer:
They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.
They are highly educated in what they do and that is the key. Besides the closed-door info they get leaked, what they know is attainable to anyone else if they get learned up. Most punters don't bother with this fact though.
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#305 Posted: 7/28/2012 4:39:38 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Crows +8.5 1u @ 1.92 
53-69-0 | Multi 0-5
-1.23
Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91
Who were you referring to changing their play? I picked Crows earlier in the week in the opening lines thread.
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#306 Posted: 7/28/2012 5:34:21 AM
Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#307 Posted: 7/28/2012 8:26:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04  Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91 Tinass goal by Carlton in dying minutes puts the total on 186, which I could have taken 186.5 on titanbet for 1.83 
54-70-0 | Multi 0-5
-1.19
Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#308 Posted: 7/28/2012 7:15:28 PM
(Lions will screw me and lose by 35) 
Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#309 Posted: 7/29/2012 9:16:24 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91 Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91 Eagles -35.5 1u @ 1.95
57-70-0 | Multi 0-5
+1.58
|
|
quote |
|
HeadOverHeart |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 18062
Location: Michigan |
#310 Posted: 7/29/2012 2:16:03 PM
Hahaha....
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#311 Posted: 8/2/2012 8:07:31 PM
Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92
|
|
quote |
|
Luckylunchbox |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 5334
Location: Australia |
#312 Posted: 8/2/2012 8:13:47 PM  |
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#313 Posted: 8/3/2012 2:08:14 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92
58-70-0 | Multi 0-5
+2.50
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#314 Posted: 8/3/2012 9:00:46 PM
Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3
Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32
Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25
Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#315 Posted: 8/4/2012 12:01:25 AM
|
|
quote |
|
bevoaustintx |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 118923
Location: Texas |
#316 Posted: 8/4/2012 2:24:12 AM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#317 Posted: 8/4/2012 2:38:32 AM
It wasn't looking good, thankfully Petrie's illness didn't hinder him and he topped most goals with 5 too 
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#318 Posted: 8/4/2012 2:51:57 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: North -50.5 1u @ 1.98 Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3
60-70-0 | Multi 0-5
+5.48
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#319 Posted: 8/4/2012 2:31:02 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32 Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25 Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96
61-72-0 | Multi 0-5
+4.73
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#320 Posted: 8/4/2012 3:01:31 PM
Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#321 Posted: 8/4/2012 4:46:04 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#322 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:09:26 PM
G Ablett Most Goals 1u @ 7.50
Suns ML 3.20
Crows -39.5 2.50
Swans -39.5 3.50
x3 .2 @ 28
|
|
quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#323 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:56:18 PM
|
|
quote |
|
bevoaustintx |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 118923
Location: Texas |
#324 Posted: 8/5/2012 12:54:42 AM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
Django |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1078
Location: Australia |
#325 Posted: 8/5/2012 3:49:41 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Django: Swans -16.5 2u @ 1.91 Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80 Suns ML 1u @ 3.20 G Ablett Most Goals .5u @ 7.50 Suns ML 3.20 Crows -39.5 2.50 Swans -39.5 3.50 x3 .2 @ 28
62-75-0 | Multi 0-6
+4.35
Crows aren't gonna cover either 
|
|
quote |