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Author: [Tennis] Topic: Thursday
KBrick84 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
KBrick84
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#1
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:33:26 AM

Been awhile, but found a few plays I like.

 

Brianti  +7

*Unless you're sitting in the Top 10, or one of the top servers on tour (Which usually results in Top 10)...I can't see a line this high being justified.  Obviously Brianti is on the downside of her career at 32yrs old...but Errani isn't a world beater.

Tomic  ML 

*Played very well last match, and we gotta remember this kid is young and learning as he goes.  All the talent in the world, should have no problem disposing of Starace.

Potro/Mach  OV 18.5

*I understand the line being low, high ranked player against a low ranked player.  But this is Machado's best surface obviously.  He's likely not going to see many break chances, but if he can convert 1 or 2 along the way this could get 6-3  6-4 pretty easily. 

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NotASingleDoubt send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
NotASingleDoubt
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#2
Posted: 5/3/2012 7:10:53 AM
have you watch errani play..she is pretty solid serve and on clay she is deadly...Brianti's serve is non existence
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KBrick84 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
KBrick84
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#3
Posted: 5/3/2012 8:28:20 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by NotASingleDoubt:

have you watch errani play..she is pretty solid serve and on clay she is deadly...Brianti's serve is non existence

Wouldn't have made the play if I didn't know what I was talking about

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#4
Posted: 5/3/2012 8:34:50 AM
Nice call Brianti up a break..if you have the option take the +6 in  the Machado match..if it ends at 18 games total you get a push instead of a loss. GL
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KBrick84 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 5/3/2012 8:48:29 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by benny987:

Nice call Brianti up a break..if you have the option take the +6 in  the Machado match..if it ends at 18 games total you get a push instead of a loss. GL

Thought about grabbing the +6.5 a few hours back...but a slightly better price on my OV 18.5 and liked both equally.  I dont really care what Brianti does at this point, I honestly capped it at 6-3 6-3 at best...so I dont want her to take a set and bring in the risk of her getting bageled.

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KBrick84 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:04:07 AM
Tomic is rolling, looks really good on this court.  Brianti loses 1st 4-6...just need her to get me 1 game to guarantee a push. (Assuming she loses in straights)
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#7
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:15:35 AM
Here comes the bagel threat from Brianti.  Thank god she got me 4 games in the 1st or I'd be burnt toast already.
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#8
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:21:02 AM
Brianti's age catching up with her.  Can't win any crucial points right now.
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#9
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:29:20 AM

 Bagel...almost knew that garbage was coming.  Tried to talk myself out of playing the 32yr old...and the girl completely hit a wall in the 2nd.

4-6 0-6  to blow the +7

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#10
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:32:01 AM
girl looked like Wawrinka in 1st set with those one handed backhands. I had to put on the stream cause I thought my Errani ML in parlay was going to be toasted. Bri was up 3-1 and had easy volley on break point to go up 4-1 that she missed by an inch. Then went on to lose a bunch of close games and completely mailed it in 2nd set.
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KBrick84 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:34:01 AM
Yup, can't cap a tank job. 
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#12
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:05:05 AM
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