Prospect
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 172
Location: British
Columbia |
#1 Posted: 9/28/2011 4:26:08 PM British Columbia -5 (-110): There are so many warning signs,
it's not even funny, as the Lions have a habit of letting down their backers
when it counts most. New stadium, lots of hype, holding down a huge winning
streak, Edmonton losing to a bunch of 2nd string defenders... it all points to
BC. Looks too easy, I will just go small on this line. Risking 1.1 to
win 1.
Saskatchewan +5.5 (-110): It's not a total wild prediction,
but I will say that if the Riders don't beat the Stamps this weekend they will
not make the playoffs, even if they finish the year 5-0. This is because they
would then be 4 games behind Calgary, and either three games behind Edmonton
and BC or 2 games behind BC and 4 games behind Edmonton. They might as well be
an extra game behind BC since they have already lost the season series.
Needless to say, the Riders will be all in for this game. Even when they
sucked, they played Calgary hard. Calgary is struggling to find a running game,
and as witnessed against BC, have a tough time dealing with a strong pass rush,
which the Riders now possess. In fact, despite the big loss, the Riders have
the same type of make up as the Lions, and I expect them to at least keep this
a one possession game until the very end. Fantuz is questionable.Risking 1.1
to win 1.
Detroit +1 (-110): That's two weeks in a row where the Cowboys
have failed to cover, and didn't even deserve to win. This Cowboys team is beat
up, and it is showing. Bad route running, bad snaps, poor decision making, this
team has been lucky to play two poor teams in a row. Well, that will stop on
Sunday, when the 4-0 Lions come to town. Not only would I take the Lions if
Dallas was completely healthy, but one look at the ATS records of these two
teams says even more. Dallas is not to be trusted, and frankly, I'm surprised
the Lions aren't listed as 2-3 point favourites. With all their defensive
injuries, I don't know who will stop Titus Young, let alone Burleson and the
unstoppable Megatron. Even if Romo can move the ball, I don't think he can keep
up. Risking 1.65 to win 1.5.
Tennessee +1 (-110): Britt is gone, big deal. Matt Hasslebeck is a
chuck, he is not afraid to throw it up, and still has some weapons to catch
with Washington and Cook needing to pick up some slack. Even if the
talented Haden takes out Washington, I’m not worried about the Titans, who will
look to get the run game going against one of the worst run defences we’ve seen
this season. Cleveland is clearly a run-first team, but will be going against a
Titans team that is one of the best in the league at stopping the run, giving
up only 89 yards/game thus far on the ground. They are even better against the
pass, ranked 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed. All in all,
this is turning into a great defence that should be able to stop the below
average Cleveland offence with relative ease. Risking 1.1 to win 1.
All for now, more to come. Also, in case anyone missed it, former Stamps
DB Brandon Browner had the dubious task of defending Larry Fitzgerald on
Sunday, and actually did a half decent job against arguably the best WR in the
NFL. If only NFL teams gave CFL guys a shot, I know for a fact there are plenty
more who could make an impact down south. You telling me Tennessee couldn’t use
Jamel Richardson or Andy Fantuz? Odel Willis could help the pass rush of many
teams, while Cory Boyd could be a great 3rd down RB.
Record: 36-23-2, +21.15 units
Last Week: 4-5-1, -2.3 units
Early Predictions
Montreal 26, Winnipeg 21
British Columbia 29, Edmonton 22
Saskatchewan 44, Calgary 34
Toronto 23, Hamilton 21 |