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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 Opening Game Favorite
therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
therizz
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#201
Posted: 4/29/2012 11:14:21 PM

Plays for 4/30

SEASON RECORD: 26-1                                +10.7U
AL: 11-1 (G1:7, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

*Ser #28 (G1) 7:00  bal @ NYY -165      9          95/3.16U

Ser #29 (G1) 7:00  kc @ DET -145       8.5        95/3.16U

*Ser #30 (G1) 7:00  oak @ BOS -165       9        95/3.16U 

Ser #31 (G1) 10:00  min @ LAA -236    7.5       95/3.16U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-50-75-80                                               15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
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SpOrTzFaN1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#202
Posted: 4/30/2012 1:13:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Cincy didnt qualify...I played HOU last night instead.

Today

  • PHI (B)
  • TOR (B)



rizz i dont get how come cincy dident qualify when you posted it it was -150 i dont understatd please help do we do the ending line or opening line?
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BigTenWatto
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#203
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:01:20 AM
What about Phi today?
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glefkb01
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#204
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:25:25 AM

Cincy actually went to 130 by game time...   thats why I thought they didnt qualify.

 

Rizz....    I have MIA (-160); PHI (-170); NYY(-170); DET (-150); ATL (-170); BOS (-165); LAA (-230) today???

Please confirm.
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alekomtz
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#205
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:00:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Cincy actually went to 130 by game time...   thats why I thought they didnt qualify.

 

Rizz....    I have MIA (-160); PHI (-170); NYY(-170); DET (-150); ATL (-170); BOS (-165); LAA (-230) today???

Please confirm.

 

Marlins series finishes today, so it is not a play.

Phillies finish their series today against the cubs.

Bos, NYY, LAA confirmed, and Det as well, but we have to look at the line.

BOL everyone
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SoCal311 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#206
Posted: 4/30/2012 12:59:23 PM
I like BOS NYY LAA but Im not playing DET there playing like crap... Until they turn it around Im not playing them at all... If they win one of the games though good for the peeps that are playing them.... GL to all...
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alekomtz
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#207
Posted: 4/30/2012 5:35:30 PM
is tampa a playy??? it is -145 in my book now
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Cool_Money send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#208
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:45:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alekomtz:

is tampa a playy??? it is -145 in my book now


I think the system is based on the opening line being -145 or more according to Covers.com line moves.
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#209
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:48:38 PM
TB is not a play.  opened at -117.  DET is borderline so play with caution.  I already pulled the trigger on it last night....
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#210
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:52:43 PM
Guys, I backtested this against a closing line of -150 or higher or an opening line at pinnacle of -145 or higher.  Due to my work schedule, I try to make my plays the night before because I can't watch the closing lines.  Covers only lists pinnacle odds the day of the game under My odds tab, so I can't always confirm them the night before.  DET today and Cincy in the last set were borderline plays but since I already played them I am keeping track of them.  If you have more of a regular schedule and can confirm the day of the game feel free to play it as I originally tested it, but just be cognizant that your lines will differ from mine.
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#211
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:08:33 PM
Played -1 for LAA game.
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#212
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:28:37 PM
STL, CIN, SF will be G1 plays tomorrow to win 40/1.33U

If Bos or LAA go to B bets they will be to win 95/3.16U
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SpOrTzFaN1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#213
Posted: 5/1/2012 1:24:23 AM
what about DET rizz?
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#214
Posted: 5/1/2012 1:57:55 AM
Det is only playing a 2 game series. So no play
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#215
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:56:09 AM
Another money day for this season 
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SoCal311 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#216
Posted: 5/1/2012 9:14:49 AM

Just to help out Rizz which seems he has a crazy work sched...

Plays for today which opened above -145 at home 3 series/more

SF-155     6o/u

StL-185    8o/u

Cin-155    7o/u

Your book might be different but this is what my local opened up at.... GL all lets get that

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hehrsy
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#217
Posted: 5/1/2012 4:21:07 PM
It is looking like CWS will be a play as well if their line stays the same.
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#218
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:14:28 PM
Was looks like a play too
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#219
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:21:53 PM

Plays for 4/30

SEASON RECORD: 29-1                                +17.02U
AL: 14-1 (G1:10, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

*Ser #28 (G1) 7:00  bal @ NYY -165      9          95/3.16U

Ser #29 (G1) 7:00  kc @ DET -145       8.5        95/3.16U -PPD

*Ser #30 (G1) 7:00  oak @ BOS -165       9        95/3.16U 

Ser #31 (G1) 10:00  min @ LAA -236    7.5       95/3.16U /

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-30-x   +190                                       15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
quote
therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#220
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:25:53 PM

Plays for 5/1

SEASON RECORD: 29-1                                +17.02U
AL: 14-1 (G1:10, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #31 (G1) 7:00  chc @ CIN -160   8        40/1.33U

Ser #32 (G1) 8:00  pit @ STL -170    7        40/1.33U

Ser #33 (G1) 10:00 mia @ SF -148   6         40/1.33U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-30-x   +190                                       15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
quote
SpOrTzFaN1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#221
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:49:33 PM
since we puahed on laa do we chase them
still
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#222
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:00:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SpOrTzFaN1:

since we puahed on laa do we chase them
still


I am just going to call it a push and not chase.  Good luck if you do.
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Air1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#223
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:00:51 PM
hey rizz I see you have not bet to win more than 3.16 units yet. Would you bet to win more than that in the future?
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therizz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#224
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:14:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:

hey rizz I see you have not bet to win more than 3.16 units yet. Would you bet to win more than that in the future?


I think I had one play around 4U last week.  I am being a little less aggressive with the lines since it is early in the season.  I generally like to keep it under 5U or so per play because with the juice on a lot of these they can quite large wagers.

Just FYI if anyone is wondering about CHW or WAS as possible plays:  I skipped them due to the low opening line.  CWS would have qualified the way I used to play the system.
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SpOrTzFaN1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#225
Posted: 5/2/2012 2:19:32 AM
thanks rizz how many units on cincy tomorrow?
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