#1 Posted: 4/30/2012 9:25:58 PM 2 dollar super ----I actually did a little homework with this one...pretty close race but I'm going with trainers/jockey/ workouts/last race to try and figure this out
real quick my longshot play 2 6 7 1----this (2) has some value...only horse to really have a nice amt of workouts coming up to this race and bill beamer has finished ITM 3 of his last 3...
quick review
(1) first time starter and track bias points towards in the rail...I have a gut feeling he may finish 4th as no one is that amazing in this race...however I think he tires in this one...gotta elimate some horses so a NO GO
(2) already talked about him has some nice works and good trainer. In terms of long shots, IMO hes live to hit the board
(3) He just seems like a false favorite IMO...parker switches from this horse to the (7)...watch (3) last race he does well but then just dies in home stretch. (6) horse challenges and surpasses...I'm getting rid of (3)
(4) This horse is interesting...the favorite for good reason but just doesn't have the credentials for me to back only him
(5) first horse I elminated..watched his last race that was only 10 days ago...not impressed...if somehow he shows up today so bet it
(6) Liking this horse more and more....last race just passes the (3) like a gangsta....hes my top play
(7) Scary b/c deshawn parker changes to him from the (3) has some decent works but I just don't see him winning this one
(8) This horse will probably be the one that f's me...prob will hit the board but I'm going for a big cash tonight. He's got one work at 5f 106 b and hasn't run since july 23rd 2011. To me this is just a workout for him...outside post makes me elimate
(9)
(10) for time sake I'm putting thse two together. 9 and 10 , just not to impressive. Could they place ITM sure. 9 really has nothing to show for his last race was pathetic. Trainer numbers scare me but like I said gotta eliminate someone.
Same deal with 10....bad start and just no speed. I'm going against him If i had to take someone i'd take 9 over 10...but better horses in this field
so final play 2 dollar super is 60 bills ...if this hits it will be big...4 is at 1/9 right now...6 at 18 to 1
6 with 4,7,2 with 4,7,2 with 4,7,2,1,3,8,9
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