Posted: 4/8/2012 7:20:00 PM
Updated Record and Units
(5-6 -2 Units ) 3-1 hitting both LARGE PLAYS TODAY
Medium Play: Texas RL +120
Tonight's action pits Gavin Floyd vs Matt Harrison. The Rangers are 1-1 on homestand with a tough loss last night. Gavin Floyd has been a consistent good pitcher with a team that hasn't given him to much support. I don't expect anything different tonight. Gavin hasn't started off strong throughout the years as his toughest Month has been April. His average against the Rangers is .305 for this game. Hamilton has really controlled him batting a whopping .600..Even grade with Napoli out as Torrealba is 3 for 5 vs Floyd. Murphy on every ball.
Harrison isn't anything special vs White Sox but so far has held them to a 7-38 appearance at the plate for a .184 average while never facing 3 batters. I think at the beginning of the year pitchers have an edge. I expect Harrison to go after hitters except for Rios who has hit him well.
Line has fluctuated all day but still remains in the mid 60's for the home team. The umpire over the past 3 season has hit over 55 % on the over favoring the better hitting team in my opinion. Wegner is even better with RH and LH starters hitting at a 59% Over.
I've also played some money on the over and like the team total over 4.5 but the 135 juice has limited my amount on the Rangers.
Weather: Wind isn't a huge factor but rain may be as it's a high percentage of rain. Getting to bullpen early would be even better.
Recommended Plays: Texas RL +120, Over 4.5 runs and ML parlayed with Oakland tomorrow.