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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NCAA Football System - 2 team parlays
like2betmore send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#226
Posted: 9/10/2010 4:08:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:

batman, I use 7 pts. as the minimum spread for college and pro games. That requires the favorite to score twice to beat you and I use 28 as the upper limit as the total unless it is more than a 7 pt. spread and then I've gone to 35 totals as the upper limit (those totals only show up in college games). Both college and pro have hit at just over 69% for the year with those parameters for the FIRST HALF only.

This season college is 117-51-13 and pros are 23-10-3 using those parameters. You have to have discipline and bet them all. You can't pick and choose because you never know which ones will come in.

More than 7 pt spread and total upper limit 35.  So any total over 35 is a no go?

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powerade
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#227
Posted: 9/10/2010 5:17:34 PM

for ull games, this does not work in the pros

most of this thread has them talking about half-time lines

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#228
Posted: 9/10/2010 5:36:13 PM
would you guys recommend playing full games with the 40% rule... and also the first halves? Or one or the other? thanks for any advice..
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#229
Posted: 9/10/2010 5:36:37 PM
and which for college and which for pro?
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#230
Posted: 9/11/2010 8:27:24 AM

has anyone ever tried a "RR"...2 teamers are great, but why pick soooo many plays. I look for my best 3 or 4 max for the day, o/u, lay/take the points and pound the (shy)....to many teams cause a lot of losses- thats why you handicap not pot luck plays.

best angle to bet, bol

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#231
Posted: 9/11/2010 10:41:14 AM

l2b, You can play the 35 or more totals for the first half but you need well into double digit spreads to do it. I usually pass any 35 or more total like Houston last night (although it was a winner).

power, last year first half betting was working fine for the pros with the 7 pt. spreads or more. Winning percentage was virtually the same for pros and college last year.

mtg, after looking at 4 years of data, I've come to the conclusion that you are better off NOT handicapping the games. Once your opinion is thrown into the mix you're fighting the percentages. Playing all the qualifying games, you spread your risk around and you are going to hit 65%+ of your plays. In football, an interception here a fumble there and your handicapping goes right out the window. Let the percentages work for you. It's just math. Math is a constant, an oblong football is not.

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#232
Posted: 9/11/2010 7:50:09 PM
kkirby, what % are you using for 1st half in NFL?  I don't see any plays this week. 
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#233
Posted: 9/11/2010 10:33:39 PM

Hey all,

Checked this system out for the first two weeks of 2009 and the numbers were in the negative. Looked at 1H and the whole game, both negative. Only looking at 40% or greater.

Last week was in the plus, but this week seems to be in the red w/ a few games pending. Curious, has anyone backtested an overall W/L ratio for previous years for 1H and the overall game?

Let me know please, thanks.

~Red

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#234
Posted: 9/11/2010 10:59:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by redrosedevil:

Hey all,

Checked this system out for the first two weeks of 2009 and the numbers were in the negative. Looked at 1H and the whole game, both negative. Only looking at 40% or greater.

Last week was in the plus, but this week seems to be in the red w/ a few games pending. Curious, has anyone backtested an overall W/L ratio for previous years for 1H and the overall game?

Let me know please, thanks.

~Red

Last week was 7-2-1 ev, so far this week is 5-1...3 games pending

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#235
Posted: 9/11/2010 11:20:39 PM

Ignore that last post. Miscalculated the ratio of a parlay at 100:160, instead of 100:260. My bad, apologies.

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#236
Posted: 9/11/2010 11:54:26 PM

lol

new 2010 thread fellas

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=100820445

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#237
Posted: 9/12/2010 12:19:34 AM
USC, no plays in the NFL this week. I just use any 1st half spread of 7 or more with any total 28 or under for the pros. These won't show up probably for a couple of weeks when they get banged up and we see who the real crap teams are.
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#238
Posted: 10/11/2010 9:34:46 AM
bump, because it's important.
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#239
Posted: 10/11/2010 10:49:42 PM
bump, because folks keep asking about the parameters.
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#240
Posted: 10/12/2010 3:15:40 PM
good post
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#241
Posted: 10/18/2010 2:01:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lightzout:

Do any offshore books take these kind of bets and if so can u please send me a message as too which one or ones do. Thanks


Good grief.  After all the explanations in earlier pages, here comes the one-post idiot asking what has been answered on page 1 already (and several times after that)

Question:  the books troll Covers and other forums as well.  What makes you guys think they won't make adjustments after they read this thread, do the math and realize they still have a loophole with regards to the 1H?  I know the system's been successful for 3 yrs running, but still...
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#242
Posted: 6/17/2011 3:36:17 PM
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#243
Posted: 7/12/2012 12:48:01 AM
I have 2 books so gonna try this, start with Canadian football 
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#244
Posted: 11/27/2012 12:49:25 AM

very late to the party, finally found a local who will accept these bets. too bad the seasons over

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#245
Posted: 12/22/2012 8:55:19 AM

I have used this method with online books, they won't take anything over .33, but it has been successful down to the .25 level.

Mostly NCAA, but NFL has been coming along nicely recently.

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#246
Posted: 12/22/2012 8:59:05 AM
Adding to the above, I often play halves and quarters, for less $$.
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#247
Posted: 12/22/2012 7:37:02 PM
The higher the quotient, the more it lends itself to the Favorite and Over parlay.
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#248
Posted: 9/25/2013 11:11:55 AM

is anyone still running this or did you get stopped out by your bookie?

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#249
Posted: 9/25/2013 2:23:49 PM
Hoop, I am still playing these online with a local in TX.   Went 14-3 last week in College. 
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#250
Posted: 9/25/2013 10:22:00 PM
Like www.easywin.webs.com on FB to get free picks every week.
Posted using a mobile device.
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