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Author: [Other] Topic: Django's AFL 2012 thread
Django
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#51
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:11:10 PM
Well that fucked me average.

Pies are cold, at least Eddie McGuire will shut the darn up for a few days.

YTD
8-8-0
+1.97

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Django
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#52
Posted: 4/13/2012 9:41:29 PM
Port have greatly improved, Swans aren't a high scoring team and don't really put sides away as we learned again, against the Giants.

Think Swans will be just good enough to get home by a 15-20 points, wouldn't be surprised to see Port get an upset SU win here but I'm feeling the Swans 1-39 is the play. I think it's more likely that Swans just cover than Port winning and it shouldn't stretch out to 40+

Swans 1-39 1u @ 2.35 (sportingbet)

Obvious Demons fade, but this is Richmond who lost to the Suns last year, so just a single unit play. Richmond should win by more than 10 goals. But I won't hold my breath.

Tigers -30.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

It's a nice mild day in Perth, bet365 have the total at 187.5. I like the over on this one with Brown back and I can see the total going over 200. The line is a little high at -43.5, even though the Lions fan side of me thinks we'll get thrashed by lots, if Lions do manage to be competitive both teams should put up 100 each, if not I can see a 120+ to 60 type scoreline.

Dockers vs Lions Over 187.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)

I thought the Suns would fare a little better this year, clearly I was mistaken. Bombers should blow them away by over 100.

Bombers -55.5 1u @ $1.98 (pinnacle)
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Django
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#53
Posted: 4/13/2012 9:57:46 PM
7 teamer for fun

Cats -28.5
Hawthorn 1-39
West Coast -99.5
Saints -10.5
Bombers -56.5
Sydney 1-39
Tigers -30.5

.1 @ 132.03 (sportsbet)
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#54
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:24:03 PM
Tigers, Swans 
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#55
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:50:13 PM
Like the Tigers, I see its gone from 24.5 to 30.5 in a week! But who in their right mind could take the Demons.

Gonna ride with you on the FREBRIS over punt. Indeed a fine day here in Perth.  Just got 186.5 on sportsbet.

BOL

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Django
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#56
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:06:57 PM
cheers nbird, nice to know BOM didn't mislead me this week.

LL Swans and Tigers should surely get us home today.
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Django
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#57
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:32:50 PM
Adding a few more small plays.

Bombers -99.5 .2u @ $8.00 (sportsbet pyol)

Tigers -99.5 .1u @ $20.00 (sportsbet pyol)

x2 @ .1u @ $160
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Django
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#58
Posted: 4/14/2012 2:53:29 AM
Tigers -30.5 .99.5

Was nearly gonna take the 59.5, that wouldn't have been nice losing by .5. I didn't expect them to cover -99.5 but at 20/1 and Melbournes shitness it was worth a small shot. Shame Tigers couldn't repeat that 3rd quarter in the 4th.

Swans 1-39

10-9-0 | Multi 0-3
+4.22
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Django
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#59
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:29:01 AM
This Lions Freo game is a joke, gonna be lucky to go over 87 and I wouldn't be surprised if Lions pull shock of the round and win SU.

Saints -12.5 1u @ 1.92
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#60
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:35:46 AM
Incredibly tough being on the over.  Have watched Pies and FreBris Over be cooked by halftime in the space of 18 hours!
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#61
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:44:16 AM
Com on Doggies!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#62
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:45:55 AM
haha wrong thread
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Django
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#63
Posted: 4/14/2012 5:08:09 AM
Glad sportsbet didn't have the totals up when I did that 7 teamer! It would have been a losing 8 teamer.

Freo v Bris Over

YTD
10-10-0 | Multi 0-3
+3.22

Just to condense my pending plays into last post

Saints -12.5 1u @ 1.92

Bombers -55.5 1u @ $1.98 (pinnacle)
Bombers -99.5 .2u @ $8.00 (sportsbet pyol)


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#64
Posted: 4/14/2012 8:20:22 AM
Bombers You friggin duds.

Saints

YTD
11-12-0 | Multi 0-4
+3.02
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#65
Posted: 4/14/2012 8:39:09 AM
Bombers were bad but it shows how bad GC are. The bombers played hard for 15min and still got the win
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#66
Posted: 4/14/2012 9:42:36 AM
That Over on Friday nights game...unbelievabl didn't hit..TAB made a lot of money in that game on the over and on people betting on collingwood. I was about to lay some $$$ on the over as well...but the odds was only paying like $1.60 something, hence I didn't play

I got hit by that dodgy Freo vs Brisbane game...I thought over 185.5 was a reasonable bet....but it was lost by the 1st qtr...darn

Then on Half time I bet on  Freo -37.5, because my thought was Brisbane only had like 5 scoring shot in the whole half... and Freo for sure will kick more goals in 2nd half...but who would have thought that these guy kept on scoring behinds..darn!!!!

Luckily I made my money back in St Kilda -14.5!!!

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#67
Posted: 4/14/2012 6:11:48 PM
When I checked the scores on the AFL site I thought it was glitched when the scores were so low in the 3rd Q, alas no.

Fortunately despite going 3-4 for the day, 3-6 including the multis I ended up 1.05u up. Think I'll be playing what would have been the last 3 legs in my 7 teamer. Hawks -39, Cats 27.5 and Weagles -99.5
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Django
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#68
Posted: 4/14/2012 7:33:52 PM
Adelaide should put in a decent effort and not get blown away, line of around -30 is too much imo

Hawks 1-39 1u @ 2.30 (sportsbet)

Cats should be far too good for North.
Cats -27.5 1u @ 2.04 (pinnacle)

Not sure about playing such a large spread on the Eagles game.
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#69
Posted: 4/14/2012 10:07:36 PM
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Django
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#70
Posted: 4/15/2012 3:58:21 AM
ugh Hawks by 56

Hawks 1-39
YTD
11-13-0 | Multi 0-4
+2.02

Probably be adding another loss later, shitbag catters.

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Django
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#71
Posted: 4/15/2012 5:22:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Django:


Cats should be far too good for North.
Cats -27.5 1u @ 2.04 (pinnacle) 




North win SU by 23

YTD
11-14-0 | Multi 0-4
+1.02
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#72
Posted: 4/15/2012 5:39:38 AM
KANGA'S  Didn't see it coming
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Django
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#73
Posted: 4/20/2012 5:07:23 AM
Dockers +18.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Dockers ML .4u @ 3.00 (sportsbet)
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Django
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#74
Posted: 4/20/2012 4:39:19 PM
YTD
13-14-0 | Multi 0-4
+2.74

Making quite a few more plays than usual today

Carlton vs Essendon Over 205.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)

Adelaide -90.5 2u @ 1.91 (bet365)

Suns +20.5 1u @ 1.91 (bet365)
Suns ML .5u @ $3.20 (bet365)

Port +26.5 1u @ 1.96 (pinnacle)
Port ML .5u @ 4.66 (pinnacle)

Eagles -6.5 2u @ $1.95 (pinnacle)
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#75
Posted: 4/21/2012 12:34:18 AM


GL bro!! glad to see you're using bet365 although crows only -85.5 on sportsbet. must be the weather??
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