NBA Monday 4.30.2012

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA Monday 4.30.2012
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 12:35:48 PM

2012 Playoffs : 6-3-0 +24.24 units

Indiana Pacers -9 (10 units to win 9.52)

Indiana Pacers -5 first half (8.4 units to win 8)

Orlando has now beaten the Pacers four out of the five times they have played this year.  So while possible they are just a bad matchup for Indiana, let's have a look insdie the box score on each

January 24, 2012 – Orlando 102 Indiana 83

FG %: 45.8% (Orlando) vs. 39.7% (Indiana)

3Pt %: 40.6% (Orlando) vs. 27.3% (Indiana)

Bench Scoring: 49 (Orlando) vs. 27 (Indiana)

Howard: 14 points, 9 rebounds

 

February 4, 2012 – Orlando 85 Indiana 81

FG %: 40.3% (Orlando) vs. 34.1% (Indiana)

3Pt %: 36.0% (Orlando) vs. 18.2% (Indiana)

Bench Scoring: 17 (Orlando) vs. 25 (Indiana)

Howard: 27 points, 8 rebounds

March 11, 2012 – Orlando 107 Indiana 94

FG %: 46.8% (Orlando) vs. 47.6% (Indiana)

3Pt %: 37.0% (Orlando) vs. 8.3% (Indiana)

Bench Scoring: 30 (Orlando) vs. 34 (Indiana)

Howard: 30 points, 13 rebounds

April 28, 2012 – Orlando 81 Indiana 77

FG %: 39.5% (Orlando) vs. 34.5% (Indiana)

3Pt %: 37.5% (Orlando) vs. 30.8% (Indiana)

Bench Scoring: 17 (Orlando) vs. 14 (Indiana)

Howard: DNP

Orlando was led to a victory in each game with a combination of solid perimeter defense, strong shooting from behind the arc, domination from Dwight Howard or successful scoring and minutes from the bench.

When Indiana shoots the ball well, you get the result you got on January 29, 2012 when the Pacers won 106-85.  The Magic shot the ball well, Howard went for 24 and 13, but their defense was terrible and the bench was non-existent.  They no longer can rely on Howard on either end of the floor, so they will need to shoot lights out, defend the perimeter well and get significant scoring from their bench.  The Game 1 victory was more of Indiana playing poorly than it was Orlando doing all those things well.  Their defense was good, but I wonder whether the Howard-less Magic can put forth back to back solid showings on the road.  Indiana showed their youth in Game 1, and possible they came in overly confident with Howard out of the lineup.  I think they come out firing tonight, and I don't think this game is close. 

 

andreagassi6969 PM andreagassi6969
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Posted: 4/30/2012 12:39:13 PM
insatiable PM insatiable
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Posted: 4/30/2012 12:49:55 PM
Good luck buddy
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 1:14:31 PM
andre, insastiable - thanks guys
MRSUREPICKS PM MRSUREPICKS
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Posted: 4/30/2012 1:17:05 PM
.....Pacers played as BAD as they could play. Magic was nearly flawless.

That's alot to ask for in this entire series.

Pacers win in 5 or 6.
Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 1:23:34 PM
Sorry but games played in January and Feb have little to no bearing on this match up. You gotta dig into the numbers of the last 2 games. You put all the information on paper. Then u bet against it,just doesn't make sense.  If your not taking the 9 pts in this game there is no need to bet it.
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 1:31:55 PM

MrSure - thanks buddy

Damu - While I agree they have no bearing on the outcome, I disagree they have no bearing on evaluating matchups.  Certainly possible the Magic repeat their Game 1 performance, but what is leading you to think they do? Just because they did in Game 1 is not something I use to handicap games.  Good luck on your plays tonight

Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 2:41:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

MrSure - thanks buddy

Damu - While I agree they have no bearing on the outcome, I disagree they have no bearing on evaluating matchups.  Certainly possible the Magic repeat their Game 1 performance, but what is leading you to think they do? Just because they did in Game 1 is not something I use to handicap games.  Good luck on your plays tonight


I stand corrected it does have bearing on evaluating the match up? The numbers you have listed lead me to think they will cover. Magic have played strong down the stretch without D-12 a team covering 4 outta 5 matchups is tough to bet against.

P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 4/30/2012 2:47:41 PM
Pacers should name their score tonight
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:07:43 PM

Damu - No argument there.  Orlando might just have Indiana's number, but I'm thinking things reverse tonight in a big way. 

P4P - that's what I'm thinking

All_Star - thank you

 

SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:11:04 PM

New York Knicks +10 (10 units to win 9.52)

New York Knicks +3 first qtr (8.8 units to win 8.00)

New York Knicks +520 (2 units to win 10.40)

Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:32:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

New York Knicks +10 (10 units to win 9.52)

New York Knicks +3 first qtr (8.8 units to win 8.00)

New York Knicks +520 (2 units to win 10.40)



Wow you are heavy on the Knicks. Care to elaborate why you going so hard on this gm?
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:48:35 PM
Since Mike Woodson took over, the Knicks have not allowed opponents to score 100+ in back to back games.  Following games where they allowed 100+ points, they allwoed on average 82.6 points per game.  I think this holds up tonight.  Also, since Woodson took over, the Knicks have only trailed one 1st quarter by more than three points against playoff teams.  That is 7 games and they were trailing in only two of those seven games.  The Knicks need to get out to a good start to eliminate the lingering bad taste from Saturday.  I'm not concerned about the injury to Shumpert.  Sure, he is there best defender, but I think the team holds up and I think Melo bounces back from the horrendous Game 1 performance.
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:50:26 PM
I should disclaim the above by saying the Heat absolutely dominated the Knicks on both sides of the ball, so it's possible the Knicks are just running into a buzzsaw on a mission.  But, I think the Knicks show up tonight and if they do, ten points is entirely too many in my opinion.
Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:53:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

Since Mike Woodson took over, the Knicks have not allowed opponents to score 100+ in back to back games.  Following games where they allowed 100+ points, they allwoed on average 82.6 points per game.  I think this holds up tonight.  Also, since Woodson took over, the Knicks have only trailed one 1st quarter by more than three points against playoff teams.  That is 7 games and they were trailing in only two of those seven games.  The Knicks need to get out to a good start to eliminate the lingering bad taste from Saturday.  I'm not concerned about the injury to Shumpert.  Sure, he is there best defender, but I think the team holds up and I think Melo bounces back from the horrendous Game 1 performance.

I love Knicks 1st qtr maybe even 1st half. But I'm terrified after that lol good luck. That's a lot of action for one side bro
Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 3:55:44 PM
Your 2 units on the ml has a better chance with the mavs than the Knicks IMO 
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 4/30/2012 4:30:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Damu4Life:

Your 2 units on the ml has a better chance with the mavs than the Knicks IMO 

 

With the Mavs??  Huh??

 

Sit back and watch Spazzer in action.   

Damu4Life PM Damu4Life
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Posted: 4/30/2012 4:39:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GiLmo574:

 

With the Mavs??  Huh??

 

Sit back and watch Spazzer in action.   

Will do my friend.
MIKECOUU78 PM MIKECOUU78
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Posted: 4/30/2012 5:45:21 PM
dimeplayer68 PM dimeplayer68
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Posted: 4/30/2012 6:40:03 PM
GL SDS
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 11:14:22 PM

Oklahoma City UNDER 24.5 Pts 3rd qtr (8.8 units to win 8.8)

 

LVTruck PM LVTruck
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Posted: 4/30/2012 11:17:18 PM
 
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 4/30/2012 11:18:06 PM

Dallas Mavericks Even 3rd Qtr (8 units to win 8)

 

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