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Author: [Politics] Topic: PURPLE POLL: Romney-Ryan Lead in FL, OH, VA
14daroad send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
14daroad
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#76
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:38:54 AM

PPP - A Democratic polling firm:

Mitt Romney ever so slightly in the lead on our Wisconsin poll. Results out tomorrow

I have it currently priced as a -225/+225 race

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ClubDirt send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#77
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:48:20 AM
that may be part of it along with an assessment of the candidates, their strategies, the electoral map, etc.  but i don't think they are looking at the same polls you are looking at that are positive for romney.
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canovsp
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#78
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:53:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

cano, i think the polls are useless.  i trust pinnacle.  we'll see soon enough. 

I trust Pinnacle because they are reflecting the money that they are getting. My question is concerning why is the money going towards Obama? Obviously the people betting on him think he is going to win but why do they think he is going to win. Is it because they like him personally?
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14daroad send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#79
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:57:30 AM

clubdirt,

If they're not looking at the polls I am, they have no clue what they're doing.

Which is my point. These people are betting on their favorite team and pretending it is an informed decisio & the line has value.

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djbrow
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#80
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:59:56 AM

{{{Really? You're not a linesmaker and what would you base this on? .}}}

 

 

As a matter of fact......

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djbrow
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#81
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:04:59 PM

{{{{clubdirt,

If they're not looking at the polls I am, they have no clue what they're doing.

Which is my point. These people are betting on their favorite team and pretending it is an informed decisio & the line has value.}}}

 

 

You actually have no way of knowing what current political gamblers are looking at for a basis on a wager between Obama and Romney. Polls are but one factor. A smart gambler will look at every possible angle including timing.

You believe that Romney is going to win, and you despise Obama and that impacts your ability to objectively analyze this from a gambling perspective.

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#82
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:08:21 PM
i answered that cano.  my guess is no.

14, based on your comments and the odds at -194 and rising, someone is way off.  who it is, we shall see soon enough. 

i'm not in the business of predicting elections.  i would never have thought obama had a chance in 2008 early on. 
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#83
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:22:22 PM

You actually have no way of knowing what current political gamblers are looking at for a basis on a wager between Obama and Romney. Polls are but one factor.

1. I say they are looking at the polls because the polls are the only positive indicator for Obama in this election.

2. I agree they are but 1 factor. All the other factors point to Obama losing.

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#84
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:23:57 PM

You believe that Romney is going to win, and you despise Obama and that impacts your ability to objectively analyze this from a gambling perspective.

1. I never said I believe Romney is going to win.

2. I'm the only one posting any information other than links to the RCP electoral map.

Ergo, it is false to say I can't look at this objectively.

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#85
Posted: 8/20/2012 6:19:19 PM
lol dj, we'll just let the "experts" continue assuming they know everything about everyone
Posted using a mobile device.
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#86
Posted: 8/20/2012 7:47:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hirschfelder:

lol dj, we'll just let the "experts" continue assuming they know everything about everyone


Very true.

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#87
Posted: 8/21/2012 8:23:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:



Really??

You broached the subject by saying that you have the odds @ +225. I guess that was just pure bluster, right??

Time to put up or slink away.

By the way, if Romney is available at a book in excess of +150, why would I or anyone offer you that price?? (Even discounting the fact that you don't pay).




Really?

My original post obviously went over your head, no suprise there. You have zero clue on what a priced line is, or even the slightest clue what the term means

You then come in chest thumping offering up your unobjective, detached from reality opinion

I offer to take you up on your bluster, but you try and turn it around on me. You obviously got upset you got called out. I offer a compronise, the midpoint of my educated line and your delusional one. You refuse, yet somehow I am the one you try to say is backing away.

You said 60%, I'll take take for any amount you are willing to take. Predictably you will refuse. I'll take the midpoint of our 2 prices for any amount you want. Simple math says that you have $x at my price and me have $x at your price is the same as the midpoint. Tee it up, I'm willing to back my opinion. Are you?
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#88
Posted: 8/21/2012 1:45:03 PM

The PPP (democratic firm) Wisconsin Poll is out!Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama 48-47 on our new Wisconsin poll. 7 point shift since early July

Note: Romney has also gained 10 pts with independents in Wisconsin- had been down 14 points, now only 4

 

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#89
Posted: 8/21/2012 4:44:33 PM

PPP’s newest poll on the Massachusetts Senate race finds ScottBrown opening up a 5 point lead, 49-44. This is the first time Brown has led in one of our polls since June of 2011. Our last poll, in June of this year, found a tie and the two before that had modest leads for Elizabeth Warren.


Obamanomics

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#90
Posted: 8/21/2012 4:46:31 PM

native son Mitt Romney has climbed into the lead in Michigan's Presidential contest. The naming of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan has delivered a targeted affect on the Michigan and Midwest campaign dynamics.


I have it currently priced as a -225/+225 race

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#91
Posted: 8/22/2012 12:18:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hirschfelder:



Really?

My original post obviously went over your head, no suprise there. You have zero clue on what a priced line is, or even the slightest clue what the term means

You then come in chest thumping offering up your unobjective, detached from reality opinion

I offer to take you up on your bluster, but you try and turn it around on me. You obviously got upset you got called out. I offer a compronise, the midpoint of my educated line and your delusional one. You refuse, yet somehow I am the one you try to say is backing away.

You said 60%, I'll take take for any amount you are willing to take. Predictably you will refuse. I'll take the midpoint of our 2 prices for any amount you want. Simple math says that you have $x at my price and me have $x at your price is the same as the midpoint. Tee it up, I'm willing to back my opinion. Are you?


You got it predictably assbackward.Quit embarrassing yourself. I'll put my knowledge of pricelines against yours any day of the week and three times on Sunday. You quoted an asinine price, got called out on it and now are backtracking like a pansy. Put up or go the darn away. Ideally the latter. The site knows you as a non-paying stiff. The +225 Romney was your number.

Got welch??




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#92
Posted: 8/28/2012 5:36:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 14daroad:

Do you actually believe the coal miners were not a prop ?


That's right!
Romney paid them!

What coal miner would vote for a big corporate repulsican 

Um, the kind that wants their job. In case you missed it, the Obama Administration has declared a war on coal.



linky
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#93
Posted: 8/28/2012 6:05:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by don juan:

Do you actually believe the coal miners were not a prop ?  Did you look at the expression on their faces ?

 

What coal miner would vote for a big corporate repulsican ? If he did, he is ignorant about coal miner history and what the democrats did for them.


For the first time the Coal Miners union is sitting out the election from an endorsement standpoint.
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#94
Posted: 8/28/2012 8:45:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by darkhorse12:



linky




The point your link was supposed to address is ______?
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#95
Posted: 8/29/2012 9:50:23 PM
showing you what flooding the forum with cut/paste links looks like

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