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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies |
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Burly |
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#101 Posted: 2/27/2012 9:37:22 PM Ok ive finally had a chance to go over all the plays and compare odds and last 10 records for all plays ( and no plays ).
Going to put all the information into one post
Basic system: Wait for a team to have a 3 or more game winning streak, and then lose one game, to be considered a play the team playing against the ended streak team must have a last 10 record of .500 or higher (10 pts or more in last 10 games). Also if streak team is the home team and favored by -185 or higher it will make the game a no play.
System Fade : In the system fade, if the ended streak team is the home team and the opponent is in the bottom three teams in either conference the play will be on the home team, as long as their last 10 is .500 or higher.
The other system fade will not be continued as the system fade posted above has a much better record.
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Burly |
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#102 Posted: 2/27/2012 10:09:35 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:
Ok ive finally had a chance to go over all the plays and compare odds and last 10 records for all plays ( and no plays ).
Going to put all the information into one post
Basic system: Wait for a team to have a 3 or more game winning streak, and then lose one game, to be considered a play the team playing against the ended streak team must have a last 10 record of .500 or higher (10 pts or more in last 10 games). Also if streak team is the home team and favored by -185 or higher it will make the game a no play. ALSO IF ENDED STREAK TEAM HAS ONLY ONE REGULATION LOSS IN LAST 10 THAT WILL MAKE THE PLAY A NO PLAY, UNLESS BOTH TEAMS ENDED STREAKS.
System Fade : In the system fade, if the ended streak team is the home team and the opponent is in the bottom three teams in either conference the play will be on the home team, as long as their last 10 is .500 or higher.
The other system fade will not be continued as the system fade posted above has a much better record.
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Burly |
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#103 Posted: 2/28/2012 12:23:38 AM I also missed posting another play which was NYI vs OTT, the play would have been on NYI and lost, but with the system fade since the NYI are bottom three it would have been a play on OTT, still though we will chase against OTT.
FEB 28
CHASE AGAINST OTT: PLAY BOS
Teams on streaks: PHX, DAL, COL, PIT |
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Burly |
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#104 Posted: 2/28/2012 11:29:04 PM wont chase after system fade from now on not enough overall wins to make it worth while.
BOS 
will also count this as a A+B loss |
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Burly |
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#105 Posted: 3/2/2012 12:27:25 AM MAR 2
DAL (5-3-2)(ended streak) VS EDM (4-5-1): EDM NO PLAY
Teams on streaks: PIT, WAS, NYR
more plays on mar 3 will post later |
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Burly |
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#106 Posted: 3/3/2012 12:24:46 PM MAR 3
PIT (7-2-1) VS COL (6-3-1)(ended streak): PLAY PIT
CLB (4-5-1) VS PHX (8-1-1)(ended streak): PLAY PHX (system fade)
STL (6-4)(ended streak) VS SJ (3-6-1): NO PLAY
NAS (5-3-2) VS FLA (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY NAS
Teams on streaks: PIT, TB
more plays tomorrow |
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#107 Posted: 3/4/2012 1:49:53 AM not touching CLB games for the rest of the year, i will not be posting anything with games involving them.
PHX
PIT 
NAS |
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#108 Posted: 3/4/2012 1:51:55 AM MAR 4
PHI (5-5) VS WAS (4-6)(ended streak): PLAY PHI |
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#109 Posted: 3/5/2012 12:00:01 AM PHI
Teams on streaks: PIT, TB, BUF |
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The__Man |
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#110 Posted: 3/5/2012 12:02:00 AM
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Burly |
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#111 Posted: 3/5/2012 7:41:38 AM |
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#112 Posted: 3/5/2012 4:22:48 PM UPDATED RECORD:
36 A wins 13 B wins 4 A+B losses
0-1 system fade |
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#113 Posted: 3/7/2012 4:02:38 PM MAR 7
CAR (5-2-3) VS BUF (6-2-2)(ended streak): PLAY CAR
Teams on streaks: DAL, LA, CLB, PHI, PIT |
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#114 Posted: 3/7/2012 11:35:54 PM CAR
MAR 8
CHASE AGAINST BUF: PLAY BOS
TB (7-3) VS WAS (4-5-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY |
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#115 Posted: 3/8/2012 10:18:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:
CAR
MAR 8
CHASE AGAINST BUF: PLAY BOS
TB (7-3)(ended streak) VS WAS (4-5-1): NO PLAY |
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#116 Posted: 3/8/2012 10:28:02 PM BOS
MAR 9
NYR (5-3-2) VS CHI (6-4)(ended streak): PLAY NYR
LA (4-5-1)(ended streak) VS DET (5-4-1): PLAY DET |
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#117 Posted: 3/11/2012 7:45:23 AM NYR
DET
MAR 11
CHASE AGAINST CHI: PLAY LA
STL (8-2) VS CLB (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY STL (I WILL NOT BE PLAYING THIS AS CLB IS A TEAM ON MY NO PLAY LIST)
Teams on streaks: PIT, DAL, PHI, STL, NJ |
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#118 Posted: 3/13/2012 4:16:20 PM LA
NJ (5-4-1) VS PHI (7-3)(ended streak): PLAY NJ |
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#119 Posted: 3/14/2012 2:48:06 AM NJ
Teams on streaks: PIT, DAL, WAS, CGY, NSH |
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#120 Posted: 3/15/2012 1:43:33 AM MAR 15
CHASE AGAINST PHI: NO PLAY NYI IN BOTTOM 3
STL (8-1-1)(ended streak) vs CAR (3-3-4): NO PLAY STL ONLY 1 REG LOSS
COL (7-3) vs NJ (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY COL
Teams on streaks: PIT, WAS, CGY, NSH, COL |
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#121 Posted: 3/16/2012 6:32:04 PM MAR 16
COL
CHI (5-4-1) VS DAL (8-1-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY DAL ONLY 1 REG LOSS
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Burly |
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#122 Posted: 3/17/2012 6:43:57 PM MAR 17
(sorry posted late)
CHASE AGAINST NJ: PLAY PIT ()
COL (6-3-1)(ended streak) VS NYR (5-4-1): PLAY NYR
NSH (6-2-2)(ended streak) VS LA (7-3): PLAY LA
Teams on streaks: PIT, FLA, LA
more plays tomorrow |
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#123 Posted: 3/18/2012 7:09:35 PM MAR 18
WAS (6-3-1)(ended streak) VS CHI (6-3-1): PLAY CHI
CLB (4-6) VS CGY (6-3-1)(ended streak): SYSTEM FADE PLAY CGY
Teams on streaks: FLA, LA |
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#124 Posted: 3/18/2012 11:20:18 PM CHI
CGY   thats why i stopped games with CLB
no upcoming plays tomorrow |
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Burly |
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#125 Posted: 1/28/2013 2:04:34 AM Going to start this thread up again for the NHL season
Follow along as we make some
OTT has already lost two after a 3 game streak
Teams on streaks: TB, WIN, MON, SJ, CHI, STL
Teams ended streaks: NJ
Just going to roll with it until we get to 5 games for each team and then will use last five, and then at 10 games will use last ten
Our first play will be a no play as BOS plays b2b vs NJ |
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