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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: over/under chase system |
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1958a |
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#1 Posted: 8/11/2010 12:31:55 PM
I wait for a team to hit 5 consecutively overs or unders and then i jump on the train. I chase for a unit until I lose. When I lose, I chase to win and when I win the chase is over.
The idea is that it is pretty ridiculous to have a team going with let say 8 overs and then hit let say 5 unders! but it can always happen I suppose...
August 8:OAK under WIN
August 9: OAK under WIN and STL over WIN
August 10: OAK under WIN and STL over WIN
August 11:
OAK under 7,5 risking -1,03 to win 1 unit
STL over 7,5 risking -1,03 to win 1 unit
FLO over 9 risking -1,1 to win 1 unit (florida has gone 5 overs)
wish me luck
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TheThinker |
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#2 Posted: 8/11/2010 5:35:34 PM i actaully created a system like this a couple of yrs ago...
wait for a team to play 5 (your number was correct) Overs or Unders in a row, then fade that streak exactly 6 times...
in other words, you need a streak of 11 Overs or Unders to beat you.
you can research this system here at covers, its actually pretty amazing.
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6figure |
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#3 Posted: 8/11/2010 9:58:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by TheThinker: i actaully created a system like this a couple of yrs ago...
wait for a team to play 5 (your number was correct) Overs or Unders in a row, then fade that streak exactly 6 times...
in other words, you need a streak of 11 Overs or Unders to beat you.
you can research this system here at covers, its actually pretty amazing.
Tinker, how did system end up? Why do you still play it?
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1958a |
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#4 Posted: 8/11/2010 11:46:09 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by TheThinker: i actaully created a system like this a couple of yrs ago...
wait for a team to play 5 (your number was correct) Overs or Unders in a row, then fade that streak exactly 6 times...
in other words, you need a streak of 11 Overs or Unders to beat you.
you can research this system here at covers, its actually pretty amazing.
this is a lot different, I follow the streak, do not fade it...
FLO went over yesterday, I play FLO also the over today.
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1958a |
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#5 Posted: 8/11/2010 11:47:56 PM
2-1 yesterday
August 12:
FLO over 8 risking -1,14 to win 1 unit
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TheThinker |
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#6 Posted: 8/12/2010 10:00:45 AM |
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cisco |
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#7 Posted: 8/12/2010 8:02:12 PM Florida
7/5/05 to 7/22/05
15 straight overs.
I can remember this because I was doing the same thing. I started at 7
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TheThinker |
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#8 Posted: 8/12/2010 9:01:31 PM cisco, i recall that as well in my research but there was a game in that streak, around game 9.. that was recorded a Push but it was a win almost all day long..
i never said it didnt happen... that is also why i stop after 11.... |
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stickbit |
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#9 Posted: 8/12/2010 9:37:35 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 1958a:
Here is a system I use lately and has never failed (for 3 months). DO not follow, just watch:
I wait for a team to hit 5 consecutively overs or unders and then i jump on the train. I chase for a unit until I lose. When I lose, I chase to win and when I win the chase is over.
The idea is that it is pretty ridiculous to have a team going with let say 8 overs and then hit let say 5 unders! but it can always happen I suppose...
August 8:OAK under WIN
August 9: OAK under WIN and STL over WIN
August 10: OAK under WIN and STL over WIN
August 11:
OAK under 7,5 risking -1,03 to win 1 unit
STL over 7,5 risking -1,03 to win 1 unit
FLO over 9 risking -1,1 to win 1 unit (florida has gone 5 overs)
wish me luck
1958 - what about the times you have to go say 3 or 4 games chasing...could really destroy your bankroll no?
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stickbit |
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#10 Posted: 8/12/2010 9:56:09 PM
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1958a |
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#11 Posted: 8/13/2010 12:43:23 AM
BALANCE +4,83 units
FLO over 7 risking -2,95 to win 2,14
OAK under 8 risking -1,05 to win 1
SEA under 8,5 risking -1,05 to win 1
STL over 9 risking -2.29 to win 2,03
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1958a |
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#12 Posted: 8/13/2010 12:47:17 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:
by the way it looks like KC had 6 straight overs then 5 straight unders just recently from 7/25 to 8/4 according to Covers records.
yes, this can kill my bankroll, but my betting unit is low. O/U odds are usually at -110.
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1958a |
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#13 Posted: 8/14/2010 2:37:46 AM
FLO chase ended
STL pshed
SEA & OAK also won
Today
oak uder 8 risking 1.13 to win 1
sea under 8,5 risking 1.05 to win 1
stl over 7,5 risking 2,5 to win 2,03
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1958a |
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#14 Posted: 8/14/2010 2:39:17 AM
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bettor2win |
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#15 Posted: 8/14/2010 10:53:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:
Florida
7/5/05 to 7/22/05
15 straight overs.
I can remember this because I was doing the same thing. I started at 7
If FLA had 15 straight Overs then you would have won 10 straight Overs WINS with FLA, correct? Not too bad. But sounds like KC bit you in the A$$ earlier this year if you played them. |
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1958a |
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#16 Posted: 8/15/2010 2:30:47 AM
1-2 yesterday
today:
oak under 8,5 risking 1,13 to win 1 unit
stl over 8,5 risking 5,35 to win 4,53 units
seattle under 7,4 risking 2,34 to win 2,05 units
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1958a |
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#17 Posted: 8/15/2010 2:39:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:
If FLA had 15 straight Overs then you would have won 10 straight Overs WINS with FLA, correct? Not too bad. But sounds like KC bit you in the A$$ earlier this year if you played them.
a 5 leg chase with overs/unders is not as bad as let say JM chases.
if unit is $10, then it is no more than $320 at stake!
anyway if a team goes 10 overs and right after this, it goes let say 8 under until I lose my bankroll, I will not complain, it would be a well earned loss! it is fun though!
Also I usually, as you may have noticed, buy the half point when the odds are at +money! with kansas though this was not the case.
Usually when you see a long series of overs/unders, the series can be disputed because if you have bought the half point, it would have saved your behind (in most cases).
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1958a |
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#18 Posted: 8/16/2010 2:27:16 AM
2-1 yesteraday
STL chase ended.
today
oak under 7 risking -1,01 to win 1
seattle under 9 risking 5,62bto win 4,39
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scubedoo18 |
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#19 Posted: 8/16/2010 12:48:32 PM  |
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1958a |
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#20 Posted: 8/17/2010 10:19:46 AM
1-0 yesterday (seattle under 9 pushed)
Today:
OAK under 7,5 risking -1,29 to win 1 unit
SEATTLE under 9 risking -4.83 to win 4,39 units
MINN under 8,5 risking -1,18 to win 1 unit
NYM under 7,5 risking -1,26 to win 1 unit
OAK is on a 14 games under streak. At game #6 of this streak OAK pushed.
Can you imagine going a few overs after this streak? I don't.
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1958a |
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#21 Posted: 8/18/2010 10:15:09 AM
2-2 yesterday
SEA chase ended
Today:
OAK under 7.5 risking -2,52 to win 2,29
NYM under 7.5 risking -1.24 to win 1
MINN under 7.5 risking -2,57 to win 2,18
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1958a |
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#22 Posted: 8/19/2010 9:16:34 AM
1-2 yesterday
Today:
NYM under 8,5 risking -1,1 to win 1 unit
OAK under 7,5 risking -5,96 to win 4,81 units
MINN under 8,5 risking -5,65 to win 4,75 units
FLO under is not available as of now.
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1958a |
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#23 Posted: 8/20/2010 10:10:12 AM
3-1 yesterday
Today:
New York Mets/Pittsburgh Pirates (U 8.5) risking -1,17 to win 1
Houston Astros/Florida Marlins (U 8) risking -1,10 to win 1
LAA Angels/Minnesota Twins (U 8.5) risking -12,17 to win 10,4 units
MINN is testing my system: after going 5 U, now going 3O
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1958a |
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#24 Posted: 8/21/2010 3:43:58 AM
0-3 yesterday
Today:
MINN under 9,5 risking 23.02 to win 22.57 units
MINN after going 5U, now going 4O looks bas with Trevor Bell on the mount.
METS under 8 risking 2.58 to win 2.17 units
FLO under 8,5 risking 3.46 to win 2.10 units
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TVWIN |
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#25 Posted: 6/17/2011 11:42:15 AM  |
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