- Doubles play right of the bat... Think there is value here... Wawa a good doubles player despite his davis cup failure
- Clay is a great equalizer and Rufin is gonna go straight to trying to grind out Kohls... Rufin grinded out a few good servers in qualies and I think there is somethign to the fact that he has been here for sometime and is comfertable on the surface
- I think Dolgo is playing terrible right now... Perhaps even signs that his career is going down the tubes unless he does something drastic... Dolgo plays many many 3 setters
- I liked this line right away... anything 6-4, or 7-6 would lead to a hit here
Futures:
5u
Nadal To Win Monte Carlo -105 (Y/N)
1u
Murray To Win Monte Carlo +1600
- Hate taking futures where I am actually paying juice but Nadals half is a cake walk to the final... Note that this is a Yes/No play so if he doesnt play a match in Monte Carlo I get a refund
- Murray always tends to have value...
gl all... rollin now so 2u plays are likely the norm....
- Doubles play right of the bat... Think there is value here... Wawa a good doubles player despite his davis cup failure
- Clay is a great equalizer and Rufin is gonna go straight to trying to grind out Kohls... Rufin grinded out a few good servers in qualies and I think there is somethign to the fact that he has been here for sometime and is comfertable on the surface
- I think Dolgo is playing terrible right now... Perhaps even signs that his career is going down the tubes unless he does something drastic... Dolgo plays many many 3 setters
- I liked this line right away... anything 6-4, or 7-6 would lead to a hit here
Futures:
5u
Nadal To Win Monte Carlo -105 (Y/N)
1u
Murray To Win Monte Carlo +1600
- Hate taking futures where I am actually paying juice but Nadals half is a cake walk to the final... Note that this is a Yes/No play so if he doesnt play a match in Monte Carlo I get a refund
- Murray always tends to have value...
gl all... rollin now so 2u plays are likely the norm....
his idol pete never had any success on clay... Raonic probably never will either... Don't know if we are gonna get value like that again this year for Raonic... Couldn't resist a little live bet on Raonic down a set and a break and he prove me right pushing it to a third....
his idol pete never had any success on clay... Raonic probably never will either... Don't know if we are gonna get value like that again this year for Raonic... Couldn't resist a little live bet on Raonic down a set and a break and he prove me right pushing it to a third....
Capped for tomorrow already just gonna post the plays now with lines where they are... I am getting alot of my tennis plays in on betfair now and posting some of those lines would be absurd...
Tues 4/17
4u
Fognini -110
2u
Gil +175
Hasse +4.5 +100
Butorac/Soaers Over Marach/peya -110b, -110
Gonzalez/Kas Over Murray Bros +110
1u
Fognini 2-0 +210
Gil +1.5 Sets -125u
Gil +3.5 -115
- Am I really backing Fabricio Fognini? I guess so.. This court is playing pretty damn slow and Fognini's main strength, his passing shot, plays right into the only game plan Llorda has, serve and volley... I dont know, you are never confident backing Fognini but the matchup points to a fognini win
- Gil made the quarters here last year... Plays well on slow courts... has had some decent results this year and I think there is value against Youzney who has never really done anything at this tourney, and I mean anything... I think he has never made it out of the first round...
- Monaco plays 6 sets in two days in Houston and then hops a plane flys to France to play right on Tuesday... I just dont like him being fresh... Haase is sucking it up this year but he is good enough to know how to hold serve against a guy playing at 50%...
- This time around I will only back Butorac.Soares if I am getting a good price
- Murray Bros rarely tend to do much together in doubles anymore
Capped for tomorrow already just gonna post the plays now with lines where they are... I am getting alot of my tennis plays in on betfair now and posting some of those lines would be absurd...
Tues 4/17
4u
Fognini -110
2u
Gil +175
Hasse +4.5 +100
Butorac/Soaers Over Marach/peya -110b, -110
Gonzalez/Kas Over Murray Bros +110
1u
Fognini 2-0 +210
Gil +1.5 Sets -125u
Gil +3.5 -115
- Am I really backing Fabricio Fognini? I guess so.. This court is playing pretty damn slow and Fognini's main strength, his passing shot, plays right into the only game plan Llorda has, serve and volley... I dont know, you are never confident backing Fognini but the matchup points to a fognini win
- Gil made the quarters here last year... Plays well on slow courts... has had some decent results this year and I think there is value against Youzney who has never really done anything at this tourney, and I mean anything... I think he has never made it out of the first round...
- Monaco plays 6 sets in two days in Houston and then hops a plane flys to France to play right on Tuesday... I just dont like him being fresh... Haase is sucking it up this year but he is good enough to know how to hold serve against a guy playing at 50%...
- This time around I will only back Butorac.Soares if I am getting a good price
- Murray Bros rarely tend to do much together in doubles anymore
- Just saw Verdasco on the tivo and he seems very slow and about 10 pounds overweight... Basically not in the shape he is used to... I think there is value takes aver and fading him throughout this tourney... If there is one thing it takes to win Monte Carlo it is fitness
- Just saw Verdasco on the tivo and he seems very slow and about 10 pounds overweight... Basically not in the shape he is used to... I think there is value takes aver and fading him throughout this tourney... If there is one thing it takes to win Monte Carlo it is fitness
- I vaugely remember who this is... but anyone who can bring Sweeting to retire out of embarassment gets my money on an upset opportunity... Querry and clay are like oil and water... he wins on talent not on strategy...
thats it for today... need some winners to finish the day in the positive...
congrats to all that played chalk today and won... doesnt happen often... I, of course cant hit a parlay, unless it involves two massive dogs and pays 35-1... LOL ...
- I vaugely remember who this is... but anyone who can bring Sweeting to retire out of embarassment gets my money on an upset opportunity... Querry and clay are like oil and water... he wins on talent not on strategy...
thats it for today... need some winners to finish the day in the positive...
congrats to all that played chalk today and won... doesnt happen often... I, of course cant hit a parlay, unless it involves two massive dogs and pays 35-1... LOL ...
Man Baker had his chance up a break in the third, but it happens... Lost a little and made a little live betting today.... But would have been sweet if I hit my big doggie... NO more parlays this week no more sarasota...
- I guess this is where it gets funs... Big boy tennis here... I like all of these guys who are all 100% and in form
- The odds man out is TIpsy... After Isner beat Simon on a identical court a few blocks away I like Tipsy to take care of Simon with shortening points and play quick strike tennis... For those that dont know quick strike tennis entails ending points quickly by constantly directing balls down towards both sidelines of the court, often changing the direction of the ball drastically...
- Velotti is a Stud Athlete, Junkball is a fat pig.
Man Baker had his chance up a break in the third, but it happens... Lost a little and made a little live betting today.... But would have been sweet if I hit my big doggie... NO more parlays this week no more sarasota...
- I guess this is where it gets funs... Big boy tennis here... I like all of these guys who are all 100% and in form
- The odds man out is TIpsy... After Isner beat Simon on a identical court a few blocks away I like Tipsy to take care of Simon with shortening points and play quick strike tennis... For those that dont know quick strike tennis entails ending points quickly by constantly directing balls down towards both sidelines of the court, often changing the direction of the ball drastically...
- Velotti is a Stud Athlete, Junkball is a fat pig.
simon is 3-0 h2h all on HC tipsys best court and they have all been gut wrenching battles where one would think that tipsy would win in a deciding set battle but that has not been the case
tipsy is FAR worse on clay than simon
both have been serving around 50% 1s in which blows
this should be a battle nothing guaranteed at all but def ADV simon
simon is 3-0 h2h all on HC tipsys best court and they have all been gut wrenching battles where one would think that tipsy would win in a deciding set battle but that has not been the case
tipsy is FAR worse on clay than simon
both have been serving around 50% 1s in which blows
this should be a battle nothing guaranteed at all but def ADV simon
ADDED 5u to NADAL Future at -115... Calling it 15u at -110
ONLY PLAYS FRI:
5u
TSONGA + BRYAN BROS*
1u
Haase ML**
- After watching some of Nadal's match today I am very confident he will win this tourney... We are gonna see him round into form against WAWA, then cream Jo-Willy... Joker is a threat to walk away from this tourney at any moment... and playing a match where he is only 50% there mentally will not get him by Murray... hell it might not even get him by Haase...
- Most people dont like Tsonga on clay but I think he is better than most, aggressive shotmaking should get him by Simon... The Bryan Bros have had a nice little break to get things in check.. played impressively, (at least statwise) in the first round... I like them to take down Paes/Steps....
* Will post parlay line when I get a chance
** Will be playing at a first ball served book... Bwin has +750 but I want better... Ladbrokes.com and Interwetten have the same rule and I have friends that have accounts there...
ADDED 5u to NADAL Future at -115... Calling it 15u at -110
ONLY PLAYS FRI:
5u
TSONGA + BRYAN BROS*
1u
Haase ML**
- After watching some of Nadal's match today I am very confident he will win this tourney... We are gonna see him round into form against WAWA, then cream Jo-Willy... Joker is a threat to walk away from this tourney at any moment... and playing a match where he is only 50% there mentally will not get him by Murray... hell it might not even get him by Haase...
- Most people dont like Tsonga on clay but I think he is better than most, aggressive shotmaking should get him by Simon... The Bryan Bros have had a nice little break to get things in check.. played impressively, (at least statwise) in the first round... I like them to take down Paes/Steps....
* Will post parlay line when I get a chance
** Will be playing at a first ball served book... Bwin has +750 but I want better... Ladbrokes.com and Interwetten have the same rule and I have friends that have accounts there...
if tsonga had anything working today he probably would have won that match, but he couldn't serve, his backhand ewas no existent and he was spraying his forehand everywhere... Pretty much knew 10 minutes in...
nothin you can do... But I am totally confident nadal gets to the final... May add even more to the future if possible
if tsonga had anything working today he probably would have won that match, but he couldn't serve, his backhand ewas no existent and he was spraying his forehand everywhere... Pretty much knew 10 minutes in...
nothin you can do... But I am totally confident nadal gets to the final... May add even more to the future if possible
Added more to nadal to win Monter Carlo 2.5u at -143, 2.5u at -160
Total Consolidated My play averages to...
20u
Nadal to Win Monte Carlo -120
ADDED for Sat:
2u
Berdych +3.5, +4 +125, +100
Russia Over Serbia (Fed Cup Semi Tie) +105
Kvitova 2-0 -135
Safarova 2-0 +115
Safarova -3.5, -4 -125, -105
1u
Nadal 2-0 -340
Nadal -5.5 -120
Berdych ML +300
Miryni/Nestor +115
Czech Over Italy -315
- I think Berdych wins, but then again I thought Haase was gonna win too..
- Giving Russia shot because I think they have a lock in the double, just hoping it gets to that point
- Indoor hard, Kvitova is too much class for Errani
- I didnt see any angle where this isnt a clean win for Safarova
- With Simon's shitty play today I dont think he will have the confidence needed to do much against Nadal... You need to have those low percentage shots firing on all cylinders and he surely didnt have it against Tsonga despite winning...
GL ALL, its Nadal or bust from here on out... If he plays Berdych I am holding on to my bet with confidence... If he plays Joker... Well, here's hoping he doesnt play joker... I probably wont be making anymore Fed Cup plays unless Schiavone really sits the bed against Safarova and I would be forced to take Kvitova again...
Added more to nadal to win Monter Carlo 2.5u at -143, 2.5u at -160
Total Consolidated My play averages to...
20u
Nadal to Win Monte Carlo -120
ADDED for Sat:
2u
Berdych +3.5, +4 +125, +100
Russia Over Serbia (Fed Cup Semi Tie) +105
Kvitova 2-0 -135
Safarova 2-0 +115
Safarova -3.5, -4 -125, -105
1u
Nadal 2-0 -340
Nadal -5.5 -120
Berdych ML +300
Miryni/Nestor +115
Czech Over Italy -315
- I think Berdych wins, but then again I thought Haase was gonna win too..
- Giving Russia shot because I think they have a lock in the double, just hoping it gets to that point
- Indoor hard, Kvitova is too much class for Errani
- I didnt see any angle where this isnt a clean win for Safarova
- With Simon's shitty play today I dont think he will have the confidence needed to do much against Nadal... You need to have those low percentage shots firing on all cylinders and he surely didnt have it against Tsonga despite winning...
GL ALL, its Nadal or bust from here on out... If he plays Berdych I am holding on to my bet with confidence... If he plays Joker... Well, here's hoping he doesnt play joker... I probably wont be making anymore Fed Cup plays unless Schiavone really sits the bed against Safarova and I would be forced to take Kvitova again...
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