This will obviously be a very popular pick but with a healthy Tyrod Taylor, and the Jets just shipping off Sheldon Richardson, this seems too easy. We have a home team here vs a team that may not even try to win games this season.
Staying away from road favorites in week 1 like the Falcons and the Steelers. In a survivor pool selecting road teams early on isn't quite necessary unless there aren't any other options on the board. We have three solid options in the Patriots, Bills, and Texans.
The Texans would be a very solid play but if we look ahead with scheduling, the Texans host the Browns in week 6 which makes it tempting to save them for that game. Also with the flooding in Houston from the Hurricane....while that may create magic for the home crowd, that probably also has caused them to miss out on some preparation.
Patriots also would be a solid week 1 pick, but we will need to save them for another spot when options become limited.
This will obviously be a very popular pick but with a healthy Tyrod Taylor, and the Jets just shipping off Sheldon Richardson, this seems too easy. We have a home team here vs a team that may not even try to win games this season.
Staying away from road favorites in week 1 like the Falcons and the Steelers. In a survivor pool selecting road teams early on isn't quite necessary unless there aren't any other options on the board. We have three solid options in the Patriots, Bills, and Texans.
The Texans would be a very solid play but if we look ahead with scheduling, the Texans host the Browns in week 6 which makes it tempting to save them for that game. Also with the flooding in Houston from the Hurricane....while that may create magic for the home crowd, that probably also has caused them to miss out on some preparation.
Patriots also would be a solid week 1 pick, but we will need to save them for another spot when options become limited.
So yea, the Bills probably win this easy. Might even get out of control. BUT the way I see it, the Jets have one true strength to their football team. Even without Rich, they have a very good defensive line. And then what is the Bills only real strength? The thing they HAVE to do well to win football games(at least the last couple years). Running the ball.
So if the Jets D-line wins that battle, I'm willing to bet we have a game. Plus u got 40 guys in that locker room who are generally young and hungry and hearing the last 2 months how bad they are and how they could go 0-16.....maybe motivation is on their side?
Now the second biggest key. QB play. If Hack or Petty are starting, forget it, they are helpless. McCown is a pro though. I see a lot of people throwing around, "he's 2-20 as a starter the last few years" and that looks bad, but he played for the worst team in football in the Browns, and when he was on the field, those teams were very competitive. McCown is not a hopeless guy running a football team.
Idk man. Best of luck, and I hope Buffalo pulls it off for u, as ill have no action in this one.
So yea, the Bills probably win this easy. Might even get out of control. BUT the way I see it, the Jets have one true strength to their football team. Even without Rich, they have a very good defensive line. And then what is the Bills only real strength? The thing they HAVE to do well to win football games(at least the last couple years). Running the ball.
So if the Jets D-line wins that battle, I'm willing to bet we have a game. Plus u got 40 guys in that locker room who are generally young and hungry and hearing the last 2 months how bad they are and how they could go 0-16.....maybe motivation is on their side?
Now the second biggest key. QB play. If Hack or Petty are starting, forget it, they are helpless. McCown is a pro though. I see a lot of people throwing around, "he's 2-20 as a starter the last few years" and that looks bad, but he played for the worst team in football in the Browns, and when he was on the field, those teams were very competitive. McCown is not a hopeless guy running a football team.
Idk man. Best of luck, and I hope Buffalo pulls it off for u, as ill have no action in this one.
Great analysis glyde, I do agree with your points. There is absolutely risk involved here as I can see the jets putting up a great fight once in a while. I am also concerned about the lack of practice time the Jordan Matthews and Tyrod have had together, in case their running game like you said isn't rolling.
But, this is truly the only spot all year we can use the Bills in a survivor pool. This is worth the gamble in my opinion. I'm not burning the Patriots this soon, and the Texans is arguably just as good of a play. But all of the Hurricane noise has me wondering what kind of preparation the Texans have done.
Great analysis glyde, I do agree with your points. There is absolutely risk involved here as I can see the jets putting up a great fight once in a while. I am also concerned about the lack of practice time the Jordan Matthews and Tyrod have had together, in case their running game like you said isn't rolling.
But, this is truly the only spot all year we can use the Bills in a survivor pool. This is worth the gamble in my opinion. I'm not burning the Patriots this soon, and the Texans is arguably just as good of a play. But all of the Hurricane noise has me wondering what kind of preparation the Texans have done.
Our week 2 pick will be another popular one but this one is a no-doubter
OAKLAND RAIDERS
The only argument to for not using them is to save them for later down the road. There are NO spots to use this team. Their schedule gets tough.
Fading the New York Jets most of the season will be quite effective. They were on the road last week at Buffalo, now they are heading all the way to the west coast against a playoff-bound Raiders team.
Look for Marshawn Lynch to have a huge game and the Raiders to dominate this the whole way.
Our week 2 pick will be another popular one but this one is a no-doubter
OAKLAND RAIDERS
The only argument to for not using them is to save them for later down the road. There are NO spots to use this team. Their schedule gets tough.
Fading the New York Jets most of the season will be quite effective. They were on the road last week at Buffalo, now they are heading all the way to the west coast against a playoff-bound Raiders team.
Look for Marshawn Lynch to have a huge game and the Raiders to dominate this the whole way.
There will be a lot of upsets this week, no reason to get too fancy.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Packers have two offensive tackles that are questionable, and Bengals are on 10 days rest with a new offensive coordinator. Let's just avoid that situation.
Eagles are a great play this week in my opinion. Eagles pass rush will be too quick for this Giants awful O-line. But in a division rivalry and Eli Manning capable of anything, not going to over complicate decisions in only week 3 of a survivor.
There will be a lot of upsets this week, no reason to get too fancy.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Packers have two offensive tackles that are questionable, and Bengals are on 10 days rest with a new offensive coordinator. Let's just avoid that situation.
Eagles are a great play this week in my opinion. Eagles pass rush will be too quick for this Giants awful O-line. But in a division rivalry and Eli Manning capable of anything, not going to over complicate decisions in only week 3 of a survivor.
We are still alive and this week and we play it safe again.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Not worried about the questionable tags that the Seahawks have on the injury report. Teams don't go into Seattle and win. Especially an Andrew Luck-less Colts team. The Colts offensive line is arguably the worst, producing a league worst 2.7 YPC on the ground. They have also already given up 11 sacks which is near the bottom of the league.
Since Russell Wilson started in 2012, the Seahawks are 40-6 at home, best among any NFL team since. Three of those losses were against division rival AZ Cardinals. NONE of the 6 losses were vs an AFC team.
We are still alive and this week and we play it safe again.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Not worried about the questionable tags that the Seahawks have on the injury report. Teams don't go into Seattle and win. Especially an Andrew Luck-less Colts team. The Colts offensive line is arguably the worst, producing a league worst 2.7 YPC on the ground. They have also already given up 11 sacks which is near the bottom of the league.
Since Russell Wilson started in 2012, the Seahawks are 40-6 at home, best among any NFL team since. Three of those losses were against division rival AZ Cardinals. NONE of the 6 losses were vs an AFC team.
Since Bortles joined the Jaguars in 2014, he is 3-21 on the road as a starter. We all know that the Steelers are a much better team at home as they are 20-7 at home since 2014.
What do the Jaguars do well? Defend the pass. However, they are bottom of the league in rush defense so far this year. The Steelers have the best running back in the league with Leveon Bell, looking for him to make a big difference in this one.
Taking the Eagles was surely an option this week. However, there are a few things why I will pass on this game. The Eagles' secondary is absolutely exploitable. The Cardinals have absolutely no run game and if Carson Palmer is airing it out all game, something will break down in the Eagles secondary. Yes, the Eagles pass rush is elite and I do believe Carson will take 5+ sacks again with their pitiful O-line. But Fletcher Cox is out and I feel if we look ahead to the Eagles schedule we can find two gems. They are at home Vs the 49ers, then Home Vs the Bears if we need to use them then. The Steelers don't really have anything too juicy on their upcoming schedule. We use them here.
Since Bortles joined the Jaguars in 2014, he is 3-21 on the road as a starter. We all know that the Steelers are a much better team at home as they are 20-7 at home since 2014.
What do the Jaguars do well? Defend the pass. However, they are bottom of the league in rush defense so far this year. The Steelers have the best running back in the league with Leveon Bell, looking for him to make a big difference in this one.
Taking the Eagles was surely an option this week. However, there are a few things why I will pass on this game. The Eagles' secondary is absolutely exploitable. The Cardinals have absolutely no run game and if Carson Palmer is airing it out all game, something will break down in the Eagles secondary. Yes, the Eagles pass rush is elite and I do believe Carson will take 5+ sacks again with their pitiful O-line. But Fletcher Cox is out and I feel if we look ahead to the Eagles schedule we can find two gems. They are at home Vs the 49ers, then Home Vs the Bears if we need to use them then. The Steelers don't really have anything too juicy on their upcoming schedule. We use them here.
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