I've been tracking this for about 7 years. We had a few more numbers we use to tail and in the first 3 years in a row we went between 72-78 winning % ATS just betting blind. Now I just play these specific set numbers.
What are set numbers? It's a fixed spread for NFL that comes out on Wednesday, believe it or not, for Sunday and Monday NFL games, and on Thursday/Friday night for the Saturday games, no line movement occurs after the games are posted. The lines are set.
I found this odd because a lot of the public money would come in 2-3 hours before game time. Didn't they care about the wagers placed and the live lines moving I thought? Apparently not was the answer. So I started tracking the numbers and outcomes. Saw a trend regarding certain dogs. Just to be clear, all lined college games are not posted from the source I use. There may be 15-16 college games from Friday night to Saturday, tops, that's it. Games that are not posted from my source that show the posted numbers below are not considered as opportunities to be wagered on. Every line from my source has a .5 so there will never be a push.
Here are the dog numbers to play and their records so far this season:
+8.5 The Grand Daddy
2-0 NFL (KC, CLEV) 1-0 NCAAFB (SDST)
All 3 covered alternate line of +3.5 (also went 2-1 SU), this week so far Bengals @ Packers
Play on Bengals +8.5
+7.5
NCAAFB 2-0 (OKST, MISS ST)
Both won SU and alternate lines of +3.5 and -3.5.
No games posted yet, games posted Friday night 9:00 MT.
+6.5
NCAAFB 2-0 ATS (Ball St and Kentucky) 1-1 SU
No games posted yet, games posted Friday night 9:00 MT.
+5.5
NFL 2-0 (Jags, Texans)
Both won SU and alternate line -3.5
This week PLAY ON SAINTS +5.5
+3.5
NFL NCAAFB Combined
10-3 ATS and 9-4 SU (It's a familiar number so to keep this short just last weekend Vandy, CAL and Memphis all covered and won SU, Louisville at home was the only loser ATS and SU, MNF Lions on road cover and win SU over the Giants in NFL so 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS last weekend)
So far for this week:
NCAAFB
Utah @ Arizona Friday Night Game posted so far
PLAY ON ARIZONA +3.5
More NCAAFB games to be posted Friday Night 9 pm MT
NFL
Sunday so far (Vikings and Bucks no line posted yet)
PLAY ON :
Bills +3.5
Jags +3.5
Redskins +3.5
MNF Cardinals +3.5
7 games on the dockett so far.
Season Record
19-3 ATS
16-6 SU