Coming off 1 of the most frustrating pushes in my life I took a couple days off to refocus. I really liked SF +2.5 so I had to put my Supercontest picks in much earlier than normal this week, Turns out.... Had I waited, there were a couple better lines I would have liked even more. So far I'm 6-4-1 in the Supercontest and for the rest of week 3 I have:
Indy+1
Chicago +7
Buffalo +3
LA +3
Wagers:
Indy +1
NE -14
There will be a couple more coming.
Indy
1 of my favorite plays of the week. Have people backing the Browns actually watched Kizer play? Or just watched a couple Kizer highlights? Yes he has a big arm and he can move, but he has shown ZERO ability to protect the football and has made some of the worst throws and decisions of any QB in the league this year. He has 1 of the best olines in the NFL and took 7 sacks vs. Pittsburgh week 1. SEVEN. He holds the ball entirely too long.
I don't like any of the "weapons" for Cleveland. I don't think they have any mismatches on offense, even against a banged up Indy defense. I think Cleveland REALLY struggles against an under-rated Indy defense.
Brisett. I don't really wanna call him a game manager because he has a cannon and can hurt teams with his feet too but he protects the football much better than Kizer(based on his 3 NFL starts). Cleveland has the WORST pass rush in football according to my rankings. IMO the 2 worst position groups in the NFL are the o-line for Seattle and the dline for Cleveland. Indy does have some weapons. Hilton and Moncrief are playmakers. Doyle is extremely under-rated and caught all 8 of his targets last week-some were very much contested. I'm not worried about the Colts oline in the least bit(at elast in this game) and they oline has been hearing how shitty they are all week.
An intangible element..... The Colts have to feel a little disrespected being an underdog in their own house to the Browns. That's ridiculous.
Get week 1 out of your mind. The Colts quit when they saw Tolzien and realized how bad he was. They knew they had no chance to win this season with every throw he made. With Brisett, he made the team believe. I'm telling you guys Indy is about to ROCK.
“It was so easy to go out there with him under center and rally behind him because of his confidence,” running back Robert Turbin said. “The whole week of practice, he was just so chill. There was no (uncertainty) about him at all. Even when he didn’t know all the plays and he might of stuttered a couple of times in practice, it didn’t matter.
“We were like, ‘Man, this (expletive) is all right. We’re gonna be all right.’”
Coming off 1 of the most frustrating pushes in my life I took a couple days off to refocus. I really liked SF +2.5 so I had to put my Supercontest picks in much earlier than normal this week, Turns out.... Had I waited, there were a couple better lines I would have liked even more. So far I'm 6-4-1 in the Supercontest and for the rest of week 3 I have:
Indy+1
Chicago +7
Buffalo +3
LA +3
Wagers:
Indy +1
NE -14
There will be a couple more coming.
Indy
1 of my favorite plays of the week. Have people backing the Browns actually watched Kizer play? Or just watched a couple Kizer highlights? Yes he has a big arm and he can move, but he has shown ZERO ability to protect the football and has made some of the worst throws and decisions of any QB in the league this year. He has 1 of the best olines in the NFL and took 7 sacks vs. Pittsburgh week 1. SEVEN. He holds the ball entirely too long.
I don't like any of the "weapons" for Cleveland. I don't think they have any mismatches on offense, even against a banged up Indy defense. I think Cleveland REALLY struggles against an under-rated Indy defense.
Brisett. I don't really wanna call him a game manager because he has a cannon and can hurt teams with his feet too but he protects the football much better than Kizer(based on his 3 NFL starts). Cleveland has the WORST pass rush in football according to my rankings. IMO the 2 worst position groups in the NFL are the o-line for Seattle and the dline for Cleveland. Indy does have some weapons. Hilton and Moncrief are playmakers. Doyle is extremely under-rated and caught all 8 of his targets last week-some were very much contested. I'm not worried about the Colts oline in the least bit(at elast in this game) and they oline has been hearing how shitty they are all week.
An intangible element..... The Colts have to feel a little disrespected being an underdog in their own house to the Browns. That's ridiculous.
Get week 1 out of your mind. The Colts quit when they saw Tolzien and realized how bad he was. They knew they had no chance to win this season with every throw he made. With Brisett, he made the team believe. I'm telling you guys Indy is about to ROCK.
“It was so easy to go out there with him under center and rally behind him because of his confidence,” running back Robert Turbin said. “The whole week of practice, he was just so chill. There was no (uncertainty) about him at all. Even when he didn’t know all the plays and he might of stuttered a couple of times in practice, it didn’t matter.
“We were like, ‘Man, this (expletive) is all right. We’re gonna be all right.’”
I can keep this 1 short I think. My line was NE -25.03. IMO Deshaun Watson is the worst QB in the NFL. He rarely makes it to his 2nd read.... and generally ether drops his eyes in the pocket and freaks out or locks on to Deandre Hopkins and stares him down. Bill is going to own him. Bill got the pass rush going and made somce changes in the secondary that I really like. Bill always takes away a teams first option. Hopkins will be shutdown and Watson will probably have a TO or 2 by trying to force it to him anyway. The Texans oline is trash. I wouldn't be surprised if the Texans fail to score a TD in the 1st 3 quarters of this game. The Texans have a nasty dline but Brady gets the ball out in 2.2 seconds or less so it won't matter. Blowout city.
I can keep this 1 short I think. My line was NE -25.03. IMO Deshaun Watson is the worst QB in the NFL. He rarely makes it to his 2nd read.... and generally ether drops his eyes in the pocket and freaks out or locks on to Deandre Hopkins and stares him down. Bill is going to own him. Bill got the pass rush going and made somce changes in the secondary that I really like. Bill always takes away a teams first option. Hopkins will be shutdown and Watson will probably have a TO or 2 by trying to force it to him anyway. The Texans oline is trash. I wouldn't be surprised if the Texans fail to score a TD in the 1st 3 quarters of this game. The Texans have a nasty dline but Brady gets the ball out in 2.2 seconds or less so it won't matter. Blowout city.
This was my weakest play of the 7 I'll talk about but I still do see some value. The Steelers offense has the potential to be lethal but they've looked a little off. Chemistry with Bell/Bryant missing a bunch of camp is probably the reason. I do still think the Steelers will move the ball but I don't see them lighting it up after struggling thus far. For what it's worth Big Ben hasn't seen this Vangio defense in the last 5 years.
I'm not ready to give up on Chicago yet(for betting/covering 7 point spread purposes). I dunno what happened in TB that was a weird game but I liked how they played at home against Atlanta(in my opinion a superior team to TB), and they had a chance to win that game. Glennon despite what you've season in the media hasn't been awful. With Wheaton finally back they actually have 4 legitimate threats in the passing game(Cohen, Wright, Wheaton, Z. Miller). J Howard is finally healthy. The Steelers defense to me is pretty over-rated. Joe Haden is a bust, Watt is out, Tuitt supposed to try and play through a torn biceps, I don't like their LB's ether. Not saying the Bears put up 30, but there are definite weaknesses on this Pit team and I feel confident that the Bears can get to 20 points in this one.
The Bears d-line is still extremely under-rated in my opinion and have a lot of guys that could make life hard for Big Ben.
Buffalo
I think the Bills have the best QB despite all the media fluff on Siemian. In fact I think he's quite a bit better. He has less weapons but the Bills defense has been stingy and I think if he manages the game the Bills defense and Lesean McCoy will "win the game."
The Broncos are going to trot out the worst tacke in the NFL this year in Watson, and an injured rookie LT. The Broncos LG has also been a weakness and the Broncos have rotated 2 guys but they both have been terrible. The Bills have the horses on the dline to get to Siemian. The Broncos offense imo is focused on the running game and they only have 2 viable options on offense(Thomas and Sanders). Buffalo has the 3rd best run defense in the league right now and have stuffed everything thrown at them. The Bills 2 corners- White and Gaines, have also played extremely well and have exceeded my expectations. They hit gold w/ Micah Hyde and he has been the best cover safety thus far into the season. Poyer has beasted as well. The Broncos have the big names but don't sleep on the Bills secondary- they match up VERY well against Denver's offensive weapons and when you mix in some of that pass rush against a bad Denver oline I expect a couple TO's.
No one is talking about Buffalo and Denver has been basking in their glory for 2 weeks while the whole world tells them how good they are. Buffalo will humble them, at least enough to cover the spread.
This was my weakest play of the 7 I'll talk about but I still do see some value. The Steelers offense has the potential to be lethal but they've looked a little off. Chemistry with Bell/Bryant missing a bunch of camp is probably the reason. I do still think the Steelers will move the ball but I don't see them lighting it up after struggling thus far. For what it's worth Big Ben hasn't seen this Vangio defense in the last 5 years.
I'm not ready to give up on Chicago yet(for betting/covering 7 point spread purposes). I dunno what happened in TB that was a weird game but I liked how they played at home against Atlanta(in my opinion a superior team to TB), and they had a chance to win that game. Glennon despite what you've season in the media hasn't been awful. With Wheaton finally back they actually have 4 legitimate threats in the passing game(Cohen, Wright, Wheaton, Z. Miller). J Howard is finally healthy. The Steelers defense to me is pretty over-rated. Joe Haden is a bust, Watt is out, Tuitt supposed to try and play through a torn biceps, I don't like their LB's ether. Not saying the Bears put up 30, but there are definite weaknesses on this Pit team and I feel confident that the Bears can get to 20 points in this one.
The Bears d-line is still extremely under-rated in my opinion and have a lot of guys that could make life hard for Big Ben.
Buffalo
I think the Bills have the best QB despite all the media fluff on Siemian. In fact I think he's quite a bit better. He has less weapons but the Bills defense has been stingy and I think if he manages the game the Bills defense and Lesean McCoy will "win the game."
The Broncos are going to trot out the worst tacke in the NFL this year in Watson, and an injured rookie LT. The Broncos LG has also been a weakness and the Broncos have rotated 2 guys but they both have been terrible. The Bills have the horses on the dline to get to Siemian. The Broncos offense imo is focused on the running game and they only have 2 viable options on offense(Thomas and Sanders). Buffalo has the 3rd best run defense in the league right now and have stuffed everything thrown at them. The Bills 2 corners- White and Gaines, have also played extremely well and have exceeded my expectations. They hit gold w/ Micah Hyde and he has been the best cover safety thus far into the season. Poyer has beasted as well. The Broncos have the big names but don't sleep on the Bills secondary- they match up VERY well against Denver's offensive weapons and when you mix in some of that pass rush against a bad Denver oline I expect a couple TO's.
No one is talking about Buffalo and Denver has been basking in their glory for 2 weeks while the whole world tells them how good they are. Buffalo will humble them, at least enough to cover the spread.
IMO this is a wrong team favored kinda game. People still thinking about the NE game but that was with Berry and Morse and NE had the perfect storm of injuries at key positions to cripple them.
KC's oline hasn't played great and are losing arguably their best/ most important lineman for this one. I rate SD as having the 2nd best best pass rush in the league.
Yes, SD lost Verrett but King has been incredible for a rookie and Williams has been excellent through 2 games. According to my rankings, through 2 games still has the best secondary in the league. Safeties, corners, all of their guys can cover.
KC has Hill, Hunt, and Kelce on offense and not much else. Those guys are really good but SD is a horrible matchup for them. SD's LB's can cover well, Hayward will shadow Hill, and they have enough people on defense to key on Kelce/Hunt while Bosa/Ingram and co. do their work. I would be pretty shocked if KC gets to 20 points in this game.
On the flip side rivers has weapons galore. Allen, Williams, and Hunter are monsters. Gates and Benjamin are great complimentary players and Gordon is a threat out of the backfield too. The back end of KC's defense has struggled minus Berry. Mitchell and Gaines haven't looked good and their S/LB Hybrid Sorenson has looked lost thus far. KC also likes to play alot of nickel/dime even on running downs so Gordon should have some room to run in this one. Outside of Houston and Chris Jones every other guys on the Chiefs dline has looked utterly useless. I see the Chargers scoring 20+ in this 1.
There's another game I like but I'll check in at a later time.
IMO this is a wrong team favored kinda game. People still thinking about the NE game but that was with Berry and Morse and NE had the perfect storm of injuries at key positions to cripple them.
KC's oline hasn't played great and are losing arguably their best/ most important lineman for this one. I rate SD as having the 2nd best best pass rush in the league.
Yes, SD lost Verrett but King has been incredible for a rookie and Williams has been excellent through 2 games. According to my rankings, through 2 games still has the best secondary in the league. Safeties, corners, all of their guys can cover.
KC has Hill, Hunt, and Kelce on offense and not much else. Those guys are really good but SD is a horrible matchup for them. SD's LB's can cover well, Hayward will shadow Hill, and they have enough people on defense to key on Kelce/Hunt while Bosa/Ingram and co. do their work. I would be pretty shocked if KC gets to 20 points in this game.
On the flip side rivers has weapons galore. Allen, Williams, and Hunter are monsters. Gates and Benjamin are great complimentary players and Gordon is a threat out of the backfield too. The back end of KC's defense has struggled minus Berry. Mitchell and Gaines haven't looked good and their S/LB Hybrid Sorenson has looked lost thus far. KC also likes to play alot of nickel/dime even on running downs so Gordon should have some room to run in this one. Outside of Houston and Chris Jones every other guys on the Chiefs dline has looked utterly useless. I see the Chargers scoring 20+ in this 1.
There's another game I like but I'll check in at a later time.
nice write up can you share your lean bet PHI and NYG?
My line was Phi -7.88. I usually I need more than 2 points of value based on my models to have a high success rate. I did made an exception for the 49ers game but for me this is a no play. Gun to my head- Eagles.
nice write up can you share your lean bet PHI and NYG?
My line was Phi -7.88. I usually I need more than 2 points of value based on my models to have a high success rate. I did made an exception for the 49ers game but for me this is a no play. Gun to my head- Eagles.
For what it's worth- I also liked Jacksonville alot. But I had already lost 1.5 points due to line movement, now the line is at 3, and London games are usually weird. My line for that game was Jax -3.33. The Jags defensive line should dominate Baltimore up front. Bortles is always scary to back but I think Balty struggles big time offensively.
For what it's worth- I also liked Jacksonville alot. But I had already lost 1.5 points due to line movement, now the line is at 3, and London games are usually weird. My line for that game was Jax -3.33. The Jags defensive line should dominate Baltimore up front. Bortles is always scary to back but I think Balty struggles big time offensively.
"Have people backing the Browns actually watched Kizer play?"
"I think the Bills have the best QB despite all the media fluff on Siemian."
Siemian is currently 9th in yards per pass attempt. Kizer is ranked 21st. Taylor is 22nd.
Simian has also played both his games at home where teams really struggle with altitude early in the season because they aren't in game shape yet. Buffalo is a really hard place to play.
Also, don't forget he threw a "pick 6" to Hayward in the 1st game against LA.... Only Hayward dropped it. He hasn't been as good as people are saying in my opinion. My opinion comes from watching the games and from PFF, I use stats sometimes but put more stock into what I can see.
"Have people backing the Browns actually watched Kizer play?"
"I think the Bills have the best QB despite all the media fluff on Siemian."
Siemian is currently 9th in yards per pass attempt. Kizer is ranked 21st. Taylor is 22nd.
Simian has also played both his games at home where teams really struggle with altitude early in the season because they aren't in game shape yet. Buffalo is a really hard place to play.
Also, don't forget he threw a "pick 6" to Hayward in the 1st game against LA.... Only Hayward dropped it. He hasn't been as good as people are saying in my opinion. My opinion comes from watching the games and from PFF, I use stats sometimes but put more stock into what I can see.
The vaunted Sea defense hasn't looked all that great yet imo. Their dline hasn't been as good as they are on paper for sure. They also got 2 pretty bad olines(when you consider GB was down 2 tackles). Their corners have been losing battle after battle. Even Sherman has looked slow. Their LB's and S's have been elite in coverage but none of them have been great stopping the run.
The strength of Ten is their offensive line. Without questions this is the best oline Sea has faced and will face all season. Sea doesn't blitz much- so they are gonna run those same 4 guys against the Ten oline for most of the day and I expect the Titans to stuff them and shred a suspect secondary.
To be clear- I think Seattle by mid season will be 1 of if not the best defenses in the league but right now Jeremy Lane has been playing awful, Sherman is injured, and the other corner is a rookie.
Sea got shredded at home by Carlos Hyde with an immobile qb and a bad offensive line. Now they gotta tackle Henry who is a human tank and Mariota who can actually move and create when plays break down.
Seahawks made a change on the offensive line. LOL. They need 4 changes. That oline is the worst position group in the NFL. The dline for Ten has some talent -Orakpo/Morgan/Casey... I would expect to see more of Wilson running for his life. The Sea corners aren't great and that worries me for sure but I don't think Wilson will have time to properly expose them. Jimmy Graham has been awful this year. When he's been open he's dropped alot of passes.
Was gonna bite on Ten -3 but didn't, they punted away their 1st possession to the Sea 12 and I took them live just win the game SU. My line was Ten -6.8.
The vaunted Sea defense hasn't looked all that great yet imo. Their dline hasn't been as good as they are on paper for sure. They also got 2 pretty bad olines(when you consider GB was down 2 tackles). Their corners have been losing battle after battle. Even Sherman has looked slow. Their LB's and S's have been elite in coverage but none of them have been great stopping the run.
The strength of Ten is their offensive line. Without questions this is the best oline Sea has faced and will face all season. Sea doesn't blitz much- so they are gonna run those same 4 guys against the Ten oline for most of the day and I expect the Titans to stuff them and shred a suspect secondary.
To be clear- I think Seattle by mid season will be 1 of if not the best defenses in the league but right now Jeremy Lane has been playing awful, Sherman is injured, and the other corner is a rookie.
Sea got shredded at home by Carlos Hyde with an immobile qb and a bad offensive line. Now they gotta tackle Henry who is a human tank and Mariota who can actually move and create when plays break down.
Seahawks made a change on the offensive line. LOL. They need 4 changes. That oline is the worst position group in the NFL. The dline for Ten has some talent -Orakpo/Morgan/Casey... I would expect to see more of Wilson running for his life. The Sea corners aren't great and that worries me for sure but I don't think Wilson will have time to properly expose them. Jimmy Graham has been awful this year. When he's been open he's dropped alot of passes.
Was gonna bite on Ten -3 but didn't, they punted away their 1st possession to the Sea 12 and I took them live just win the game SU. My line was Ten -6.8.
1 of the worst calls I've seen... at least since that offensive pass interference in the SF game.... Ten takes a punt to the house and they are flagged for trying to get out of a defenders way lmao. Who saw that? Sooooooooooo lame. Should be 13-0 I need a bogus call to go my way 1 of these days,
1 of the worst calls I've seen... at least since that offensive pass interference in the SF game.... Ten takes a punt to the house and they are flagged for trying to get out of a defenders way lmao. Who saw that? Sooooooooooo lame. Should be 13-0 I need a bogus call to go my way 1 of these days,
Gonna finish the AM and afternoon games 4-1 in the Supercontest and 2-2 on my wagers. Rivers was pretty horrible today and HC Anthony Lynn showed no balls whatsoever punting 3 times in the 4th quarter in KC territory. I actually believe a 50 yard field goal was possible on 2 of those 3 drives. It's hard to evaluate HC's in just 2 games but I didn't like what I saw today. Not saying I won't back the Chargers again but just something to learn from and take note of. Their tackling was horrific as well. I actually had seen this on film so I take full responsibility for a bad pick.
Adding:
Raiders -3
I currently have Oakland's oline rated as #1 in the league and they have a substantial edge over a Was dline rated #10(which actually has surprised me). In my opinion this is where the game will be decided. Redskins are going to have to blitz alot if they want to get to Carr.
The Redskins corners have been above average- even Breeland and Fuller, but the coverage of the safeties and LB's has been atrocious. It wouldn't surprise me at all to see the TE's and RB's for Oakland do some damage in the passing game.
You saw how much time to throw Mariota had against Sea. For a statistical visual, I had Ten's oline rated as a 7.2 and Sea's pass rush as a 6.4. That's a difference of .8, which is significant and means a QB will have time to throw unless the other team blitzes frequently.
I have Oakland's oline rated at 7.9, and Wash's pass rush as 7.2. Not as big of a differential, but still a decent amount. Carr should have a nice pocket.
Truth be told Amari Cooper hasn't played well at all, and Oakland doesn't have a ton of mismatch creators on offense but I think with time to throw he can take advantage of the LB's and Safeties and get good chunk yards. The Raiders oline has graded out extremely well in run blocking, whereas the Was front 7 has been average-below average in that category. M. Lynch should do his thing tonight.
I thought Oakland's defense coming into the year was garbage. They have changed my opinion thus far. I had never heard of Eddie Vanderdoes but he has been a dominant pass rusher for them. Even Autry and Edwards have rushed the passer better than expected. Their weakness is stopping the run which could be a problem tonight.
The Oakland LB's were a glaring weakness in coverage(and the run) but they finally adapted by playing Hybrid LB/S Nicholas Morrow as the linebacker in nickel packages and putting him on the field in dime. Remember his name because in my opinion he completely changes their defense. He played just a few snaps in week 1 but got a bunch of time week 2 and I think that trend will continue(hopefully). This is just my opinion and it's possible that Oakland goes back to starter T. Adams so be warned.
Oakland's secondary has been a revelation. Smith after a shaky preseason has been a stud, they look like they found gold with 1st round pick Gareon Conley(albeit it was just 1 game against the Jets but he looked GOOD). TJ Carrie has also looked very good. Their safeties have been tremendous- both against the run and in coverage. Overall I have them rated in top 8 in the secondary.
Washington looked much better in their last game but most of that was because of some of the worst rushing defense I've ever seen in my life vs. the Rams. It's possible that a RB rushes for 200 yards in a game against LA this year they are that bad. Cousins has still looked horrific, the chemistry hasn't been there- most likely because of Doctson and Reed missing camp. Reed is out, the Redskins will have a rookie RB, and other than Pryor I don't see a lot of weapons on their team that can beat the Raiders coverage.
I think having the better oline, better secondary, and far better QB gives the Raiders a huge advantage. Also thinking a rookie RB might cough up a fumble. My line was Oakland -8.6.
Gonna finish the AM and afternoon games 4-1 in the Supercontest and 2-2 on my wagers. Rivers was pretty horrible today and HC Anthony Lynn showed no balls whatsoever punting 3 times in the 4th quarter in KC territory. I actually believe a 50 yard field goal was possible on 2 of those 3 drives. It's hard to evaluate HC's in just 2 games but I didn't like what I saw today. Not saying I won't back the Chargers again but just something to learn from and take note of. Their tackling was horrific as well. I actually had seen this on film so I take full responsibility for a bad pick.
Adding:
Raiders -3
I currently have Oakland's oline rated as #1 in the league and they have a substantial edge over a Was dline rated #10(which actually has surprised me). In my opinion this is where the game will be decided. Redskins are going to have to blitz alot if they want to get to Carr.
The Redskins corners have been above average- even Breeland and Fuller, but the coverage of the safeties and LB's has been atrocious. It wouldn't surprise me at all to see the TE's and RB's for Oakland do some damage in the passing game.
You saw how much time to throw Mariota had against Sea. For a statistical visual, I had Ten's oline rated as a 7.2 and Sea's pass rush as a 6.4. That's a difference of .8, which is significant and means a QB will have time to throw unless the other team blitzes frequently.
I have Oakland's oline rated at 7.9, and Wash's pass rush as 7.2. Not as big of a differential, but still a decent amount. Carr should have a nice pocket.
Truth be told Amari Cooper hasn't played well at all, and Oakland doesn't have a ton of mismatch creators on offense but I think with time to throw he can take advantage of the LB's and Safeties and get good chunk yards. The Raiders oline has graded out extremely well in run blocking, whereas the Was front 7 has been average-below average in that category. M. Lynch should do his thing tonight.
I thought Oakland's defense coming into the year was garbage. They have changed my opinion thus far. I had never heard of Eddie Vanderdoes but he has been a dominant pass rusher for them. Even Autry and Edwards have rushed the passer better than expected. Their weakness is stopping the run which could be a problem tonight.
The Oakland LB's were a glaring weakness in coverage(and the run) but they finally adapted by playing Hybrid LB/S Nicholas Morrow as the linebacker in nickel packages and putting him on the field in dime. Remember his name because in my opinion he completely changes their defense. He played just a few snaps in week 1 but got a bunch of time week 2 and I think that trend will continue(hopefully). This is just my opinion and it's possible that Oakland goes back to starter T. Adams so be warned.
Oakland's secondary has been a revelation. Smith after a shaky preseason has been a stud, they look like they found gold with 1st round pick Gareon Conley(albeit it was just 1 game against the Jets but he looked GOOD). TJ Carrie has also looked very good. Their safeties have been tremendous- both against the run and in coverage. Overall I have them rated in top 8 in the secondary.
Washington looked much better in their last game but most of that was because of some of the worst rushing defense I've ever seen in my life vs. the Rams. It's possible that a RB rushes for 200 yards in a game against LA this year they are that bad. Cousins has still looked horrific, the chemistry hasn't been there- most likely because of Doctson and Reed missing camp. Reed is out, the Redskins will have a rookie RB, and other than Pryor I don't see a lot of weapons on their team that can beat the Raiders coverage.
I think having the better oline, better secondary, and far better QB gives the Raiders a huge advantage. Also thinking a rookie RB might cough up a fumble. My line was Oakland -8.6.
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