I really like OK State -11 at Pitt.... These teams are trending in different directions. Oklahoma State won last years meeting in a competitive 38-45 game in Stillwater. Unfortunately for Pitt both of these teams were drastically different, since then OK State has continued to improve, while Pitt is significantly worse....
The biggest difference with OK State is that they have a Senior QB who has improved dramatically since their last meeting. Mason Rudolph finished 26/46 540 yards 2 TD's . Even though his stats were impressive, he couldve been better, he fumbled twice which lead to 14 points. On a few occasions he missed open Wr's, and was frustrated by the Pitt pressure. This Ok State offense is a completely different unit, than what Pittsburgh saw in week 3 last year. The week before Rudolph had lost to Central Michigan, since then he has another 12 games of experience in the same system, with the same Wr's, and Oline. Not only does OK ST return the nucleus of their offense, they also added a 5 star WR, Tyron Johnson a transfer from LSU. Their Oline returned , 4/5 starters and added Cal Grad transfer Aaron Cochran to start at LT. When this game was played Justice Hill was still a back up....
I dont know if there's an offense in the nation playing as well as OK St.
Now when you look at Pitt, they are essentially a different team. They lost their OC Matt Canada to LSU, their starting QB Nathan Peterman is in the NFL, and their MVP James Connor is playing for the Steelers. The Pitt offense also lost tight end Scott Orndoff, All-American guard Dorian Johnson, all-conference tackle Adam Bisnowaty, four of five defensive linemen (including Ejuan Price and Shakir Soto), three of four linebackers, and three of five defensive backs. This doesnt include their best defensive player, Safety Jordan Whitehead who is suspended for this game...
Max Browne is a terrible QB, and just because he started at USC means nothing. USC was a terrible team the first 4 weeks of the season last year, and by ONLY changing Max Browne for a Red shirt Freshman QB, they became a completely different team, and havent lost since. Penn State was outgained in week 1 by a Youngstown St team that couldve easily won that game... Last week Pitt outgained Penn State, which doesnt mean much to me, because it never felt like they had a chance to win...
11.5 is a pretty big spread for a team to cover on the road but OK State is a much better team. The only shot Pitt has of covering is if OK State plays bad. Pitt will also try to limit the amount of possessions Oklahoma State will have. Their offense is built on short throws and running the ball. They have had a couple of 15+ play drives this year, so it's possible they will be able to prevent the Pokes from getting into a rhythm, but I think it's unlikely. Pitt would have to have major success running the ball, which is possible, but if OK State gets an early lead, they will have to rely on the sore shoulder of Max Browne...
I really like OK State -11 at Pitt.... These teams are trending in different directions. Oklahoma State won last years meeting in a competitive 38-45 game in Stillwater. Unfortunately for Pitt both of these teams were drastically different, since then OK State has continued to improve, while Pitt is significantly worse....
The biggest difference with OK State is that they have a Senior QB who has improved dramatically since their last meeting. Mason Rudolph finished 26/46 540 yards 2 TD's . Even though his stats were impressive, he couldve been better, he fumbled twice which lead to 14 points. On a few occasions he missed open Wr's, and was frustrated by the Pitt pressure. This Ok State offense is a completely different unit, than what Pittsburgh saw in week 3 last year. The week before Rudolph had lost to Central Michigan, since then he has another 12 games of experience in the same system, with the same Wr's, and Oline. Not only does OK ST return the nucleus of their offense, they also added a 5 star WR, Tyron Johnson a transfer from LSU. Their Oline returned , 4/5 starters and added Cal Grad transfer Aaron Cochran to start at LT. When this game was played Justice Hill was still a back up....
I dont know if there's an offense in the nation playing as well as OK St.
Now when you look at Pitt, they are essentially a different team. They lost their OC Matt Canada to LSU, their starting QB Nathan Peterman is in the NFL, and their MVP James Connor is playing for the Steelers. The Pitt offense also lost tight end Scott Orndoff, All-American guard Dorian Johnson, all-conference tackle Adam Bisnowaty, four of five defensive linemen (including Ejuan Price and Shakir Soto), three of four linebackers, and three of five defensive backs. This doesnt include their best defensive player, Safety Jordan Whitehead who is suspended for this game...
Max Browne is a terrible QB, and just because he started at USC means nothing. USC was a terrible team the first 4 weeks of the season last year, and by ONLY changing Max Browne for a Red shirt Freshman QB, they became a completely different team, and havent lost since. Penn State was outgained in week 1 by a Youngstown St team that couldve easily won that game... Last week Pitt outgained Penn State, which doesnt mean much to me, because it never felt like they had a chance to win...
11.5 is a pretty big spread for a team to cover on the road but OK State is a much better team. The only shot Pitt has of covering is if OK State plays bad. Pitt will also try to limit the amount of possessions Oklahoma State will have. Their offense is built on short throws and running the ball. They have had a couple of 15+ play drives this year, so it's possible they will be able to prevent the Pokes from getting into a rhythm, but I think it's unlikely. Pitt would have to have major success running the ball, which is possible, but if OK State gets an early lead, they will have to rely on the sore shoulder of Max Browne...
Whenever im taking a square play where all the sharp money is suggesting the other way, im a little hesitant, or may adjust my bet size, but in week 1 Sharps were pounding Florida over Michigan then in week 2 the sharps were on Stanford ML over USC... Fortunately I just stuck to my analysis and pulled the triggers regardless...
The season is still so young, that there's really not enough data to be so confident of what a team is or isint.... I can put a little more faith in the "pro's" after weeks 4-5
Whenever im taking a square play where all the sharp money is suggesting the other way, im a little hesitant, or may adjust my bet size, but in week 1 Sharps were pounding Florida over Michigan then in week 2 the sharps were on Stanford ML over USC... Fortunately I just stuck to my analysis and pulled the triggers regardless...
The season is still so young, that there's really not enough data to be so confident of what a team is or isint.... I can put a little more faith in the "pro's" after weeks 4-5
GL. I would advise against OkST play. I would strongly back the Stanford play and back Iowa St lightly as a road fave off huge emotional loss where they loss big 4th quarter lead. GL.... and FYI Sharps were on USC over Stanford LW.
GL. I would advise against OkST play. I would strongly back the Stanford play and back Iowa St lightly as a road fave off huge emotional loss where they loss big 4th quarter lead. GL.... and FYI Sharps were on USC over Stanford LW.
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