Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
in this game nothing looks good until the game is officially over
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
in this game nothing looks good until the game is officially over
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
I took rays ml just hoping they would avoid the sweep
but I love reading these long, impossible to find stats. I dont back them, but for some reason I love reading them haha
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
I took rays ml just hoping they would avoid the sweep
but I love reading these long, impossible to find stats. I dont back them, but for some reason I love reading them haha
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
I genuinely don't mean to be a smartass after the game
But MLB has SO many stats you will always be able to manufacture stuff like this. Or an equally powerful one suggesting the opposite bet
Unless there is a reason why the listed parameters clearly lead to the outcome these stats are to be ignored.
For example why would that particular line, or the bit about being on a three game losing streak be a compelling argument for the streak to continue? Compare with, say, Lebron James is (say) 12-1 in elimination games. You could reasonably make a case that he plays like a man possessed when facing elimination and thus there is some genuine reason to assume this will continue
But the MLB stat above? A meaningless consequence of big data....
Home favorites in sweep prevention games on a losing streak of at least three games with starting prices of at least +118 and are not 10 or more games below .500 are 13-0,ytd,covering the run line 11 times.
Tonight's picks look good so far,Rockies and Dodgers.
No more posts until Monday.I've got a new refrigerator coming tomorrow.When I bought my last one,the Reds had just swept the A's in the WS.
I genuinely don't mean to be a smartass after the game
But MLB has SO many stats you will always be able to manufacture stuff like this. Or an equally powerful one suggesting the opposite bet
Unless there is a reason why the listed parameters clearly lead to the outcome these stats are to be ignored.
For example why would that particular line, or the bit about being on a three game losing streak be a compelling argument for the streak to continue? Compare with, say, Lebron James is (say) 12-1 in elimination games. You could reasonably make a case that he plays like a man possessed when facing elimination and thus there is some genuine reason to assume this will continue
But the MLB stat above? A meaningless consequence of big data....
I genuinely don't mean to be a smartass after the game
But MLB has SO many stats you will always be able to manufacture stuff like this. Or an equally powerful one suggesting the opposite bet
Unless there is a reason why the listed parameters clearly lead to the outcome these stats are to be ignored.
For example why would that particular line, or the bit about being on a three game losing streak be a compelling argument for the streak to continue? Compare with, say, Lebron James is (say) 12-1 in elimination games. You could reasonably make a case that he plays like a man possessed when facing elimination and thus there is some genuine reason to assume this will continue
But the MLB stat above? A meaningless consequence of big data....
Look carefully at the simple data he has provided.
A) It is a team at home. That in itself wins 53.72 %
B) It is a home favorite. That in itself wins 56.18%
C) It is a team looking to avoid a sweep at home. The home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time
D) It is a home team which is the current favorite on the moneyline and is not worse than 10 games under .500. This pretty much assures there is not a major discrepancy with the day's pitchers or the win probability between the 2 teams.
Hardly meaningless data. Sometimes we out think ourselves with data that we perceive to be irrelevant for a particular day, and in doing so we ignore the cumulative effect of where we are.
I genuinely don't mean to be a smartass after the game
But MLB has SO many stats you will always be able to manufacture stuff like this. Or an equally powerful one suggesting the opposite bet
Unless there is a reason why the listed parameters clearly lead to the outcome these stats are to be ignored.
For example why would that particular line, or the bit about being on a three game losing streak be a compelling argument for the streak to continue? Compare with, say, Lebron James is (say) 12-1 in elimination games. You could reasonably make a case that he plays like a man possessed when facing elimination and thus there is some genuine reason to assume this will continue
But the MLB stat above? A meaningless consequence of big data....
Look carefully at the simple data he has provided.
A) It is a team at home. That in itself wins 53.72 %
B) It is a home favorite. That in itself wins 56.18%
C) It is a team looking to avoid a sweep at home. The home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time
D) It is a home team which is the current favorite on the moneyline and is not worse than 10 games under .500. This pretty much assures there is not a major discrepancy with the day's pitchers or the win probability between the 2 teams.
Hardly meaningless data. Sometimes we out think ourselves with data that we perceive to be irrelevant for a particular day, and in doing so we ignore the cumulative effect of where we are.
Look carefully at the simple data he has provided.
A) It is a team at home. That in itself wins 53.72 %
B) It is a home favorite. That in itself wins 56.18%
C) It is a team looking to avoid a sweep at home. The home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time
D) It is a home team which is the current favorite on the moneyline and is not worse than 10 games under .500. This pretty much assures there is not a major discrepancy with the day's pitchers or the win probability between the 2 teams.
Hardly meaningless data. Sometimes we out think ourselves with data that we perceive to be irrelevant for a particular day, and in doing so we ignore the cumulative effect of where we are.
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
Look carefully at the simple data he has provided.
A) It is a team at home. That in itself wins 53.72 %
B) It is a home favorite. That in itself wins 56.18%
C) It is a team looking to avoid a sweep at home. The home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time
D) It is a home team which is the current favorite on the moneyline and is not worse than 10 games under .500. This pretty much assures there is not a major discrepancy with the day's pitchers or the win probability between the 2 teams.
Hardly meaningless data. Sometimes we out think ourselves with data that we perceive to be irrelevant for a particular day, and in doing so we ignore the cumulative effect of where we are.
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
I said a home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time. I didn't say that was the percentage of game 3 in an 0-2 situation. Once again it is a cumulative effect of averages.
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
I said a home team avoids a 3 game sweep 74.1% of the time. I didn't say that was the percentage of game 3 in an 0-2 situation. Once again it is a cumulative effect of averages.
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
It's hitting at a ridiculous % this season... I've seen a few guys talking about it here in the forum
Home teams avoiding a 3 games sweep wins 74.1% of the time? I don't know where you got that stat but I think that's incorrect. That would mean that I could simply bet any home team avoiding a 3 game sweep up to -250 line and make a profit in the long run.
It's hitting at a ridiculous % this season... I've seen a few guys talking about it here in the forum
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