Quote Originally Posted by avrgsr:
Hey Mr Primetime,
Long time follower here, wanted to get your input on the Port/Tor game.
Noticed Portland usually does pretty well 1st halves and they have a pretty good record of bouncing back after a loss. My general feeling is they will come out the gates firing today and was seriously considering going:
Port+3/Over 105 1/2 (both teams can put up points)
Toronto generally is a great 2nd half team based from what I've seen so I am a bit relunctant to take Port for the whole game.
Hit a couple snags this week so I'm limited on the number of bullets I have in the chamber and want to be more selective on my plays so I wanted to get your input and thoughts since I value your opinion before I officially lock anything in.
As always, Thanks for all of your hard work and any feedback you can provide would be greatly appreciated.
Hey,
First and foremost, I appreciate the complement and I'm truly blessed that I'm able to help another capper along the way winning some extra $$.
As for the game. I do agree with you that Portland does well during the 1st half of games. They've been coming out firing as of late and I feel this game will be a battle of the back courts more than anything.
Also, looking at the spread records for both teams (coming off of a loss, win, 1 day off, non-conference games), they're pretty evenly matched. So, no advantage there either.
After looking at the numbers I have the 1st half line at -2 in favor of Toronto. So, the line is pretty much right on point. As for the total I have it at roughly 103 for the 1st half. So, it's a slight lean towards the over.
As for having a few bullets left in the chamber, I completely understand.
I would suggest that you take a tease with Toronto pk/O198 (on pinnacle). I was waiting on the total last night and felt that anything below 208 is an over hit imo.
That's the only play I see that has a high probability of hitting tonight in regards to this match up.
BOL this weekend my man. I'll see if I can notch up a few plays for you that I feel the strongest about today to help you get some extra bullets in your chamber.
So far, Utah +1 is the only that I have that I'm strong about tonight.