Going with Cleveland and San Francisco too? Both trap lines. Look what Houston did against Kansas City last week. They put up 34 against a good defense. Deshaun Watson is playing great, and they can run the ball. I don't think Cleveland has what it takes to stop the run. This could be a very easy game for Houston, at home. Again, people see the 10 points and think it's great, and it could be really close to that, but I think Houston covers going away and Cleveland will be pathetic again. Just a hunch, but I think Houston covers.
As for San Francisco, this looks like a trap line. People want to say SF will stay close to Washington, but this line tells me something is wrong with San Francisco and the 11 points are going to matter. I know, not a very convincing write up, but why would they give San Francisco 11 points if they could stay close? I think this will be one of the best games for Washington and they will cover the spread and win by 2 touchdowns. If I'm wrong, I'll come in here and say "nice picks, I was wrong" and I'm not trying to say your picks are bad, this is just my take on these games.
As for New Orleans, we are looking at another trap game. Detroit can run the ball and if Matthew Stafford plays, which is probable, they can pass too. I could be wrong, but people think New Orleans is just going to win this game easily and cover, but I would rather have Detroit plus the points. This will be a high scoring game and I could even see Detroit pulling of a straight up win. Don't get me wrong Drew Brees is still good, but this team lost to Minnesota and their only quality win is against Carolina who is middle of the pack team, I believe they will struggle a little bit this season and have a mini losing streak. That is a quality win though, I could be wrong about what Carolina is going to do, they beat the Patriots at New England. But every game is different and I don't think they will get up for this game and they will be surprised by Detroit and end up losing, and the game will go over. Drew will put up points on offense, and Detroit will too. I like Detroit +4 1/2, over 50 1/2 (pretty big by itself even though it is a high number). As I write this post I feel like I am jinxing Detroit but we will see, I think they can cover the 4 1/2 and this well be a back and forth game both teams scoring plenty of touchdowns.
As for Arizona +1.5, I like this pick. Tampa won't win this game I don't think, and I think this line is a reflection of losing David Johnson (or whatever his last name is I forget), but I have a feeling Peterson is going to love it in Arizona and they have weapons on offense, Palmer is an above average QB and Larry Fitzgerald still plays well, I predict at least one touchdown for him today, which makes me want to start Palmer on my fantasy team today as I see him throwing multiple touchdowns against this Tampa Bay team. I have Matt Ryan and he hasn't been great this year but they are playing Miami today so it is a tough call. I have Jay Ajayi as well and I see him doing well today if he plays. But back to this game, I like Arizona a lot and I could be dead wrong but I think Tampa (really Winston) will throw a couple interceptions and they will be dead in the water, again, especially with Arizona being at home. This line is now up to -2 1/2 for Tampa, somebody tell me if they know why this is the line, if Carson Palmer is out or something I don't know, but if nothing else happened and they are just down on this team because they lost their star running back, watch out for Peterson today he could really run wild against this Tampa team. That line at -2 1/2 scares me a little bit, but this isn't a beat up team and I see Arizona covering the spread at +2 1/2. Over 46 is a good play in this game as well.
I'm done, I know that was a long rant, but it is just my thoughts on the games today. I could absolutely be wrong about all of them, this is just based on what has happened thus far in the season. Respect PAPPA, good luck whatever you do.
(Not trying to change your mind, do what you think)