Just thought I would copy/paste and share this. I replied to 'clearthrew''s thread, and got a little carried away, but figured it the info may benefit someone somewhere, maybe...anyway, here it is:
agreed on Pitt clearthruw, and I will add some details as well....Malkin should have his legs back. He kept up light cardio in his absence, but not a lot of interval training, which would cause lesser stamina in the EDM game, hence, the 17m TOI compared to his normal +20 mins. I understand they are expecting around 19m TOI tonight, which is going to help quite a bit. With Malkin playing closer to a complete game, & w/ more stamina, it is going to create match up issues for Calgary The Pitt 2nd line of Evgeni, Hornqvist, & Arcobello line should give fits to the Bouma, Backlund, and Jones line for the Flames. This should also have a benefit for Pitts first line. I expect Crosby is going to especially benefit from this, as he has his lowest total point production on ANY 6 game period this season (2). Sid & Perron, along with Kunitz should combine for 4 to 5 total individual points tonight, if I were to guess.
In addition to the Malkin bomb, Calgary is horrible vs the Eastern Conference, and the Atlantic Division as in particular. in the last 3 months (since 11/6/15) the Flames are 3-8 vs the East, and 2-5 vs the Atlantic (and one of those wins were against the abysmal Sabres).
For the season, Calgary has a PP% of 17.4%, but in their last 5 they have a 28.57% PP, BUT, all but 1 of their PP goals were against bottom feeders, or team playing like bottom feeders (Winnipeg recently), their PK for the season is 77.9%, but last 5 is 88.89% (basically the same scenario, and 1 of the PK goals allowed was vs. SJS). Pitt's #'s are below their norm, but having Hornqvist & Malkin back heathly at the same time is going to literally effect 3 lines (arguably all 4).
Got to cut this short, and can't go into details any further, but a real strong play in this game is Pitt ML 1st period... you have (by my figures) a 87.8% shot at hitting it, and only a 7% shot at losing (not pushing on the play)....GL on all your
Just thought I would copy/paste and share this. I replied to 'clearthrew''s thread, and got a little carried away, but figured it the info may benefit someone somewhere, maybe...anyway, here it is:
agreed on Pitt clearthruw, and I will add some details as well....Malkin should have his legs back. He kept up light cardio in his absence, but not a lot of interval training, which would cause lesser stamina in the EDM game, hence, the 17m TOI compared to his normal +20 mins. I understand they are expecting around 19m TOI tonight, which is going to help quite a bit. With Malkin playing closer to a complete game, & w/ more stamina, it is going to create match up issues for Calgary The Pitt 2nd line of Evgeni, Hornqvist, & Arcobello line should give fits to the Bouma, Backlund, and Jones line for the Flames. This should also have a benefit for Pitts first line. I expect Crosby is going to especially benefit from this, as he has his lowest total point production on ANY 6 game period this season (2). Sid & Perron, along with Kunitz should combine for 4 to 5 total individual points tonight, if I were to guess.
In addition to the Malkin bomb, Calgary is horrible vs the Eastern Conference, and the Atlantic Division as in particular. in the last 3 months (since 11/6/15) the Flames are 3-8 vs the East, and 2-5 vs the Atlantic (and one of those wins were against the abysmal Sabres).
For the season, Calgary has a PP% of 17.4%, but in their last 5 they have a 28.57% PP, BUT, all but 1 of their PP goals were against bottom feeders, or team playing like bottom feeders (Winnipeg recently), their PK for the season is 77.9%, but last 5 is 88.89% (basically the same scenario, and 1 of the PK goals allowed was vs. SJS). Pitt's #'s are below their norm, but having Hornqvist & Malkin back heathly at the same time is going to literally effect 3 lines (arguably all 4).
Got to cut this short, and can't go into details any further, but a real strong play in this game is Pitt ML 1st period... you have (by my figures) a 87.8% shot at hitting it, and only a 7% shot at losing (not pushing on the play)....GL on all your
@Jeeves... Yes Sir, the only negatives I see in the Hawks game is 1) the public is all over them, and 2) Away teams won a uncommonly high % yesterday--though one result should have no effect on another unconnected result, they do have a tendency of even-ing out most of the time.... BOL Sir
@TEBOW12.... Thank you my friend, and BOL 2 U as well... hit them hard again tonight TEBOW!
@Jeeves... Yes Sir, the only negatives I see in the Hawks game is 1) the public is all over them, and 2) Away teams won a uncommonly high % yesterday--though one result should have no effect on another unconnected result, they do have a tendency of even-ing out most of the time.... BOL Sir
@TEBOW12.... Thank you my friend, and BOL 2 U as well... hit them hard again tonight TEBOW!
ANA/WAS --- Bryzgalov vs. Grbauer --- My spidy-sense yells take the OVER.
What say you, 7?
My gut & numbers both agree, it is not worth the play. Ducks are the better team, but slightly less so on the road. Both on B2B nights after tough, hard hitting games. I steered completely clear of this one, better values out there, but off the cuff I'd say the Over would be probable, but too many variables to consider...if I had, HAD to play it, I would lean Caps & Over... even though, once more, Ducks are the better all around team.
ANA/WAS --- Bryzgalov vs. Grbauer --- My spidy-sense yells take the OVER.
What say you, 7?
My gut & numbers both agree, it is not worth the play. Ducks are the better team, but slightly less so on the road. Both on B2B nights after tough, hard hitting games. I steered completely clear of this one, better values out there, but off the cuff I'd say the Over would be probable, but too many variables to consider...if I had, HAD to play it, I would lean Caps & Over... even though, once more, Ducks are the better all around team.
Do you ever use in-play wagering to hedge or middle on NHL ?
Hedge from time to time, but when you hedge, you are accepting counter-intuitiveness on a said game, so it is rare. Middling is more of a point spread action, as opposed to MLB & NHL which are both ML action, so no--I play 95% NHL & MLB.....Peace to you my friend, and BOL tonight
Do you ever use in-play wagering to hedge or middle on NHL ?
Hedge from time to time, but when you hedge, you are accepting counter-intuitiveness on a said game, so it is rare. Middling is more of a point spread action, as opposed to MLB & NHL which are both ML action, so no--I play 95% NHL & MLB.....Peace to you my friend, and BOL tonight
ANA/WAS --- Bryzgalov vs. Grbauer --- My spidy-sense yells take the OVER.
What say you, 7?
Looks like Bryzy was just confirmed in the net tonight... the slight lean on the Caps Over just leaned the whole way over the fence... I have not capped the game, but all logic points to CAPS/OVER
ANA/WAS --- Bryzgalov vs. Grbauer --- My spidy-sense yells take the OVER.
What say you, 7?
Looks like Bryzy was just confirmed in the net tonight... the slight lean on the Caps Over just leaned the whole way over the fence... I have not capped the game, but all logic points to CAPS/OVER
WARNING: I HAVE NOT CAPPED THIS GAME, BUT BRYZGALOV JUST CONFIRMED TO BE IN THE NET FOR ANAHEIM, AND BEING ON A B2B VS HARD HITTING PREDS... I AM FREE-STYLING THIS PLAY:
CAPITALS TT OVER 2.5 @ -145 FOR 1.45 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT
WARNING: I HAVE NOT CAPPED THIS GAME, BUT BRYZGALOV JUST CONFIRMED TO BE IN THE NET FOR ANAHEIM, AND BEING ON A B2B VS HARD HITTING PREDS... I AM FREE-STYLING THIS PLAY:
CAPITALS TT OVER 2.5 @ -145 FOR 1.45 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT
I am intrigued on the Jets/Chicago game tonight. The Jets have played them incredibly well this year and you know the Hawks must be looking for some revenge.I agree with you that everyone in their dog is on the Hawks tonight and with all of the Kane drama that has played out here locally this week, I can certainly see why the Jets would be a good fade (that and their last five games). On the flipside I believe Carcillo will back in the lineup tonight, which should pump up the MTS Centre a little more and I wouldn't be surprised if the Kane drama this week has galvanized the Jets dressing room and they come out with some fire to prove they can with without him. Should be a high energy entertaining game.
I am going the safer route and that is for the Jets to take more penalites at -145.Last ten games they are 7-1-2 in taking more penalites than their opposition and I suspect Peluso and some others will be chasing Danny boy around tonight, for his magic stick on Perrault.
I enjoy your insight 7, good luck on your picks tonight.
I am intrigued on the Jets/Chicago game tonight. The Jets have played them incredibly well this year and you know the Hawks must be looking for some revenge.I agree with you that everyone in their dog is on the Hawks tonight and with all of the Kane drama that has played out here locally this week, I can certainly see why the Jets would be a good fade (that and their last five games). On the flipside I believe Carcillo will back in the lineup tonight, which should pump up the MTS Centre a little more and I wouldn't be surprised if the Kane drama this week has galvanized the Jets dressing room and they come out with some fire to prove they can with without him. Should be a high energy entertaining game.
I am going the safer route and that is for the Jets to take more penalites at -145.Last ten games they are 7-1-2 in taking more penalites than their opposition and I suspect Peluso and some others will be chasing Danny boy around tonight, for his magic stick on Perrault.
I enjoy your insight 7, good luck on your picks tonight.
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