CIN (Latos) 170/100 W 2-1 +$100 MIN (Albers) 50/110 W 7-6 +$110 STL (Kelly) 135/100 W 6-2 +$100
---- Tough day going 3-2 +$10, so pretty much broke even. 2 plays that I felt looked GREAT on paper (LAD & PIT) both went down in flames. Dodgers couldn't get a hit off Lackey and Ryu threw one very costly pitch. Liriano had a horrible first inning, and Timmy looked a bit like his old self. Better than a losing day, can't win them all. On to the next one.
CIN (Latos) 170/100 W 2-1 +$100 MIN (Albers) 50/110 W 7-6 +$110 STL (Kelly) 135/100 W 6-2 +$100
---- Tough day going 3-2 +$10, so pretty much broke even. 2 plays that I felt looked GREAT on paper (LAD & PIT) both went down in flames. Dodgers couldn't get a hit off Lackey and Ryu threw one very costly pitch. Liriano had a horrible first inning, and Timmy looked a bit like his old self. Better than a losing day, can't win them all. On to the next one.
-- Not sure who's starting for the Phillies after they used today's starter as a reliever in last night's exhausting 18-inning game. But honestly, I don't care, as long as I have Corbin locked in as listed starter. It could be Roy Halladay (straight off a long DL-stint) or they could call up a Triple-A fill-in, but either way I will take my chances with Corbin. Although Hill may miss the game because of an injury he suffered in the late innings of last night's battle, I still like the Dbacks with Corbin on the mound. He has shown an ability to eat up innings this year, and I know that both bullpens will be exhausted, so who will have to turn to there horrible and tired pen first? My guess, is the Phillies, because they don't have Patrick Corbin on the mound. He has been a monster this year (13-3, 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 150/42 K/BB ratio) and he won for me his last start as a +130 dog against CIN when he pitched a complete game, allowing only 2 ER's on 10 K's with 0 walks. ARI bats showed a lot of life last night scoring 12 runs (including 5 in the 18th) and have shown that they still have the hunger for a possible playoff push. Dominic Brown (possibly the Phillies best hitter this year) left the game with an injury, so if he and Hill both sit, the injuries will practically offset each other. Corbin is one of the best lefties in the league, and the Phils have struggled against left-handed pitchers (.226 avg. vs Lefties < .249 avg) and I can see Corbin giving a great outing in this match-up and the Dbacks winning handily.
*ARI is 45-22 in last 67 games as a road favorite.
*ARI is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 5+ runs in previous.
*ARI is 22-4 in Corbin's last 26 starts.
*ARI is 12-1 in Corbin's last 13 starts as a favorite.
*PHI is 9-23 in last 32 games overall.
*PHI is 3-14 in last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
*PHI is 6-16 in last 22 games following a loss.
*PHI is 1-8 in last 9 when opponent allows 5+ runs in previous
-- Not sure who's starting for the Phillies after they used today's starter as a reliever in last night's exhausting 18-inning game. But honestly, I don't care, as long as I have Corbin locked in as listed starter. It could be Roy Halladay (straight off a long DL-stint) or they could call up a Triple-A fill-in, but either way I will take my chances with Corbin. Although Hill may miss the game because of an injury he suffered in the late innings of last night's battle, I still like the Dbacks with Corbin on the mound. He has shown an ability to eat up innings this year, and I know that both bullpens will be exhausted, so who will have to turn to there horrible and tired pen first? My guess, is the Phillies, because they don't have Patrick Corbin on the mound. He has been a monster this year (13-3, 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 150/42 K/BB ratio) and he won for me his last start as a +130 dog against CIN when he pitched a complete game, allowing only 2 ER's on 10 K's with 0 walks. ARI bats showed a lot of life last night scoring 12 runs (including 5 in the 18th) and have shown that they still have the hunger for a possible playoff push. Dominic Brown (possibly the Phillies best hitter this year) left the game with an injury, so if he and Hill both sit, the injuries will practically offset each other. Corbin is one of the best lefties in the league, and the Phils have struggled against left-handed pitchers (.226 avg. vs Lefties < .249 avg) and I can see Corbin giving a great outing in this match-up and the Dbacks winning handily.
*ARI is 45-22 in last 67 games as a road favorite.
*ARI is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 5+ runs in previous.
*ARI is 22-4 in Corbin's last 26 starts.
*ARI is 12-1 in Corbin's last 13 starts as a favorite.
*PHI is 9-23 in last 32 games overall.
*PHI is 3-14 in last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
*PHI is 6-16 in last 22 games following a loss.
*PHI is 1-8 in last 9 when opponent allows 5+ runs in previous
-- De La Rosa has been solid for the Rockies (13-6, 3.21 ERA, 101/53 K/BB ratio), and he has been especially good in his last 3 starts (3-0, 2.45 ERA) as the Rockies have won all 3. Today he faces a slumping Marlins line-up that struggles against lefties, and he also locked them down in his only career start against them, tossing 6 shutout innings allowing only 5 Hits + 1 BB with 5 K's in a 2-1 victory. Although the Rockies have struggled on the road this year, the Marlins have not proved to be a good home team (29-38) and I believe that the Rox have the edge with the lefty De La Rosa against the Fish bats. Jacob Turner has put up decent numbers this year (3-4, 3.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 60/41 K/BB ratio), and has been solid at home, but MIA has not been winning his starts. They have gone 1-6 in his last 7 trips to the bump, and I can see the Rox adding to those woes today.
*COL Hits Right-handers (Turner) BETTER than Left-handers:
--- (4.50 R/9, .261 avg. vs Rights) > (4.02 R/9, .256 avg. vs Lefties)
*MIA Hits Left-handers (De La Rosa) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (2.96 R/9, .223 avg. vs. Lefties) < (3.25 R/9, .229 avg. vs. Rights)
*COL is 5-1 in last 6 road starts as a favorite.
*COL is 40-11 in De La Rosa's last 51 starts as favorite.
*COL is 5-0 in De La Rosa's last 6 after scoring 2 or less in previous.
*MIA is 1-6 in last 7 games vs. starter with WHIP greater than 1.30
*MIA is 15-39 in last 54 games during Game 3 of series.
-- De La Rosa has been solid for the Rockies (13-6, 3.21 ERA, 101/53 K/BB ratio), and he has been especially good in his last 3 starts (3-0, 2.45 ERA) as the Rockies have won all 3. Today he faces a slumping Marlins line-up that struggles against lefties, and he also locked them down in his only career start against them, tossing 6 shutout innings allowing only 5 Hits + 1 BB with 5 K's in a 2-1 victory. Although the Rockies have struggled on the road this year, the Marlins have not proved to be a good home team (29-38) and I believe that the Rox have the edge with the lefty De La Rosa against the Fish bats. Jacob Turner has put up decent numbers this year (3-4, 3.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 60/41 K/BB ratio), and has been solid at home, but MIA has not been winning his starts. They have gone 1-6 in his last 7 trips to the bump, and I can see the Rox adding to those woes today.
*COL Hits Right-handers (Turner) BETTER than Left-handers:
--- (4.50 R/9, .261 avg. vs Rights) > (4.02 R/9, .256 avg. vs Lefties)
*MIA Hits Left-handers (De La Rosa) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (2.96 R/9, .223 avg. vs. Lefties) < (3.25 R/9, .229 avg. vs. Rights)
*COL is 5-1 in last 6 road starts as a favorite.
*COL is 40-11 in De La Rosa's last 51 starts as favorite.
*COL is 5-0 in De La Rosa's last 6 after scoring 2 or less in previous.
*MIA is 1-6 in last 7 games vs. starter with WHIP greater than 1.30
*MIA is 15-39 in last 54 games during Game 3 of series.
Im not sure if this is a good thing, cuz Ive been cold as ice, but I love both plays. Im just waiting for arizona to open on 365... I think its a great price on arizona in this spot. Colorado also jumped out at me, and I think thats a good price too. Its a little too early for me to lock them in big, but BOL man
Im not sure if this is a good thing, cuz Ive been cold as ice, but I love both plays. Im just waiting for arizona to open on 365... I think its a great price on arizona in this spot. Colorado also jumped out at me, and I think thats a good price too. Its a little too early for me to lock them in big, but BOL man
-- Sonny Gray has been excellent in his short stint in the majors this season (1.44 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 27/7 K/BB ratio) and although ERA could be a deceiving stat, his WHIP and K/BB ratio prove that it has not been a complete fluke. This kid has been dealing, and although I thought the BAL bats were incredible against right-handers, it has not always been the case this year, as we all saw Parker (R) absolutely dominate them yesterday. On the opposing mound, is Scott Feldman, who has had a decent season (10-9, 3.94 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 101/39 K/BB ratio), but the O's have gone 1-3 in his last 4 starts. Feldman has also struggled mightily against the A's in his 12 career starts (4-6, 6.37 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, .269 BAA) and I can see his bad trends against them continue in today's match-up. Crisp, Lowrie, and Moss are all hitting above .500 career average against Feldman, and Suzuki and Smith have both fared well against him as well. I can see the A's teeing off on him today, and if Gray can pitch half as good as he's been so far, he should be able to keep the A's in the ballgame. As a small dog, I love the value in this one. We will find out if Gray's hot start has been a fluke, or if he can possibly be the real deal. This is his chance to prove himself against a well-tested, but streaky O's line-up.
-- Sonny Gray has been excellent in his short stint in the majors this season (1.44 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 27/7 K/BB ratio) and although ERA could be a deceiving stat, his WHIP and K/BB ratio prove that it has not been a complete fluke. This kid has been dealing, and although I thought the BAL bats were incredible against right-handers, it has not always been the case this year, as we all saw Parker (R) absolutely dominate them yesterday. On the opposing mound, is Scott Feldman, who has had a decent season (10-9, 3.94 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 101/39 K/BB ratio), but the O's have gone 1-3 in his last 4 starts. Feldman has also struggled mightily against the A's in his 12 career starts (4-6, 6.37 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, .269 BAA) and I can see his bad trends against them continue in today's match-up. Crisp, Lowrie, and Moss are all hitting above .500 career average against Feldman, and Suzuki and Smith have both fared well against him as well. I can see the A's teeing off on him today, and if Gray can pitch half as good as he's been so far, he should be able to keep the A's in the ballgame. As a small dog, I love the value in this one. We will find out if Gray's hot start has been a fluke, or if he can possibly be the real deal. This is his chance to prove himself against a well-tested, but streaky O's line-up.
Im not sure if this is a good thing, cuz Ive been cold as ice, but I love both plays. Im just waiting for arizona to open on 365... I think its a great price on arizona in this spot. Colorado also jumped out at me, and I think thats a good price too. Its a little too early for me to lock them in big, but BOL man
I know you're a good capper. And good capper's bounce back. So I like the fact that you love both plays. Corbin should be strong today, as he tries to keep his team in playoff contention, and he has been dominant this year. IF Dominic Brown is out for this one as well (he left with an injury mid-game) then I like our chances a lot better. Locked and loaded already. BOL today Kieffer
Im not sure if this is a good thing, cuz Ive been cold as ice, but I love both plays. Im just waiting for arizona to open on 365... I think its a great price on arizona in this spot. Colorado also jumped out at me, and I think thats a good price too. Its a little too early for me to lock them in big, but BOL man
I know you're a good capper. And good capper's bounce back. So I like the fact that you love both plays. Corbin should be strong today, as he tries to keep his team in playoff contention, and he has been dominant this year. IF Dominic Brown is out for this one as well (he left with an injury mid-game) then I like our chances a lot better. Locked and loaded already. BOL today Kieffer
Like Both Calls. Will Add Stl & Tb Looking For Sweeps
I like how STL has been playing. But Lynn has been very shaky lately, and so has Minor (although he owned the STL line-up in their last match-up in ATL). I was going to play Minor to be honest with you, but he has been inconsistent lately. But I really do not trust Lynn or the STL pen enough to lock this one in. ATL does struggle on the road though, so I don't look at this as a bad bet at all. I also like TB a lot, and may lock it in. But Nova scares me. I have respect for this kid, he has won me a good chunk of money this year and it's hard to lay so much juice against a pitcher I respect so much. But Cobb is a beast and has great stats vs. NYY and I have to admit TB is the better team overall. BOL with your picks
Like Both Calls. Will Add Stl & Tb Looking For Sweeps
I like how STL has been playing. But Lynn has been very shaky lately, and so has Minor (although he owned the STL line-up in their last match-up in ATL). I was going to play Minor to be honest with you, but he has been inconsistent lately. But I really do not trust Lynn or the STL pen enough to lock this one in. ATL does struggle on the road though, so I don't look at this as a bad bet at all. I also like TB a lot, and may lock it in. But Nova scares me. I have respect for this kid, he has won me a good chunk of money this year and it's hard to lay so much juice against a pitcher I respect so much. But Cobb is a beast and has great stats vs. NYY and I have to admit TB is the better team overall. BOL with your picks
Liking your picks so far, especially the A's. Gray has been great as you have said. I picked him up for my fantasy team real quick. I probably got a better look at him that the others in my league I'm an A's fan. Have both him and Parker.
Liking your picks so far, especially the A's. Gray has been great as you have said. I picked him up for my fantasy team real quick. I probably got a better look at him that the others in my league I'm an A's fan. Have both him and Parker.
Liking your picks so far, especially the A's. Gray has been great as you have said. I picked him up for my fantasy team real quick. I probably got a better look at him that the others in my league I'm an A's fan. Have both him and Parker.
GL today
Thanks Proint! I really like Gray today, especially against Feldman (who the A's have owned throughout his career). The A's lefties will be ready to tee off, I'm just hoping Gray can keep the Baltimore line-up at least a little bit in check. BOL today
Liking your picks so far, especially the A's. Gray has been great as you have said. I picked him up for my fantasy team real quick. I probably got a better look at him that the others in my league I'm an A's fan. Have both him and Parker.
GL today
Thanks Proint! I really like Gray today, especially against Feldman (who the A's have owned throughout his career). The A's lefties will be ready to tee off, I'm just hoping Gray can keep the Baltimore line-up at least a little bit in check. BOL today
Yup that's what I figured. But IF he's sore in the AM, or isn't 80-85% then I'm sure they wouldn't risk it, and would call up a Triple-A pitcher (which would be nice too ). But even though Halladay "WAS" a beast, he is coming off a long DL stint and will be rusty. The AZ bats will once again be happy to see anyone but Hamels, and I don't know if they will treat him like Martin, but you have to give the edge to a healthy and dominant Corbin, and that means a lot with two extremely tired bullpens. GL
Yup that's what I figured. But IF he's sore in the AM, or isn't 80-85% then I'm sure they wouldn't risk it, and would call up a Triple-A pitcher (which would be nice too ). But even though Halladay "WAS" a beast, he is coming off a long DL stint and will be rusty. The AZ bats will once again be happy to see anyone but Hamels, and I don't know if they will treat him like Martin, but you have to give the edge to a healthy and dominant Corbin, and that means a lot with two extremely tired bullpens. GL
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