There's only one problem with your thesis: As much as voters are disappointed with Obama, they are not willing to hire Romney, a guy they just can't identify with. Think a weak President Bush beating Kerry.
While Romney's odds are enticing, this is not Monopoly money being bet. The odds are derived by the betting action. And many of the bettors aren't really politicos. They are hardcore bettors who study, like it's a football game.
Before you bet, wait a little longer. By next week, Romney will be +500 or higher.
There's only one problem with your thesis: As much as voters are disappointed with Obama, they are not willing to hire Romney, a guy they just can't identify with. Think a weak President Bush beating Kerry.
While Romney's odds are enticing, this is not Monopoly money being bet. The odds are derived by the betting action. And many of the bettors aren't really politicos. They are hardcore bettors who study, like it's a football game.
Before you bet, wait a little longer. By next week, Romney will be +500 or higher.
Easy to agree that polls can be very unreliable. But sportbook odds tend to be more reliable especially in the final week before the election according to research by the University of B.C.
The problem with the ultimate test is that it is limited to the people you know and might not be indicative of all voters. American gamblers aren't allowed to bet at Pinnacle. Polls suggest a close race but most money is on Obama by unemotional foreign gamblers.
Easy to agree that polls can be very unreliable. But sportbook odds tend to be more reliable especially in the final week before the election according to research by the University of B.C.
The problem with the ultimate test is that it is limited to the people you know and might not be indicative of all voters. American gamblers aren't allowed to bet at Pinnacle. Polls suggest a close race but most money is on Obama by unemotional foreign gamblers.
Well, I doubt die-hard Red Sox fans would ever bet on the Yankees. But sometimes they should (like this year). According to polls, states leaning towards Obama add up to 265 electoral votes. States leaning Romney add up to 191. It takes 271 to win the election. Therefore, Romney would HAVE to win every remaining swing state to get elected. Not an easy task considering momentum is on Obama's side.
The arguement "I don't know anybody who likes Obama" is an emotional one. The polls tell a different story.
Well, I doubt die-hard Red Sox fans would ever bet on the Yankees. But sometimes they should (like this year). According to polls, states leaning towards Obama add up to 265 electoral votes. States leaning Romney add up to 191. It takes 271 to win the election. Therefore, Romney would HAVE to win every remaining swing state to get elected. Not an easy task considering momentum is on Obama's side.
The arguement "I don't know anybody who likes Obama" is an emotional one. The polls tell a different story.
Well, I doubt die-hard Red Sox fans would ever bet on the Yankees. But sometimes they should (like this year). According to polls, states leaning towards Obama add up to 265 electoral votes. States leaning Romney add up to 191. It takes 271 to win the election. Therefore, Romney would HAVE to win every remaining swing state to get elected. Not an easy task considering momentum is on Obama's side.
The arguement "I don't know anybody who likes Obama" is an emotional one. The polls tell a different story.
Well, I doubt die-hard Red Sox fans would ever bet on the Yankees. But sometimes they should (like this year). According to polls, states leaning towards Obama add up to 265 electoral votes. States leaning Romney add up to 191. It takes 271 to win the election. Therefore, Romney would HAVE to win every remaining swing state to get elected. Not an easy task considering momentum is on Obama's side.
The arguement "I don't know anybody who likes Obama" is an emotional one. The polls tell a different story.
"It's not the people that vote who count, it's the people that count the votes." -Jospeh Stalin
"It's not the people that vote who count, it's the people that count the votes." -Jospeh Stalin
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