There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
75% too 90%. Dont quit your day job. Congrats on 6-0 but dont post stupid shit like 90% on here if you want any respect from people that know what they're doing.
75% too 90%. Dont quit your day job. Congrats on 6-0 but dont post stupid shit like 90% on here if you want any respect from people that know what they're doing.
75% too 90%. Dont quit your day job. Congrats on 6-0 but dont post stupid shit like 90% on here if you want any respect from people that know what they're doing.
Sure thing Chief. If you think accepting your 50% - 67% win rate is OK stick to what you know best.
I am only posting on Plays on a select 2-3 games where there is an X Factor I can find. I am not looking at picking on every game every day like most of you so called Experts.
If I picked from 10 games, the best I do is maybe get 5-6 right. I am picking on what I think will be an overvalue or undervalue by the Bookies.
75% too 90%. Dont quit your day job. Congrats on 6-0 but dont post stupid shit like 90% on here if you want any respect from people that know what they're doing.
Sure thing Chief. If you think accepting your 50% - 67% win rate is OK stick to what you know best.
I am only posting on Plays on a select 2-3 games where there is an X Factor I can find. I am not looking at picking on every game every day like most of you so called Experts.
If I picked from 10 games, the best I do is maybe get 5-6 right. I am picking on what I think will be an overvalue or undervalue by the Bookies.
The last time Rockets played LA (4 November 2009), the total (202.5) was set up for an absolute massacre as there was no pace in the game and the Bookies over valued the game going close to 200. It was never a 200 game.
The game went to Overtime and even with Overtime, the total barely went over.
In the past, with Yao Ming playing, the Rockets tended to play a slower tempo. Yao is out for the season and the Rockets and Aaron Brooks have elected to run the plays this year at a fast tempo. But this is only evident against teams the Rockets think they can beat. Lately, it is backfiring especially against the Sacremento Kings who beat them due mainly to the Rockets arrogance and also harder play.
The main problem is that the Rockets are a short team and were out rebounded by Sacremento at important stages in the 4th Quarter. They are too reliant on their 3 point shooting and if that fails, they will not score points or win many games.
Houston think they can win here. They know they will need to defend well and take defensive rebounds. They also know the key is in the pace of the game and not let the Lakers run.
Lakers are crying from the loss to Denver. I suspect they will be aware of how important it is to defend in this game especially considering Houston took it to them last time.
They will protect the ball and look for good shots (unlike the way they turned the ball over and allowed a few Denver players to take it to da house for some breakaway dunks).
LA will win and win easy. They will also cover the spread of -9.
The last time Rockets played LA (4 November 2009), the total (202.5) was set up for an absolute massacre as there was no pace in the game and the Bookies over valued the game going close to 200. It was never a 200 game.
The game went to Overtime and even with Overtime, the total barely went over.
In the past, with Yao Ming playing, the Rockets tended to play a slower tempo. Yao is out for the season and the Rockets and Aaron Brooks have elected to run the plays this year at a fast tempo. But this is only evident against teams the Rockets think they can beat. Lately, it is backfiring especially against the Sacremento Kings who beat them due mainly to the Rockets arrogance and also harder play.
The main problem is that the Rockets are a short team and were out rebounded by Sacremento at important stages in the 4th Quarter. They are too reliant on their 3 point shooting and if that fails, they will not score points or win many games.
Houston think they can win here. They know they will need to defend well and take defensive rebounds. They also know the key is in the pace of the game and not let the Lakers run.
Lakers are crying from the loss to Denver. I suspect they will be aware of how important it is to defend in this game especially considering Houston took it to them last time.
They will protect the ball and look for good shots (unlike the way they turned the ball over and allowed a few Denver players to take it to da house for some breakaway dunks).
LA will win and win easy. They will also cover the spread of -9.
The last time Rockets played LA (4 November 2009), the total (202.5) was set up for an absolute massacre as there was no pace in the game and the Bookies over valued the game going close to 200. It was never a 200 game.
Nice "logical" write-up. Even if you are wrong, I like the way you analyzed the matchup and team psyche coming into the matchup.
The game went to Overtime and even with Overtime, the total barely went over.
In the past, with Yao Ming playing, the Rockets tended to play a slower tempo. Yao is out for the season and the Rockets and Aaron Brooks have elected to run the plays this year at a fast tempo. But this is only evident against teams the Rockets think they can beat. Lately, it is backfiring especially against the Sacremento Kings who beat them due mainly to the Rockets arrogance and also harder play.
The main problem is that the Rockets are a short team and were out rebounded by Sacremento at important stages in the 4th Quarter. They are too reliant on their 3 point shooting and if that fails, they will not score points or win many games.
Houston think they can win here. They know they will need to defend well and take defensive rebounds. They also know the key is in the pace of the game and not let the Lakers run.
Lakers are crying from the loss to Denver. I suspect they will be aware of how important it is to defend in this game especially considering Houston took it to them last time.
They will protect the ball and look for good shots (unlike the way they turned the ball over and allowed a few Denver players to take it to da house for some breakaway dunks).
LA will win and win easy. They will also cover the spread of -9.
The last time Rockets played LA (4 November 2009), the total (202.5) was set up for an absolute massacre as there was no pace in the game and the Bookies over valued the game going close to 200. It was never a 200 game.
Nice "logical" write-up. Even if you are wrong, I like the way you analyzed the matchup and team psyche coming into the matchup.
The game went to Overtime and even with Overtime, the total barely went over.
In the past, with Yao Ming playing, the Rockets tended to play a slower tempo. Yao is out for the season and the Rockets and Aaron Brooks have elected to run the plays this year at a fast tempo. But this is only evident against teams the Rockets think they can beat. Lately, it is backfiring especially against the Sacremento Kings who beat them due mainly to the Rockets arrogance and also harder play.
The main problem is that the Rockets are a short team and were out rebounded by Sacremento at important stages in the 4th Quarter. They are too reliant on their 3 point shooting and if that fails, they will not score points or win many games.
Houston think they can win here. They know they will need to defend well and take defensive rebounds. They also know the key is in the pace of the game and not let the Lakers run.
Lakers are crying from the loss to Denver. I suspect they will be aware of how important it is to defend in this game especially considering Houston took it to them last time.
They will protect the ball and look for good shots (unlike the way they turned the ball over and allowed a few Denver players to take it to da house for some breakaway dunks).
LA will win and win easy. They will also cover the spread of -9.
The Total opened at 184.5. Instinctively, I would have betted on Under 184.5. The total has gone to 187. Instinctively I would bet on under 187.
However, a closer look at this game will show certain factors to consider.
1. Detroit is playing a back to back at home. Dallas is coming off a 2 day break since playing Minnesota.
2. How many points can C.Villanueva get? He will be matched up well by decent big men of Dallas and will have to adjust his shots. This could mean alot to the total at the end.
3. How well will Pistons defend D.Nowitski? He only averages 21 against Detroit.
This year, Detroit only averages 88 points when playing at home. Dallas on the other hand averages 93 away. Additional rest for Dallas will help their defensive set up.
I think this is an UNDER 187 here. I think the Dallas defense will do well and obviously Pistons don't give up too many points themselves. This may be similar to how Detroit played Orlando where they kept Howard to only 2 shots (8 points).
Possibly the 92-88 type scoreline here in favor of Detroit.
The Total opened at 184.5. Instinctively, I would have betted on Under 184.5. The total has gone to 187. Instinctively I would bet on under 187.
However, a closer look at this game will show certain factors to consider.
1. Detroit is playing a back to back at home. Dallas is coming off a 2 day break since playing Minnesota.
2. How many points can C.Villanueva get? He will be matched up well by decent big men of Dallas and will have to adjust his shots. This could mean alot to the total at the end.
3. How well will Pistons defend D.Nowitski? He only averages 21 against Detroit.
This year, Detroit only averages 88 points when playing at home. Dallas on the other hand averages 93 away. Additional rest for Dallas will help their defensive set up.
I think this is an UNDER 187 here. I think the Dallas defense will do well and obviously Pistons don't give up too many points themselves. This may be similar to how Detroit played Orlando where they kept Howard to only 2 shots (8 points).
Possibly the 92-88 type scoreline here in favor of Detroit.
OKLAHOMA CITY v LA CLIPPERS Total: 183.5 and stabilising Started at 179.0
Since Eric Gordon (LAC) has been injured, the Clipper's woes have commenced. The versatility Gordon offers is on the fast breaks, taking it to the rim and his ability to find open shooters and his contributions in scoring.
All these factors are non existent when he isn't there. Baron Davis is back to the 2008/09 Davis - mediocre and looking overpaid. The Clippers are back to the 2008/09 Season - finding it tough to run an offense.
The Clippers are one of the worst 2nd half teams. It appears that opposition sides just know how to shut them down or the Clippers know how to shoot themselves and each other.
I think OKC coming off a game to San Antonio can score around 95. I'm not certain Clippers can score 90 in this game without a major contribution from Davis.
Simply, Clippers are in a funk. There is no respite for them against OKC who can defend well. I would not be surprised at a repeat of the previous contest (OKC 83-79 LAC).
I would like to buy around 5 points more however. Will wait to see if the total goes to around 186 to take UNDER here
OKLAHOMA CITY v LA CLIPPERS Total: 183.5 and stabilising Started at 179.0
Since Eric Gordon (LAC) has been injured, the Clipper's woes have commenced. The versatility Gordon offers is on the fast breaks, taking it to the rim and his ability to find open shooters and his contributions in scoring.
All these factors are non existent when he isn't there. Baron Davis is back to the 2008/09 Davis - mediocre and looking overpaid. The Clippers are back to the 2008/09 Season - finding it tough to run an offense.
The Clippers are one of the worst 2nd half teams. It appears that opposition sides just know how to shut them down or the Clippers know how to shoot themselves and each other.
I think OKC coming off a game to San Antonio can score around 95. I'm not certain Clippers can score 90 in this game without a major contribution from Davis.
Simply, Clippers are in a funk. There is no respite for them against OKC who can defend well. I would not be surprised at a repeat of the previous contest (OKC 83-79 LAC).
I would like to buy around 5 points more however. Will wait to see if the total goes to around 186 to take UNDER here
I'm investing my own money on these plays as well. But basically i am only picking Games where I can figure an edge.
There are alot of Games which are well overvalued or undervalued by the Bookies. Normally it is the old adage of "Murphy's Law".
I don't like my bets to go to the wire. I want to be basking in it well before the end.
Some of my plays may be set for 1st Half or 2nd Half Totals too so be aware of that. I will normally post a 2nd Half play on a Game I have selected as my Play here.
I will be looking at the OKC v Clippers and looking for an Under there if the Bookies are setting for a 2nd Half total of 90.
I'm investing my own money on these plays as well. But basically i am only picking Games where I can figure an edge.
There are alot of Games which are well overvalued or undervalued by the Bookies. Normally it is the old adage of "Murphy's Law".
I don't like my bets to go to the wire. I want to be basking in it well before the end.
Some of my plays may be set for 1st Half or 2nd Half Totals too so be aware of that. I will normally post a 2nd Half play on a Game I have selected as my Play here.
I will be looking at the OKC v Clippers and looking for an Under there if the Bookies are setting for a 2nd Half total of 90.
Thats part of gambling... The human factor will always always get ya.... Thats why we have to bet small units and even units on every game to account for that mvthefvcker of all fvckers..
Thats part of gambling... The human factor will always always get ya.... Thats why we have to bet small units and even units on every game to account for that mvthefvcker of all fvckers..
Thats part of gambling... The human factor will always always get ya.... Thats why we have to bet small units and even units on every game to account for that mvthefvcker of all fvckers..
Yeah I know. Next play is the LA Lakers U204.5 although the line has dropped to 200.5 from overnite.
Thats part of gambling... The human factor will always always get ya.... Thats why we have to bet small units and even units on every game to account for that mvthefvcker of all fvckers..
Yeah I know. Next play is the LA Lakers U204.5 although the line has dropped to 200.5 from overnite.
Well Lakers obviously don't think playing perimeter defense is important when you are NBA Champions. Interesting to see how they respond at the half but if they don't play D then they don't win. Simple. I have 98 points up my sleeve and need some D from both teams or some missed shots.
Well Lakers obviously don't think playing perimeter defense is important when you are NBA Champions. Interesting to see how they respond at the half but if they don't play D then they don't win. Simple. I have 98 points up my sleeve and need some D from both teams or some missed shots.
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