NFL Prop Shop: Week 10's best player prop bets

Nov 8, 2013 |
NFL Prop Shop: Week 10's best player prop bets
Colin Kaepernick could take a more aggressive passing approach vs. Carolina.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Colin Kaepernick could take a more aggressive passing approach vs. Carolina.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors of the NFL Prop Shop in Week 10, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Sunday's action.

Most passing yards

Andy Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) vs. Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens)

I'm having a tough time believing in Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense right now. He's thrown for more than 270 yards only three times in eight games this season and now faces a Cincinnati defense that is allowing only 5.9 yards per pass play.

Andy Dalton threw three interceptions last week in Miami, but still managed to rack up 338 yards passing. He's now thrown for over 300 yards in four consecutive games. The Ravens pass defense has been pretty awful this year, giving up north of seven yards per pass attempt.

Take: Dalton

Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers) vs. Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers)

Colin Kaepernick has been held to a grand total of 363 passing yards over his last two games. Keep in mind, he's only thrown 37 passes over that stretch. I expect to see the 49ers take a more aggressive approach as they return home to host the Panthers. As good as the Panthers defense has been, I'm not sure they'll have an answer for Vernon Davis or Anquan Boldin.

Cam Newton has learned to scale things back to the benefit of the Panthers offense. While he's thrown for fewer than 250 yards in four straight games, he's tossed seven touchdowns compared to only two interceptions. Of course, those two interceptions both came in last week's game, so perhaps we'll see Carolina go even more conservative against an opportunistic 49ers defense.

Take: Kaepernick

Most rushing yards

Reggie Bush (Detroit Lions) vs. Matt Forte (Chicago Bears)

The common line of thinking here is that Matt Forte will see his workload decrease with the return of QB Jay Cutler. Forte ran the ball 25 times for 125 yards in Monday's upset win in Green Bay. I don't expect the Bears to stray too far from their feature back Sunday.

The last time these two NFC North rivals met, Cutler threw the ball 47 times in a 40-32 loss. Forte ran only 14 times in that game. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out Chicago's winning formula this Sunday.

Reggie Bush ran for 139 yards against the Bears in that Week 4 matchup, but hasn't had a 100-yard rushing performance since. That was in Detroit. The Bears have been much better against the run at home this season, allowing just 3.3 yards per rush.

Take: Forte

Most pass receptions

Denarius Moore (Oakland Raiders) vs. Hakeem Nicks (New York Giants)

With the Raiders struggling against the pass (allowing 7.4 yards per pass attempt this season), I'm expecting a big day from Eli Manning and in turn Hakeem Nicks. Nicks had a team-high 12 targets against the Eagles two weeks ago. He's hauled in at least seven catches in two of the last four games.

Denarius Moore has been the Raiders most consistent receiver, but I expect him to face blanket coverage this week. He's more of a big-play threat than a volume guy. He's topped out at five catches over the last five games.

Take: Nicks

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