NCAA futures action report: Books cheering against Miami

Mar 19, 2013 |
With the NCAA regional matchups in place, college basketball bettors have a good idea of which teams have the easiest and toughest paths to the national championship. Along with a slew of game lines, books also released their updated outright winner odds on Selection Sunday and bettors were quick to jump on a few contenders.

The two most notable NCAA futures plays both came out of the Sunshine State. The No. 3 Florida Gators and No. 2 Miami Hurricanes took substantial early action with bettors buying up the Gators at +900 and Miami at +1300.

“Interesting sharp betting patterns have seen both of Florida’s giants as early favorites for outright tournament winner props,” an oddsmaker for told Covers. “The Florida Gators are seeing some action and the Miami Hurricanes are getting some sharp money love.”

Miami could end up being a big loser for sportsbooks – which means a big winner for NCAAB bettors – if the Hurricanes continue their hot play following an ACC tournament title. According to, plenty of bettors scooped up Miami at 100-1 to win the NCAA tournament before its strong conference run.

“No question we will be rooting against the Miami Hurricanes,” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for told Covers. “Miami surprised a lot of experts and surprised us. It only takes a few bets at that kind of price to get exposed and that’s what happened to us.”

On top of those two Florida teams, programs like Kansas State, Ohio State and Indiana also pose a big threat to the books’ futures market. According to Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, the Hoosiers and Buckeyes are neck-and-neck in terms of futures tickets written.

Indiana has been a popular play all season and continues to get support from bettors as the No. 1 seed in the East Regional. The Hoosiers were around +700 to win the NCAA for most of the year and now sit at +600 entering the Round of 64. Duke is also among those favorites drawing futures money for most of the season. The No. 2 Blue Devils are +800 coming out of a tough Midwest bracket.

“Not surprising as both teams have been ranked near the top of the polls all year, and we’re also talking about two storied universities with tons of history and popularity,” Stewart says of IU and Duke. “But at those low prices, we’ll be able to balance out that action.”

Here’s a full list of the tournament outright winner odds:

Louisville +500    
Indiana +600    
Kansas +800    
Gonzaga +800    
Duke +800    
Miami FL +1,000    
Georgetown +1,000
Ohio St +1,500     Bet
Michigan St +1,200    
Marquette +2,500    
Florida +1,000    
New Mexico +1,500    
St Louis +2,000    
Syracuse +1,500    
Michigan +1,500    
Kansas St +3,000    
Oklahoma St +4,000    
UNLV +3,000    
VCU +3,000    
Wisconsin +4,000    
Memphis +7,500    
Butler +7,500
UCLA +5,000    
Arizona +4,000
Creighton +7,500    
Illinois +10,000
San Diego St +10,000    
Notre Dame +10,000    
Colorado St +10,000    
North Carolina St +5,000    
North Carolina +5,000    
Pittsburgh +5,000    
Missouri +5,000    
Temple +10,000    
Villanova +10,000    
Wichita St +10,000    
Cincinnati +10,000    
Colorado +10,000    
Oklahoma +10,000    
Iowa St +10,000    
Middle Tennessee +30,000    
St Marys +30,000    
Bucknell +20,000    
Minnesota +15,000    
Belmont +20,000    
Oregon +15,000
California +25,000    
Akron +30,000    
Ole Miss +25,000    
New Mexico St +50,000    
Montana +50,000    
South Dakota St +50,000    
Boise St +50,000    
LaSalle +50,000    
Valparasio +50,000    
Davidson +50,000    
Northwestern St +100,000    
Harvard +100,000    
Albany +100,000    
Pacific +100,000    
Florida GC +100,000    
Iona +100,000    
Liberty +100,000    
North Carolina A&T +100,000    
LIU-Brooklyn +100,000    
James Madison +100,000    
Western Kentucky +100,000    
Southern +100,000

Odds courtesy of

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