English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Sep 28, 2013 |
Only a pair of games on the board Sunday after a fairly wild and wacky Saturday that saw both Manchester clubs fail to collect points against vastly inferior opponents.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on a big home game for Stoke City.

Stoke v Norwich (-105, +250, +350)

Why bet Stoke: Stoke played Arsenal reasonably well one week ago, but a pair of set-piece goals saw to their demise in a 3-1 loss. The Potters will always be a tough club and the culture is undergoing a gradual change under new boss Mark Hughes. This isn't the Stoke that scores from Rory Delap 30-yard throw ins anymore. The side tries to keep possession and goes for it more in open play than they previously had done under Tony Pulis.

Key players out/doubtful:
Glenn Whelan, Marc Muniesa, Jamie Ness

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries are in the midst of some poor form and haven't scored in their previous two matches. The players the club brought in during the transfer window were celebrated, but have yet to form a cohesive unit. One such player is striker Gary Hooper, who should be approaching full health and could feature for the Canaries who are desperate for somebody to score.

Key players out/doubtful: Sébastien Bassong, Elliott Bennett

2012-13 fixture result: Stoke 1, Norwich 0

Key betting note:
The five previous meetings between these two clubs have produced fewer than three goals in total.

Where the action is: "Money so far sides with Stoke to take the three points, and it's most likely that Stoke are a shorter price come kickoff. Norwich are largely being swerved with some action on the Draw."

Sunderland v Liverpool (+450, +280, -138)

Why bet Sunderland:
Well, Paolo Di Canio is out as manager as the Black Cats were humiliated by West Brom last week and sent the Italian packing. Di Canio just couldn't get this team to play cohesive football so perhaps this match is a rallying point to turn the season around before it's too late.

Key players out/doubtful: Phillip Bardsley, Wes Brown

Why bet Liverpool: A hiccup last week in a 1-0 defeat to surging Southampton after the Reds got off to a blistering start to the season. Liverpool has been fueled by goals from Daniel Sturridge and incredible play from new-keeper Simon Mignolet (formerly of Sunderland). But it will be the return of talisman Luis Suarez after a 10-match ban (dating back to last season) that could have the Reds flying high once again.

Key players out/doubtful: Philippe Coutinho, Aly Cissokho, Sebastián Coates, Glen Johnson

2012-13 fixture result:
Sunderland 1, Liverpool 1

Key betting note:
Liverpool have played over the 2.5 goal total in 13 of their last 15 away matches.

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