Where the action is: Saturday's biggest NCAAF line moves

Nov 8, 2013 |
Bowl season is rapidly approaching with college football in Week 11 of the schedule. We talk with Michael Perry of Sportsbook.ag about some of the biggest line moves on the board this weekend:

Hawaii Warriors at Navy Midshipmen – Open: +19.5, Move: +16.5

This Mountain West matchup has had its spread trimmed as many as three points at some books. Sharp money was on Hawaii earlier in the week and 69 percent of action is on the Warriors.

“Maybe wiseguys are thinking this will be a letdown game for Navy, who are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame,” says Perry. “On Sunday, we got sharp play on Hawaii +19.5 so moved to +18. Then on Monday, we got another sharp play on the 'Bows  so moved to our current number.”

UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats
– Open: Pick, Move +2

This Pac-12 battle was bumped off a pick’em by early money on the Bruins. Some books are dealing Arizona as a slight home favorite but those spread are moving with more money on UCLA.

“A sharp play came on Sunday on the Bruins pick 'em, so moved to UCLA -1.5,” says Perry. “Heavy majority of the early public money was on the Bruins, so moved to UCLA -2. About 73 percent of the money is on the Bruins.”

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers – Open: +7, Move +8.5

Wiseguys bought up Auburn at the key number of a touchdown quickly and forced books to go to -8. The Public got involved later in the week, tacking a half point on that spread with 88 percent of the action on the Tigers.

“Auburn has been a covering machine recently (6-0 ATS streak going) and has been popular with many in the betting public,” says Perry.

Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels
- Open: -15, Move: -13.5

Action on the road underdog has pushed this line past the key two-touchdown number but books expect some buyback on the Tar Heels before Saturday’s kickoff.

“This is a big line move in that it goes through 14,” says Perry. “I could see us settling on 14 soon on this game and will leave it there until gametime.”

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies
– Open: -18.5, Move: -20

This one has jumped as high as -20 with money on Johnny Manziel and the Aggies. Sharps took a chunk of that action on Texas A&M before the betting public added on another half point.

“Big chunk of betting public was still betting on A&M with about 90 percent of the money on Texas A&M,” says Perry.

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