Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Nov 1, 2013 |
The odds for Week 10 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles - Open: -22, Move: -21

Florida State is playing some of the best football in the country and Heisman-hopeful Jameis Winston and his talented group of WRs will look to cause fits for the 'Canes secondary. Money had been coming in on The U, and for good reason. Miami is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at Florida State.

"All stats lead to Florida State, but rivalry games like this can often have strange things happen," says Aron Black of Bet365. "Some of these kids often act differently when the big stage comes against in-state rivals, but action so far is liking the plus points by about 2-to-1, however its coming back on the Seminoles -21."

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd - Open: -28.5, Move: -31.5

Action here has been all Marshall, all the time. Southern Miss is one of the worst FBS schools around, sporting an 0-7 SU record and 1-6 ATS record. The Golden Eagles have been double-digit dogs in six-straight games.

"Heavy majority of our players are betting on the Thundering Herd, so on Thursday we moved to the current number of -31.5," says Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag. "Eighty-eight percent of the cash is on Marshall."

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Open: -17, Move: -14.5

The Middies have a very respectable 5-2 ATS record on the season and Sharps instantly jumped on the large opening line. They have covered in back-to-back games heading into this weekend's tilt and boast the 10th most per-game rushing yards at 289.1.

"Navy can cause problems with the run, and if they can do that, can at least lengthen their possessions," claims Black. "Although they probably don’t have enough to fully upset, it's that kind of aspect that has sharps eating up the early plus-point lines."

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Open: +3.5, Move: +5.5

Wiseguy action had this line on the move from the get go, despite the Heels being a paltry 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, as well as 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with their in-state rivals.

"Friday afternoon, shortly after noon ET, we got huge wiseguy play at -3.5 and made a 2-point line move to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "We are split almost right down middle as 51 percent of money is on the Tar Heels."

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gators - Open: -2.5, Move: -3.5

This game normally has something bigger at stake, but both of these programs are currently unranked for the second time in four years after at least one was ranked in each season since 1979.

"Monday got a sharp play on Georgia -2.5 and then today, moved number to -3.5 as 86 percent of money is on the Bulldogs," Perry tells Covers.

"Action is pretty split on this one," says Black. "Georgia is seeing about 1.5-to-1 against the spread action to Florida."

East Carolina Pirates at Florida International Golden Panthers - Open: -21, Move: -25.5

This matchup has seen the biggest movement of the week at Sportsbook.ag. FIU is in the midst of a dismal campaign, going 1-6 SU and just 2-5 ATS. The Pirates are coming off a bye week

"Despite not involving a BCS team or national television, this will be one of our 10 biggest decisions in college football," Perry said.  "Ninety-six percent of money is on the Pirates."

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