Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Oct 11, 2013 |
Week 7 of the college football schedule has plenty of marquee matchups on the board, and bettors have had their say about those games. We talk to sportsbooks about the biggest adjustments to the Week 7 odds and where those line will end up come kickoff Saturday:

Missouri Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs
– Open: -9.5, Move: -7

Some markets have trimmed this SEC spread as many as 2.5 points heading into the weekend. Georgia has a long list of injuries to deal with and sharp bettors are buying up the Tigers, however, with the spread dropping to a touchdown, money is showing up on UGA.

“On Tuesday, we got sharp bet on the dog, so moved to 9. Then another wiseguy played Missouri, so moved to 8,” says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com. “So far  55 percent of the money is on Missouri.”

South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks – Open: +6, Move: +5

There’s a dark cloud hanging over South Carolina, with star defensive stopper Jadaveon Clowney at odds with head coach Steve Spurrier after missing last week with an “injury”. The Razorbacks haven’t been at their best but welcome a huge crowd for homecoming Saturday.

“Not the biggest of movers but an interesting matchup,” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Action is pretty split on this one. On paper and stats wise, it looks like an easy play on South Carolina. But this is a tough game to call.”

Baylor Bears at Kansas State Wildcats – Open: -17, Move -19

Baylor has been the popular choice with the public the past few weeks and has once again swayed one-sided money on its weekend game, with 93 percent of the handle on the Bears. This one could keep going up once the public has its say on Saturday.

“The Bears have been one of the top five wagered-on teams each week they have played this season and it makes sense,” says Perry. “After all, dating back to 2012, the Bears have covered 10 straight games.”

Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi Rebels
– Open: +5, Move: +6

The Aggies are always a popular play among bettors each Saturday and are coming off a bye week. Texas A&M’s defense is the biggest question mark, but the early money is banking on an improvement in Oxford.

“Should be a very entertaining game, lots of scoring expected with the weeks highest number 76 on the board,” says Black. “The action is all over the Aggies, by a fair margin, so an Ole Miss cover is what we’re looking for. Even with the 76 total, we see mainly Overs.”

Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins
– Open: -6, Move: -7.5

According to Perry, this game opened too low with oddsmakers downgrading the Terrapins following their loss to Florida State. That attracted early wiseguy action on Maryland.

“Wiseguys think the line was too low, as just a few hours after we went live, we got sharp action on the Terps,” says Perry. “About 91 percent of the money is on Maryland.”

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