The Cincinnati Bengals were well on their way to a fifth straight cover versus the Dallas Cowboys Sunday until the wheels fell off in the fourth quarter.
The Bengals had a hearty nine-point lead heading into the final frame and then the offense dried up. Andy Dalton and Co. were held to two possessions in the final quarter and managed to move the chains just once, allowing Tony Romo to lead the heavy-hearted Cowboys down the field and set up Dan Bailey’s game-winning field goal.
Although bettors who were riding the Bengals' ATS run were disappointed with the late collapse, others were delighted to see them play under the total for the fifth straight game.
“Cincinnati is a quality defensive team that has really flown beneath the radar for much of the season,” says Covers Expert Sean Murphy. “We're still seeing value in the under in games involving the Bengals, as evidenced by the total being set at 46 against Dallas this past Sunday. This is a team that is trying to generate more of a ground game down the stretch as well, also contributing to that under streak. “
Running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis ran for 89 yards on just 12 carries (7.4 yards per carry) against the Cowboys, breaking his streak of three straight 100-yard games. The play selection on offense is nearly a 50-50 split (51% pass/49% rush) over Cincinnati’s past five games, compared to a 60-40 margin in its first five contests. The stop unit has also stepped up, allowing just over 12 points per game during the under run.
So, will the under streak continue? Cincinnati has three games remaining on its schedule and not much time to prepare for the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday night. Oddsmakers have the Bengals set as 3-point road favorites while the total is 45.5 points.
“I do think the under will continue to be a good bet in their next two games against Philly and Pittsburgh, but the Ravens might be pretty loose in the last game of the season,” says Covers Expert Schule. “I wouldn't bet on that being a low-scoring affair.”