English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Oct 4, 2013 |
A tasty matchup between Manchester City and yet undefeated Everton and a fixture that features a pair of clubs that need points as Man United travel to Sunderland headlines Saturday's matchups in the Barclay's Premier League.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Manchester City v Everton (-150, +310, +450)

Why bet Manchester City:
Fresh off a 3-1 drubbing courtesy of Bayern Munich in Champions League and stomach-punch loss last weekend at Aston Villa, the Citizens will be looking for a positive result to get their season back on track. The club can find solace in the fact they are at home, where they are unbeaten in 36 of their last 38.

Key players out/doubtful:
Martín Demichelis, Jack Rodwell

Why bet Everton:
As the only unbeaten side remaining in the top flight, Roberto Martinez and the Toffees are commanding the respect of the rest of the league. Everton is coming off a close home win over Newcastle last week but has won three straight matches.

Key players out/doubtful: Gareth Barry, Steven Pienaar, Antolin Alcaraz

2012-13 fixture result: City 1, Everton 1

Key betting note: City has won just two of its previous 12 Premier League matches versus Everton, losing nine.

Where the action is: "Action so far is pretty split for who will win the match. City see fair enough support at the price, but Everton are a popular away play, the draw as well is seeing action, as Martinez’ men have had three already. It's definitely tense times for City, and Everton are full of confidence. Striker Romelu Lukaku had a great game against Newcastle last time out, and it's not going to be surprise if he pops up with a goal for Everton on Saturday. He is +200 To Score Anytime. He is full of power and raw talent, and is improving with every game."

Cardiff v Newcastle (+145, +240, +210)

Why bet Cardiff: The Welsh outfit will be brimming with confidence with a pair of wins and a couple of draws through its first six matches in the Premier League. Cardiff currently sits 11th in the table and is coming off a 2-1 victory over Fulham last weekend.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies strung together a pair of victories earlier in the season and looked like they were finding a bit of form. Things went pear shaped and the club carries back-to-back losses heading to Wales. The back four is leaky and has surrendered the second-most goals (11) in the league.

Key players out/doubtful: Steven Taylor, Ryan Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: There has been over 2.5 goals in the Magpies previous four away matches in the league.

Fulham v Stoke (+145, +225, +225)

Why bet Fulham: Martin Jol and his Fulham side just have not gotten anything going and will look for this match at Craven Cottage to turn the early-season woes around. The Cottagers need goals as Dimitar Berbatov just can't seem to get it done. Bryan Ruiz back in the fold certainly helps and Jol will look to Darren Bent to perhaps lead the attack.

Key players out/doubtful: Maarten Stekelenburg, Matthew Briggs

Why bet Stoke: The Potters were actually enjoying a good run before Arsenal toppled them 3-1 back on Sept. 22. They suffered a hard 1-0 home loss to Norwich one week ago and must get back in the winning column. New signing Erik Pieters has been a revelation at left back and the whole back four is still a tough nut to crack, having conceded just six goals on the season.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

2012-13 fixture result:
Fulham 1, Stoke 0

Key betting note: Fulham has defeated Stoke in five of the last six meetings at Craven Cottage in all competitions.

Hull v Aston Villa (+130, +225, +250)

Why bet Hull: The Tigers have been a pleasant surprise to start the season and sit eighth in the table with 10 points. KC Stadium has been a fortess for the club as they boast seven points from three home matches.

Key players out/doubtful: Robbie Brady, Robert Koren, James Chester

Why bet Villa: Christian Benteke who? Without their talisman, the Villains snatched three points from wealthy Manchester City behind a match-winning goal from young Austrian Andreas Weimann. The club is establishing itself as a giant-slayer having beaten City and can lay claim as they only side to beat Arsenal thus far.

Key players out/doubtful:
Christian Benteke, Jores Okore, Charles N'Zogbia

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Villa has won its last five matches against Hull in all competitions.

Liverpool v Crystal Palace (-500, +650, +1600)

Why bet Liverpool: After their first loss of the season, the Reds got back in the winning column with a 3-1 victory away to dismal Sunderland last week. Luis Suarez is back announced his return by netting two goals against the Black Cats.

Key players out/doubtful:
Philippe Coutinho, Aly Cissokho, Sebastián Coates, Glen Johnson, Lucas Leiva, Joe Allen

Why bet Crystal Palace: Palace is bad. The only victory of the season came in a 3-1 win over Sunderland. The side is 19th in the table and it doesn't get easier for the newly-promoted club. After Liverpool, they face Fulham at home, but then Arsenal come to town, and Everton follow two weeks after. They could find themselves in deep trouble.

Key players out/doubtful: Jonathan Williams, Jack Hunt, Damien Delaney, Glenn Murray

2012-13 fixture result:

Key betting note: Liverpool has played under the 2.5 goal total in its last five home matches in the Premier League.

Sunderland v Manchester United (+500, +300, -154)

Why bet Sunderland: No wins. No coach. No hope. This isn't exactly what the club had in mind after some promising transfer into the club. But maybe a visit from another club in disarray will cure what ails the Black Cats?

Key players out/doubtful: Wes Brown, Steven Fletcher, Phillip Bardsley

Why bet United:
The Red Devils need to get things sorted - and fast. Sunderland is the perfect opportunity to right the ship. Especially after a midweek draw in Champions League against Shakhtar and an embarrassing home defeat at the hands of West Brom in the Premier League.

Key players out/doubtful:
Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result:
Sunderland 0, United 1

Key betting note:
United is unbeaten in its previous 19 matches in all competitions against Sunderland.

Where the action is:
"Desperate times meets desperate measures. Take your pick as to which-is-which of the two teams. Both teams will survive with a draw, but a win for either would be a big lift. Or if United lose, a big hole to climb out of. The action is pretty one sided with most backing United to win the game and stop a two-game losing skid. There are bits and pieces on the draw and Sunderland, but this one so far sees the punters showing faith in Moyes’ men."

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