A couple of also-rans take the national stage in the Week 14 edition of Thursday Night Football. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with Carbonsports.ag about the action coming in on this primetime matchup and where the odds could end up come kickoff Thursday night.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +2.5, Move: +3.5
The Jaguars are suddenly on a hot-streak as they've won three of their last four games overall and are 3-1 ATS over that stretch. Still, these teams are as bad as it gets in the grand scheme of things and have a combined record of 5-19.
As awful as the Texans have been, sportsbooks began writing Texans tickets as soon as lines became available.
"Early action has come in on Texans and we went to -2.5 (-115), then -2.5 (-120) and then we booked sharp action on the Texans, pushing us to that very key number of 3," Stewart tells Covers. "Last night we went to -3.5 (-105) /+3.5 (-115) and at that number we’ve booked two-way action."
Even though the Jags are hot, all three of their wins have come on the road and EverBank Field does not really strike fear into visitors.
"No question I believe we opened this game a bit short," says Stewart. "The Jags have no real home-field advantage and while they have the better overall record and ATS record, the Texans are still looked up by the betting public as the vastly superior team. So far 60 percent of the action is on the Texans."
The majority of wagering outlets opened the total at 43 and bettors have been backing the Over all week. The number has gone up slightly and Stewart believes it could move a bit more as kickoff approaches.
"As for the total, we opened 43 and pretty much all the early money was on the over," he says. "We went to 43.5 Wednesday morning and we’ve been dealing that total since. Nearly 75 percent of the money is on the over and I wouldn’t be surprised if we pushed it a tick higher to 44 as we get closer to game time."