English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Jan 10, 2014 |
The FA Cup weekend has come and gone which means we get back to Premier League football this weekend.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in on some of Saturday's hottest fixtures.

Hull City v Chelsea (+550, +300, -167)

Why bet Hull: The Tigers have posted some impressive results on home soil this season and are currently the sixth-best home side in the league. They have 18 points from 10 matches at home during this campaign and have two wins, one draw and one loss in their last four home matches.

Key players out/doubtful: Sone Aluko, Robbie Brady, Matty Fryatt, Paul McShane

Why bet Chelsea: The Blues are coming in hot as they're enjoying a three game winning streak and have collected 13 points in their last five games. They are coming off an impressive 3-0 road victory at Southampton in their last Premier League games.

Key players out/doubtful: Branislav Ivanovic, Frank Lampard, Marco van Ginkel

Previous meeting result: Chelsea 2, Hull 0

Key betting note: Chelsea have played Over the 2.5 goal total in eight of its last 10 matches.

Where the action is: "Hull have been more impressive than even the most supportive of pundits would have figured this season, and after a 6-0 win against Fulham, they come into this game full of confidence. The FT result sees little support for Hull and the Draw, but Chelsea are being well backed at the -167 price, which may go shorter come KO time. With only seven goals between them – Ba, Torres and Eto’o lead the market for First Goalscorer, but it's Eden Hazard who sees the action at +700 to be the First Goalscorer."

Cardiff v West Ham (+100, +250, +310)

Why bet Cardiff:
Both of these sides have earned just one point from their previous four matches and both appear headed toward the relegation zone. But Cardiff has the edge as it plays on home turf against a shockingly bad West Ham club.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet West Ham: If these players like having Sam Allardyce as their coach, they will need to step up and win this game Saturday. Allardyce is surely on the chopping block after the Hammers have strung together some amazingly-bad performances. None worse, however, then the 5-0 thrashing handed out by Championship side Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup last weekend.

Key players out/doubtful: Winston Reid, Andy Carroll, Kevin Nolan, Ricardo Vaz Te

Previous meeting result: West Ham 2, Cardiff 0

Key betting note: The Hammers have lost their last five matches away from Upton Park.

Everton v Norwich (-250, +400, +800)

Why bet Everton: The Toffees are battling some injury concerns, but will still field a quality XI as they host Norwich Saturday. They still own a European spot as the club sits fifth in the league with 38 points. They'll look to bounce back from a little hiccup in a 1-1 draw away to Stoke last time out.

Key players out/doubtful: Phil Jagielka, Gerard Deulofeu, Arouna Koné, Darron Gibson

Why bet Norwich: It's been a while since the Canaries have won a league game - Dec. 7 to be exact - but have played well of late. A disappointing draw at Crystal Palace last time out should be a motivating factor to get a positive result at Goodison Park Saturday.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Alexander Tettey, Anthony Pilkington

Previous meeting result: Norwich 2, Everton 2

Key betting note: The Toffees are undefeated in 18 of their last 19 matches at Goodison Park.

Fulham v Sunderland (+115, +240, +275)

Why bet Fulham: The Cottagers are slowly but surely climbing out of the bottom quarter of the table. They've won two of three and three of six in the league, and a home match versus last-placed Sunderland could be a perfect fixture to snatch three points and continue the ascension.

Key players out/doubtful: Matthew Briggs, Brede Hangeland

Why bet Sunderland: They may be cellar dwellers in the Premier League, but the Black Cats are a different side under Gus Poyet. This is a scrappy side that is desperate to get out of 20th and their play has reflected their desire to seek safety. They've put together three draws in their last five, but must start nabbing three points against bottom-half clubs.

Key players out/doubtful: Carlos Cuéllar, Keiren Westwood

Previous meeting result: Sunderland 0, Fulham 1

Key betting note:
The Cottagers have netted at least two goals in each of their last three matches at Craven Cottage.

Southampton v West Brom (-120, +270, +375)

Why bet Southampton: Off the heels of a tough defeat to Chelsea last time out, the Saints must get back into early season form. They've lost back-to-back games and three of four overall and are plummeting down the table. This is a much better side than we've seen of late, and injuries have certainly taken its toll. Namely holding-mid Victory Wanyama and Roma import Pablo Osvaldo.

Key players out/doubtful: Pablo Osvaldo, Victor Wanyama, Artur Boruc, Guly

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies are currently without a manager after sacking Steve Clarke. They do get to face a depleted Southampton attack which bodes well for them. As far as the Baggies attack, they will welcome back striker Shane Long who returns from injury for Saturday's tilt with the Saints.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Previous meeting result: West Brom 0, Southampton 1

Key betting note: West Brom has lost or drawn its last seven Premier League matches away from home.

Tottenham v Crystal Palace (-275, +400, +900)

Why bet Tottenham: Despite the sacking of Andre Villas-Boas and the fan base calling out some of the club's high profile purchases, Spurs sit just one point out of a Europa League spot and two points back of a Champions League spot. They've got three wins and one draw in their last four, but wins are few and far between and White Hart Lane. They put in one of their best performances against Stoke in their last home game and will look for that form to continue against lowly Palace.

Key players out/doubtful: Jan Vertonghen, Paulinho, Younes Kaboul

Why bet Crystal Palace: Tony Pulis has given the side new hope since he took over managerial duties at the club. Results have been largely positive and they have won three of their last seven and are coming off a draw at home against Norwich. Spurs are certainly beatable at home and if Palace can score the upset, it will go a long way in their quest to stay up.

Key players out/doubtful: Jerome Thomas, Adlène Guédioura

Previous meeting result: Crystal Palace 0, Tottenham 1

Key betting note: Scorelines have gone over the 2.5 goal total in eight of Tottenham's last nine games.

Manchester United v Swansea (-167, +300, +550)

Why bet Manchester United: United is in tough with so many injury worries at the club. They are coming off a home defeat at the hands of Tottenham and a win versus Swansea at Old Trafford is now becoming more imperative. The Red Devils could be bolstered by the return of Robin van Persie who is rumored to be nearing fitness.

Key players out/doubtful: Wayne Rooney, Nani, Marouane Fellaini, Phil Jones, Ashley Young, Fabio

Why bet Swansea: Talk about a team who is plummeting. The Swans are in danger of being passed by the likes of West Brom, Norwich and even Fulham as they haven't won a game since Dec. 4. The Swans can hang their hat on the fact that they defeated United at Old Trafford in the FA Cup on Jan. 5.

Key players out/doubtful: Michu, Nathan Dyer, Michel Vorm

Previous meeting result: Swansea 1, Manchester United 4

Key betting note: United and Swansea have gone over the 2.5 goal total in their last three meetings in all competitions.

Where the action is: "Normally, United has been backed to bounce back after troubles earlier in the season, however, this match is seeing them being largely swerved, even at the -200 price, but it's possible that this may turn out to be the time to back Man United. But I suspect many may wait until the game goes in play to invest in them. Adnan Januzaj sees support to Score Anytime at +225, but it's rather surprising that the fortunes of one of the biggest clubs in the world are possibly falling at the young player's feet."

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