English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Oct 26, 2013 |
Sunday's fixture list in the Premier League features a heated derby, a Swansea side looking for some kind of consistency, a Tottenham club desperately trying to keep up with the clubs above them and a showdown between two of the best teams in the league at Stamford Bridge.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 to see where the action is on some of Sunday's hottest fixtures.

Sunderland v Newcastle (+200, +230, +160)

Why bet Sunderland: Despite their horrific start the season, the Black Cats and new manager Gus Poyet will be up for this home fixture in the Tyne-Wear Derby. This fixture is all about pride and three points here could be used as a springboard to some more positive results. If they don't collect points Sunday, it could spell 'doom' because Man City, Chelsea and Spurs are Sunderland's next three opponents at home.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Newcastle:
Newcastle's biggest priority at the moment has to be finding consistency. They are in a decent spot (10th) in the table but have dropped points to Hull and Everton in their most recent losses. Loïc Remy has been in superb form with five goals and one assists in his six appearances.

Key players out/doubtful: Fabricio Coloccini, Ryan Taylor, Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa

2012-13 fixture result: Sunderland 1, Newcastle 1

Key betting note: There has been five red cards in the last six meetings between these two rivals.

Chelsea v Manchester City (+140, +230, +225)

Why bet Chelsea: The Blues are in good form after a 4-1 beating on Cardiff and an easy victory over Schalke in Champions League midweek. The attack has been carried by Eden Hazard and Oscar but the side must get production from the strikers. Namely Fernando Torres, who has a pair of goals in European play, but has yet to open his account in England.

Key players out/doubtful: Marco van Ginkel

Why bet Manchester City: The Citizens won their first away match of the season last week at West Ham and will look to keep that away form rolling. The attacking collection of Sergio Agüero, Álvaro Negredo, David Silva and Jesús Navas is flying on all cylinders and as good as advertised. This is a match with title implications and City will throw everything it can at Mourinho's men at Stamford Bridge.

Key players out/doubtful:

2012-13 fixture result:
Chelsea 0, City 0

Key betting note: With 50 wins and 14 draws, Mourinho is unbeaten in 64 league home matches as Chelsea boss.

Where the action is:
"Action is liking goals, goals, goals with both teams to score seeing action, even at a somewhat prohibitive price of -175. Over 2.5 goals at -138 sees a fair amount of play, and as for the full time result, its pretty evenly balanced for both sides, with as is most often the case, books hoping for a draw."

Swansea v West Ham (-133, +280, +425)

Why bet Swansea: We've championed hard for the Swans being a better side then what they've shown in the early stages. They picked up their first home win against lowly Sunderland last time out and will look to climb into the top-half of the table with a win against the Hammers.

Key players out/doubtful: Pablo Hernández, Ben Davies

Why bet West Ham: After a fairly promising start to the season, the Hammers have lost four of their last six matches. The one victory peppered in there, however, was an impressive 3-0 win over Spurs at White Hart Lane. On their day, they are a fairly decent side that can compete with just about anyone.

Key players out/doubtful: Alou Diarra, Andy Carroll, James Collins, Guy Demel

2012-13 fixture result: Swansea 3, West Ham 0

Key betting note:
The Hammers haven't won back-to-back away matches in the league since December 2007.

Where the action is:
"The price on Swansea has to be odds on as the home team, but it probably would have been a little steeper if not for the Thursday (Europa League) game, and the same can be said for the Hammers price at +425, which probably would have been more +500 or above. Action so far likes the home team, but there are enough who like the price on West Ham to find the win in Wales."

Tottenham Hotspur v Hull (-250, +380, +850)

Why bet Spurs: Spurs bounced back from an embarrassing home loss courtesy of West Ham with an excellent 2-0 victory at Aston Villa. The side has conceded just five goals on the season and winger Andros Townsend is asserting himself as a handful for any defense.

Key players out/doubtful: Emmanuel Adebayor

Why bet Hull:
Tottenham could be fatigued after a long trip in Europa League midweek and a motivated Tigers side could catch them at the right time. Ex-Spur Tom Huddlestone would love to show his former club what they're missing out on, as the big midfielder has played very well for his new club.

Key players out/doubtful: Robert Koren, James Chester, Danny Graham, Allan McGregor, Jake Livermore

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Spurs have played under the 2.5 goal total in seven of their eight Premier League games this season.

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