Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

Nov 2, 2013 |
The Kansas City Chiefs look to improve their unbeaten record to 9-0 as they travel to upstate New York and visit the Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs have sputtered against AFC East opponents over the years, but quarterback troubles on the Bills could have the excellent Chiefs defense licking their respective chops.

We talk to sportsbooks about the action coming in on some of Sunday's matchups and where lines could close come kickoff:

New Orleans Saints at New York Jets - Open: +5, Move: +7

Barring a miraculous last-second Tom Brady touchdown pass, the Saints should be an undefeated team. They came out of their bye week with a huge 35-17 victory over the Buffalo Bills and have covered the spread in four of their last five games. The Saints come in dinged up, however, with Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston both carrying knocks, which means Drew Brees could have his work cut out for him.

"Monday morning, with 90 percent of the money backing the road favorite, we went to 6.5 and by midweek we were at 6.5 (-115)," says Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag. "We didn’t start writing action on the Jets until yesterday when we went to Saints -7 (-105) / Jets +7 (-115). I understand the bettors enthusiasm for the road favorite, but Drew Brees’ two favorite weapons, TE Graham and WR Colston are dinged up and the Jets defense is for real. I think they’re a live dog here."

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills - Open: +3, Move: +4.5

The Chiefs are the last remaining unbeaten squad in the NFL but have failed to cover in their last two games as TD faves in both. The Chiefs don't fare well versus the AFC East for some reason. They are 1-13 SU in their last 14 versus the division and an alarming 0-9 ATS in the last nine matchups versus AFC East opponents. But QB issues in Buffalo could have the line on the move a little more. Thad Lewis has been downgraded to 'doubtful' which could open the door for Jeff Tuel.

"When Lewis was downgraded to doubtful we quickly went to -3.5 before settling on Chiefs -4," Stewart tells Covers. "I believe that once Lewis is ruled out for this game, we will go immediately to Chiefs -4.5 and I wouldn’t be surprised if we close higher."

Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders - Open: +3, Move: -2

Philly comes in cold having lost back-to-back games both straight up and against the spread. The hype around Chip Kelly and his vaunted offense has died off rather quickly and the Eagles now turn to Nick Foles as he returns under center. Foles' return to QB doesn't mean a thing to bettors, who have piled on the Raiders and moved the line a full five points since post.

Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, confirms that this is the biggest mover at his book and has seen 80 percent of the action on the AFC East home team.

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