If you’ve been following the WNBA this summer – and let’s be honest, you haven’t – you’d recognize that more games are finishing under the total than not.
In fact, heading into Tuesday’s four-game slate, 59.32 percent of this season’s WNBA contests have stayed below the number (24-35-2 over/under). That percentage jumps to 64.7 over the last 30 days, with WNBA action posting an 18-33 over/under count in that span.
WNBA teams are scoring slightly less than last summer, with teams averaging 77.36 points per game compared to 77.53, but also the 2013 schedule is much more spread out due to the 2012 Summer Olympics conflicting with last season.
At this time last year, WNBA teams posted a 42-38 over/under record, playing 80 games through the first two months of the schedule, compared to only 61 heading into July this season.
The London Games put the WNBA on a month hiatus (July 14 to August 15) and had schedule makers compressing the first half of the calendar. That busier pace gave teams less time to rest, gameplan and practice, unlike 2013 when most teams have at least two full days off between contests.
Western Conference teams have the biggest lean toward the under this year. Out of six Western squads, just one – the Phoenix Mercury (6-5 over/under) – is over .500 for the over. Outside of Phoenix, the five other West clubs have a combined over/under count of 19-31-1.
The Eastern Conference, however, is home to the three best under plays: Indiana Fever (2-8 O/U), New York Liberty (2-6-1 O/U) and Connecticut Sun (2-6-1 O/U).