NFL Games of the Year: Steelers spread could drop at New England

Jul 16, 2013 |
By: Ben Burns
Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Ben Burns gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 9: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-9)

Past history: New England 10-9 SU, 11-8 ATS, 10/9 O/U since 1986
Recent history: New England 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1/1 O/U since 2010

Early look at the Steelers: The Steelers, who are being projected to win nine games, play on the West Coast (at Oakland) the week before and host Buffalo after this game. The Steelers were 3-5 ATS on the road last season but 2-1-1 ATS as underdogs. They're 4-1 ATS as underdogs of greater than eight points this millennium.

Early look at the Patriots: The Pats, who are being projected to win 11 games, are off a game vs. Miami and have a bye on deck in Week 10. They were 4-4 ATS at home last regular season, going 8-6-1 ATS when laying points overall.

Where this line will move: Injuries and performance, through the first half of the season, will naturally play key roles in determining which way this line goes. If the teams were of roughly equal health and had equal records coming in, I could see the line dropping to -6 or -7.

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