Sunday's NFL Week 4 betting cheat sheet: Late action

Sep 28, 2013 |
Sunday's NFL Week 4 betting cheat sheet: Late action
Peyton Manning leads the NFL with a QB rating of 134.7.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Peyton Manning leads the NFL with a QB rating of 134.7.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 40.5)

Jets rooke Geno Smith rebounded from a three-interception fourth quarter against New England to become the first rookie in franchise history to top 300 yards by throwing for 331 in last week's 27-20 victory over Buffalo. Although he was picked off twice versus the Bills, Smith has developed a nice rapport with wideout Santonio Holmes, who had five receptions for a career-high 154 yards, including a 69-yard scoring strike for the go-ahead touchdown.

Titans QB Jake Locker was a turnover machine in 2012 with 15 in 11 games, but the Titans are one of two teams that has yet to commit one and are an overtime loss at Houston away from being undefeated. Locker has the luxury of leaning on speedy running back Chris Johnson, who leads the AFC with 256 yards rushing and burned New York with a 94-yard scoring run last season.

LINE: The Titans opened -5 bue have since moved to -3.5. The total opened at 39 and has moved to 40.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jets (+4.0) - Titans (+2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Titans -4.5
WEATHER: There is a 43 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

* Titans are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 4.
* Under is 4-0 in Jets last four road games.
* Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Washington Redskins at Oakland Raiders (+3, 44)

While Robert Griffin's health has generated most of the headlines, the more pressing concern for Washington is a defense that has yielded 98 points and been shredded for a league-high 488 yards per game. The 1,464 yards allowed by Washington is the most in NFL history through the first three games of the season.

Raiders QB Terrelle Pryor had emerged as one of the early-season feel-good stories after beating out Matt Flynn for the starting job, but his status is in doubt after he absorbed a helmet-to-helmet hit in the waning minutes of Monday's loss.

LINE: The Raiders opened as 3-point home dogs. The total opened at 43.5 and is up to 44.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Redskins (+3.5) - Raiders (+6.0) + home field (-3.0) = Raiders -0.5
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies.

* Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 road games.
* Under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 home games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos (-10.5, 58.5)

As prolific as the offense has been, Philadelphia has lost two straight and now faces three consecutive road games. The productivity has been offset by seven turnovers - including five in last week's 26-16 loss to Kansas City.

Peyton Manning and the Broncos' passing game are scoring at a record-setting clip, and Knowshon Moreno (160 rush yards) leads a solid ground game. The defense has been dominant against the run and has offset its weakness against the pass with an AFC-best six interceptions.

LINE: The Broncos opened at -10.5. The total opened at 57 and is up to 58.5
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Eagles (+1.0) + Broncos (-9.0) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -13.0
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies.

* Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers (+1, 46.5)

Dallas running back DeMarco Murray exploded with a 175-yard effort in last Sunday’s victory over St. Louis that was his first 100-yard outing since the opening game of the 2012 season.

Each of San Diego’s games have down to the final half-minute, including last week’s 20-17 loss to the Tennessee Titans. Rivers is three touchdown passes away from joining Hall of Famer Dan Fouts (254) and John Hadl (201) as the only quarterbacks in franchise history to reach 200 scoring passes.

LINE: The Cowboys opened as 1-point home faves. The total opened at 45.5 and is up one point.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys (-4.0) + Chargers (+1.5) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers +2.5
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with wind blowing toward the east endzone at 6 mph.

* Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Week 4.
* Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 4-1 in Chargers last five games overall.

New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 49)

Amendola (groin) and Gronkowski (forearm/back) have both been limited participants in practice this week and are listed as questionable for Sunday. Quarterback Tom Brady made good use of Amendola in the season opener but is making do with rookies Aaron Dobson and Kenbrell Thompkins over the last two weeks, and the two finally stepped up in a 23-3 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3.

Quarterback Matt Ryan is dealing with his own banged-up receiving corps, though Julio Jones (knee) and Roddy White (high ankle sprain) have yet to miss a game. Atlanta is opening up a three-game homestand with the Patriots after suffering each of its losses on the road, including last week’s 27-23 setback at Miami.

The game opened as a pick with the Falcons now -1. The total opened at 49.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-5.0) - Falcons (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Pick

* Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last six games in Week 4.
* Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 18-8 in Patriots last 26 road games.

Click here for the early cheat sheet.

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