English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Sep 21, 2013 |
A few more intriguing matchups on the board Sunday compared to what we saw Saturday in the Barclay's Premier League. The Gunners will look to maintain their early form as they host Stoke. Plus the blue half and red half of Manchester clash as City host United in the Manchester Derby.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Arsenal v Stoke (-275, +425, +900)

Why bet Arsenal: After dropping their opening match to Aston Villa, the Gunners have reeled off three-straight wins in the league and could leapfrog Liverpool to the top of the table with a victory. Olivier Giroud and Mesut Özil were doubtful midweek against Marseille but started in the Champions League matchup and will look to return to their spots in the starting XI against the Potters.

Key players out/doubtful:
Tomas Rosicky, Yaya Sanogo, Lukas Podolski, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Abou Diaby

Why bet Stoke:
The Potters have quietly put together a great start to their season with two wins and a draw. They sit ninth in the table and are coming off a 0-0 draw with Man City.

Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Whelan, Marc Muniesa, Jamie Ness

2012-13 fixture result: Arsenal 1, Stoke 0

Key betting note: Arsenal has won all five of its home matches against Stoke at the Emirates Stadium.

Where the action is:
"Arsene Wenger is back in the good books of the Arsenal faithful for now, and record signing Mesut Ozil has obviously helped that. It’s a tough game to call, but money so far says that Arsenal take the three points, but there are more than enough who like the tasty price of +900 about the upset."

Crystal Palace v Swansea
(+240, +240, +130)

Why bet Palace: The Premier League new boys have no other aspirations than to just stay up when all is said and done. To do that, Palace will need to collect as many points as possible at home ground Selhurst Park. Swansea could be fatigued having played away to Valencia in Europa League action midweek.

Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Murray, Kagisho Dikgacoi, Yannick Bolasie, Jonathan Parr, Patrick McCarthy, Jonathan Williams

Why bet Swansea: Manager Michael Laudrup and his Swansea side might just be finding their stride. A win and a draw in their last two league matches and an ultra-impressive 3-0 victory against La Liga side Valencia midweek will have the Swans beaming with confidence. Michu and Bony both notched goals in Spain and the side needs those two to continue the goalscoring in league action.

Key players out/doubtful: Pablo Hernández, Neil Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Crystal Palace has only connected on four crosses into the box this season; lowest total in the league.

Cardiff v Tottenham
(+350, +260, -110)

Why bet Cardiff: Of all promoted teams, Cardiff look the most ready to stay up in the Premier League. The side has already defeated Manchester City and is coming off a pair of draws versus Hull and Everton. They are a young side that will only gain in confidence with each positive result.

Key players out/doubtful: David Marshall, Andreas Cornelius

Why bet Tottenham: Spurs have had one hiccup - the loss against bitter rival Arsenal - but might be finding their identity as new players begin to click. Gylfi Sigurdsson notched a pair of goals in the club's 2-0 victory over Norwich one week ago. But new signing Christian Eriksen might be the difference maker - the true No. 10 - the side has desperately needed. His late goal midweek versus Tromsø could be his "I've arrived" statement.

Key players out/doubtful:
Etienne Capoue, Aaron Lennon, Nacer Chadli

2012-13 fixture result:

Key betting note: These two clubs have managed just four goals in open play through eight league games this season.

Manchester City v Manchester United (+120, +240, +260)

Why bet City:
The Citizens are coming off a disappointing 0-0 draw versus Stoke in the league, but a 3-0 win over Viktoria Plzen in Champions League might be a springboard to some positive, consecutive performances. Consistency has been lacking for City early this season but the Manchester Derby is a feisty one and City will be out for blood and bragging rights.

Key players out/doubtful:
Martín Demichelis, Micah Richards

Why bet United: United is also coming off a big Champions League victory midweek, winning 4-2 over German side Bayer Leverkusen. The Red Devils have similarily sputtered out of the gate in the league and David Moyes and Co. must find some consistency in their play before they fall further back.

Key players out/doubtful: Darren Fletcher, Rafael, Phil Jones, Danny Welbeck

2012-13 fixture result:
Manchester City 2, Manchester United 3

Key betting note:
Six of the last seven meetings between these two clubs at City's Etihad Stadium have yielded fewer than two goals.

Where the action is:
"As is often the case in these big derby/rivalry matches, the books will be hoping for a draw, as the money on both sides is big. This is a game that pits two of the best teams in the prem, and both are obviously title contenders."

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