Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (+1, 53.5)
The stakes are typically high when Peyton Manning and Tom Brady square off and that will again be the case Sunday night when the Denver Broncos visit the New England Patriots. The Broncos are in the midst of a grueling three-game stretch, sandwiching a pair of games with AFC West co-leader Kansas City around Sunday's matchup. The Patriots, coming off a controversial last-second loss at Carolina, need a win to maintain any hopes of securing home field for a potential playoff matchup.
Brady is 9-4 in his career against Manning, who is on a record-setting pace for passing yards thanks to the addition of former New England wide receiver Wes Welker. In six seasons in New England, Welker amassed a staggering 672 receptions, but his status is in question due to a concussion sustained in last week's 27-17 victory over the Chiefs. "This is a big game for both teams so you have to expect their best players," Brady said. "I'm sure all those guys will be ready to go."
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.
LINE: The Pats opened as 1-point dogs. The total is down from the opening 56.
WEATHER: Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-20s.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (9-1): Denver became the first team to put up more than 17 points against Kansas City and is averaging a league-high 39.8 points behind Manning, who has thrown for 34 TDs versus six interceptions. Welker leads the team with 61 receptions and his nine TDs are second to tight end Julius Thomas (10), who is questionable with a knee injury, but the Broncos also additional weapons in wideouts Demaryius Thomas (60 catches, 9 TDs) and Eric Decker (54 catches). Knowshon Moreno is a dual threat out of the backfield for Manning, but overlooked has been the recent play of Denver's defense, which has yielded 19.3 points in its last three after giving up an average of 35.3 points in the previous three.
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (7-3): New England fell two games behind the Chiefs and Broncos in the chase for the No. 1 seed after last week's loss at Carolina that featured a reversed penalty call on the final play. Brady went four straight games without completing 60 percent of his passes, but he has raised his game the past two weeks with the return of a healthy tight end Rob Gronkowski and wideout Danny Amendola. Running back Shane Vereen had eight catches last week in his first game since the season opener, but the Patriots have serious issues on defense - their top three cornerbacks are hurt and they have already lost starting nose tackle Vince Wolfork and middle linebacker Jerod Mayo for the season.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Broncos last five road games.
1. Manning's 3,572 yards are the most in history through the first 10 games of a season.
2. Brady is 4-6 lifetime against Denver but has won the last three, including a 45-10 rout in the playoffs in January 2012.
3. The weather could be a great equalizer, with temperatures below freezing and 20 mph winds forecast for the contest.