Last-minute NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 betting tips

Mar 24, 2011 |
The NCAA Tournament’s Round of 16 gets underway tonight. If you’ve been too busy to find time to cap these games or maybe just too lazy, we’ve done the heavy lifting for you. Here are some interesting trends and statistics for each of the four Sweet 16 games going Thursday.

Find more NCAA Tournament statistics, odds, game previews and betting trends on the NCAA scoreboard.

UConn Huskies vs. San Diego State Aztecs (+1, 128.5)

This game opened with the Aztecs set as 1-point favorites at a lot of books. However, action on the Huskies has taken this line as far as SDSU +1 while some markets have leveled off at a pick ‘em.

Connecticut has been an ATS machine (and ATM machine) this postseason, winning SU and against the spread in seven straight games going back to the opener of the Big East Tournament. However, the Huskies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as favorites of 0.5-6.5 points.

The Big East is also 5-7 ATS and 3-9 over/under in the Sweet 16 over the past four NCAA Tournaments. No. 3 seeds are an even 6-6 ATS and 6-6 over/under in that span.

BYU Cougars vs. Florida Gators (-3, 149)

The Gators opened as 2-point favorites and have since climbed as high as 3.5 in Las Vegas.

These teams met in last year’s opening round of the NCAA Tournament, with No. 7 BYU defeating No. 10 Florida, 99-92, as a 5-point favorite.

Jimmer Fredette grabbed the country’s attention with a 37-point performance, including going 8 for 10 from beyond the arc. The Gators guard combo of Erving Walker and Kenny Boynton combined for 39 points but turned the ball over a total of 11 times. Florida finished the game with 25 turnovers.

Florida is 6-0 in its last six NCAA games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points while Brigham Young is 30-62-2 ATS in its last 94 games as an underdog.

The SEC is 4-2 ATS in the Sweet 16 over the past four years. No. 2 seeds are 6-5-1 ATS with a 5-7 over/under count in that time span.

Arizona Wildcats vs. Duke Blue Devils (-8.5, 148.5)

Duke opened as low as -8, with the line rising to -9 before settling at -8.5. The Blue Devils failed to cover the 12.5-point spread versus Michigan in the third round but are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following an ATS loss.

Duke has won the last two meetings with Arizona, covering as an underdog in each – the last coming in an 82-72 home win as a 4-point dog back in 2001. The Blue Devils have been solid versus Pac-10 foes, posting a 5-0 ATS record in their last five contests against the conference. On the other side of the floor, the Wildcats are just 1-5 ATS in their last six versus ACC opponents.

The ACC is 4-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 over the past four NCAA Tournaments and boasts a 1-4 over/under mark in that span. No. 1 seeds are 9-6 ATS with a 5-10 over/under mark in the Round of 16 over the last four years.

Butler Bulldogs vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5, 123.5)

Wisconsin has been as low as -3.5 and as high as -5 for this Sweet 16 showdown with Butler.

The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites and is 5-12-1 over/under in their last 18 games as neutral-site favorites. No. 4 seeds are 2-3 ATS and 1-4 over/under in the Sweet 16 over the past four years. The Big Ten owns a 2-6 ATS mark and 4-4 over/under count in the Round of 16 over the past four tournaments.

The Bulldogs are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games as underdogs and have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six tournament games. The under is 6-1 in Butler’s last seven NCAA contests and 5-2 in the Bulldogs’ last seven tilts with Big Ten foes.

Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View