If you’ve looked these matchups over 1,000 times and still don’t know who to bet, perhaps it’s time to call in the experts. We’ve enlisted the help of NFL bloggers from each of the four remaining teams, asking for one reason to bet their side this Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons (+3.5, 48)
WHY SAN FRANCISCO COVERS
David Fucillo writes for Niners Nation. You can follow them on Facebook or Twitter @NinersNation.
The 49ers will cover on Sunday because the Falcons will be unable to sufficiently game plan against Colin Kaepernick. If they keep a linebacker to spy on him, it potentially opens up the middle of the field. If they don't spy him, they risk getting burned on the ground. They will be playing down either way.
WHY ATLANTA COVERS
Dave Choate is the editor-in-chief at The Falcoholic. You can follow him on Twitter at @TheFalcoholic.
For the Falcons to cover, they'll need to slow down a high-flying 49ers offense and bring firepower of their own. The key? Stop Michael Crabtree and the 49ers' dynamic tight ends and hold the edges against Colin Kaepernick. Also, don't be afraid to pass the ball deep and challenge the Niners secondary.
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-8, 51)
WHY BALTIMORE COVERS
Justin Silberman writes for Ravens24x7.com/ Russellstreetreport.com. You can follow him on twitter at @RussellStReport and @Jsilbe3.
Despite losing in last year’s AFC Championship Game, Joe Flacco outperformed Tom Brady. When the teams played in Week 3, Flacco outplayed Brady again. Flacco is currently the highest-rated passer in the postseason, registering a 120.0 quarterback rating by completing 30 of 57 passes for 613 yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions during wins against Indianapolis and Denver.
WHY NEW ENGLAND COVERS
Joe Soriano is the lead editor for Musket Fire. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @Musket_Fire.
The addition of Aqib Talib to the Pats secondary allowed Devin McCourty to move to safety, where he is even better than at CB. In fact, McCourty has allowed a QB Rating of just 10.2 since the switch to safety. Those position changes have led to a terrific upswing in the Pats ability to stop opposing passing offenses, and their improvement on pass defense is going to be the difference-maker this time around in holding down Torrey Smith and the Ravens pass offense.