Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes

Jan 29, 2013 |
Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes
Miami pounded Duke and Florida State by a combined 51 points last week.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Miami pounded Duke and Florida State by a combined 51 points last week.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Wednesday’s ranked college basketball games:

Northwestern at (2) Michigan (-17)

The Wolverines are off to the best start in program history after their win over Illinois Sunday, but the game against the Wildcats could be a trap as a matchup at No. 3 Indiana looms Saturday. Northwestern has beaten a couple ranked opponents in Minnesota and Illinois, but lost to Nebraska and Iowa. The Wildcats need to be more consistent, as they haven't won back-to-back games since late November. Northwestern won’t get any easy buckets as Michigan fouls less than any other team in the country at 11.9 per game. The Wolverines are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.

Rutgers at (23) Cincinnati (-12)

Following an eight-day layoff, the Bearcats look to sweep the season series with visiting Rutgers. Cincinnati (16-4, 4-3) was riding a three-game winning streak and led by seven late in the second half before falling 57-55 at then-No. 3 Syracuse on Jan. 21. Cincinnati has won six of seven versus Rutgers, including the last two meetings at home by a combined 28 points. The Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

Texas at (21) Kansas State (-8.5)

Kansas State dropped eight spots in the USA Today coaches’ poll after losing last week to then-No. 2 Kansas and Iowa State. The Wildcats struggled on the interior during the two losses, allowing a combined 23 offensive rebounds. The Longhorns will be without their top rebounder, Jonathan Holmes, who broke his right hand last week against Oklahoma. Texas is shooting 40.9 percent from the field, which ranks 279th in the nation. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven against opponents that boast a winning percentage above .600.

South Carolina at (4) Florida (-23)

Florida will try to win its ninth straight game for the first time since 2008-09 when the Gators host South Carolina. The Gators, who are 8-0 at home, have played suffocating defense, holding 10 opponents under 50 points and 14 under 60 points. Florida is ranked third in the country in points allowed (51.2). South Carolina has lost four of its last six games but is coming off a 75-54 home win against Arkansas on Saturday. The 21-point victory was the Gamecocks’ largest in SEC play since an 18-point win over Kentucky on Feb. 25, 2009. South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.

(18) Missouri at LSU (+4.5)

Missouri has recovered from a blowout loss at Florida to win two consecutive SEC contests, and the Tigers look to extend their winning ways when they travel to LSU on Wednesday. Missouri has yet to win a conference road game, but the team is playing better, coming off an 81-59 blowout of Vanderbilt on Saturday. LSU dropped its first four SEC games, but has shown signs of improvement in splitting its past two contests. The matchup features two of the top rebounding teams in the land: Missouri is second at 42.6, while LSU ranks 30th at 39.0. Missouri holds a decisive advantage should the game come down to free throws. Missouri leads the SEC in shooting from the line (73.6 percent), while LSU ranks 13th at 61.1 percent. LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.

(5) Duke at Wake Forest (+13)

The Blue Devils will attempt to capture their first true road win of the season on Wednesday as they pursue a regular-season sweep of Wake Forest. Although Duke tested itself with six neutral-site games during its non-conference schedule, it didn’t have to face a truly hostile crowd until Jan. 12 when it lost to North Carolina State. Two games later, Miami (Fla.) manhandled the Blue Devils on the road. Duke got back on track in Saturday’s 84-64 home victory against Maryland and will face a Demon Deacon team that is 3-0 at home in ACC play but coming off an embarrassing 82-62 road loss at Georgia Tech. Wake Forest is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games.

Missouri State at (17) Creighton (-20)

Creighton plays its first home game in 15 days when its hosts a young Missouri State squad that started four freshmen in its last outing. Missouri State has won six of the last eight meetings with Creighton including two in a row in Omaha. But Creighton won the first matchup between the two schools this season on Jan. 11, 74-52. The Bluejays lead the nation in field goal percentage (51.9), 3-point percentage (44.8) and is third in 3-pointers made per game (9.5).  The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

(3) Indiana at Purdue (+7.5)

The Hoosiers host the Wolverines on Sunday, but coach Tom Crean's team can't afford to look past the Boilermakers. Purdue has won three straight at home and four of five overall, and the Mackey Arena crowd will certainly be at full pitch for the rival Hoosiers. Indiana is going to want to get out and running, using its multiple scoring options to get to its 83.3-ppg average. Problem is, doing that against Purdue isn't going to be easy, as the Boilermakers are holding teams to 33.6 percent shooting over their last five games. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.

(15) Miami at Virginia Tech (+9)

Miami (Fla.) could not have been much better last week, pounding Duke and Florida State by a combined 51 points. The 15th-ranked Hurricanes look to avoid a letdown and extend their seven-game win streak at Virginia Tech.  The Hurricanes have been outstanding defensively, allowing an average of 58.1 points and 36.6 shooting from the field. They will get a test against Virginia Tech guard Erick Green, who leads the nation in scoring. Despite Green’s consistency on the offensive end, the Hokies have dropped six of their last eight games and they stand last in the ACC in scoring defense. Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.

(22) New Mexico at Wyoming (+1)

Mountain West leader New Mexico looks to bounce back from its first conference loss of the season in the high altitude of Laramie (7,200 feet) against a Wyoming squad that has dropped two in a row. The Lobos have won nine of the last 11 meetings with the Cowboys and swept the series last year with a pair of 10-point wins. Wyoming is playing its third ranked team this season and has won both of its previous meetings against ranked squads, a 76-69 victory over then-No. 19 Colorado on Dec. 1, and a 58-45 win over No. 14 San Diego State on Jan. 19. Both of those games also were played in Laramie. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

(12) Oregon at Stanford (-2.5)

After recording its highest point total and largest margin of victory this season in an 87-56 victory over Utah on Sunday, Stanford looks to carry that momentum into a key matchup with Oregon. The first-place Ducks remained unbeaten in the Pac-12 with an 81-76 victory over visiting Washington on Saturday. Oregon is 7-0 in conference play for the first time since the 1925-26 season. This game features one of the best shooting teams in the conference in Oregon and the Pac-12’s worst shooting team in Stanford. The Ducks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.

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